Royal Randwick // 2nd April

Absolutely marvellous day of racing ahead. Some supreme horses running today with Winx starring in The Star Doncaster Mile. Big fields and quality horses; it should be a cracking day.

R1 Widden Kindergarten Stakes 1100m

Astern will be extremely strong here with James McDonald on board. In it’s most recent trial it won by 4 lengths, only to run what you can only call disappointingly in the Golden Slipper. Still, it has quality to even make that field. El Divino won it’s first start by 4.8 lengths (to the same horse Astern beat by 7 lengths in it’s latest trial). It looks to be a serious horse. Alliterate has been running consistently well, however not near the same quality of races as Astern and El Divino. With some luck it could win but may be too tough. Mooshakissa has quality and could win this, running 3.6 lengths behind Golden Slipper winner Capitalist in January. For more value, Hostwin Legend was only 4.2 lengths behind Crafty Cop on its first start, who has ran well recently.

Best Bet: Astern & Mooshakissa (EW)

R2 Carbine Club Stakes 1600m

He’s Our Rokkii has been running well of late and looks a good chance here being down in the weights. Data Point ran okay in the Randwick Guineas, finishing 6th and a slight drop in weight should see it compete well once again here. Odyssey Moon was unlucky two starts ago, and competitive once again most recently. Drops in weight, Shinn on board and Barrier 4 ticks all the boxes. Moher won last start and drops 2kg’s. McDonald is on board and will give it every chance to cross the line first if good enough. Of the others, Rosaleisha looks great value at $21, and can run a cheeky race for an each way bet, dropping 3 kg’s here.

Best Bet: He’s Our Rokkii

R3 Schweppes Chairman’s Hcp 2600m

Libran was absolutely electric last start, and ended up winning by 2 lengths. It’s up 2kg here but if at its best it can win. Cafe Society drops half a kilo on last start, where it finished second to Libran. It led last start and will be interesting to see what tactics are used from barrier 6 here. Alegria has been competitive of late, and could raise a few eyebrows here at $15. Supercoach is going for four in a row. It drops a huge 7kg here, however you’d think the others would be too good. Dee I Cee was close to winning here last start, and with some improvements could cause an upset.

Best Bet: Cafe Society

R4 The Country C’ship Final 1400m

Clearly Innocent has been flying, winning it’s last three starts fairly comfortably. All Summer Long has finished runner up to him in the last two, and with a slight weight swing can be competitive here at a nice price. Lofty’s Menu ran well last start, finishing second in a hotly contested bm 85 here. Up in weights and wide gate but has the quality for this. Bank On Henry ran second to Lofty’s Menu last start, and with a drop in weight may run well, only issue is wide gate. One with great value is Profiler, winning it’s latest trial and two previous races before that. Looks to be huge overs at $34 and $9.50 a place.

Best Bet: With such a large field, I’d go with Profiler each way

R5 Dilmah Tea P J Bell Stakes 1200m

Huge field here, handful of these can win. Super Cash looks to be a good chance with Currie on board, however up in the weights. Egyptian Symbol will be fighting as hard as ever, as it looks to claim a win that it has been so close to doing lately. Denmagic looks to be improving and as though it will be a nice horse to come. Can run a nice each way race. Divine Centuri was convincing last start, winning by over three lengths, and might be a cheeky chance here. Secret Agenda is a nice horse and you’d think it’d be right up there in this. Perignon has been running well of late and has every chance here. One that could surprise many is Typecast at huge odds.

Best Bet: Super Cash

R6 Inglis Sires’ Produce 1400m

Telperion has shown it’s class of late, and after being right up there in the Golden Slipper will have every chance here. Yankee Rose was very close in the Golden Slipper, and if it runs like that again here, it should win. Omei Sword has had two starts for two impressive runs. In a different class to others here but if it gets some luck it can win. Zamzam is a horse of quality, and looks to be a decent each way bet at the $21 price. Seaburge will be competitive once again for Zahra and one that ran behind it last start, Detective can run well at a nice price ($13).

Best Bet: Telperion

R7 Bmw Australian Derby 2400m

We all know Tarzino‘s quality, and should start as favourite here. Jameka ran well behind it last start, and you’d think it will be right up there once again. Tally is absolutely flying at the moment, winning it’s last four starts by a combined total of 6 lengths. It beat Palentino last start, a horse that got the better of Tarzino (by protest) a few starts back. McDonald on board and down half a kilo, it looks the goods. What’s The Story nearly won the NZ Derby last start, and if given a chance it could sneak in towards the first few.

Best Bet: Tally

Quaddie Numbers: 1 4 8 13

R8 Darley T J Smith Stakes 1200m

Some serious sprinters of Australian Racing collide here in race 8. Chautauqua is one of the best in the world at the moment, however didn’t kick last start when it needed it most. It has exceptional quality though, and expect it to be up there and come home fast here. Exosphere has immense quality and will always be competitive. It finished 4th behind Chautauqua last start, and with barrier 4 can maybe improve on that. English absolutely rattled home two starts ago to win very impressively. Last start it left it too late, but if it can settle nicely can win here. Terravista was disappointing last start, but don’t write it off! It can run well and it can win. Fell Swoop is up in weight here and this looks too tough. Flamberge has amazing form at the moment, and if it can keep that up here it will have every chance.

Best Bets: Chautauqua and Flamberge (EW)

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 4 14 15

R9 The Star Doncaster Mile 1600m

Probably the best horse in Australia, if not the world, at the moment is Winx. It hasn’t looked like losing recently and should be storming home well here. First Seal was 4.7 lengths behind Winx recently, however turns around 3.5kg and might find itself towards the front near the line. Azkadellia is a quality horse, and with a low weight here might surprise many at very nice odds. Kermadec ran second to Winx last start, and a slight weight turn around might see it improve here and could win. Turn Me Loose was disappointing last start however with the quality we know it has, it could be one to watch at $31

Best Bet: Azkadellia and Turn Me Loose (EW)

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 3 6 11

R10 Adrian Knox Stakes 2000m

Alaskan Rose has been somewhat disappointing lately, however it’s quality must be respected. Up in weights but will run nicely. Sacred Eye has also not been at his best recently, however if given half a chance, Bowman will take it. Must be respected. It’s had one start for one win at the distance. Daisy’s Joy can run a nice race here at decent odds, and might surprise some. Rainbow Park struggled to get out of the maidens, but now, with Oli on board, it might be a decent chance here. Bulla Baby, although without a win so far, looks like it will relish the extra trip and could win.

Best Bet: Sacred Eye

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 5 8 10

Mornington // 2nd April

The metropolitan Victorian race meeting for Saturday is a whopping 10 race card at Mornington with some top quality thoroughbreds in action.

The headline races for Saturday at Mornington are the $120,000 Hareeba Stakes (Race 8) and the $300,000 Mornington Cup (Race 9). A race by race analysis for each of the 10 events can be read below, hopefully providing you with a winner or two.

Race 1 Benchmark 84 Handicap 3400m

Real Jazz finished alongside Now and Zen last time out, the latter went and demolished his rivals last start (albeit over hurdles). He also beat quite a few of these at Moonee Valley in February at huge odds. Sly Romance had some money last start before failing miserably, willing to give him another chance second up after the freshen. Prospector runs well at Mornington and after the claim has only 51kg to carry; he can certainly put in a bold performance at long odds. Deliberate generally finishes hard but stepping up 1000m in distance? never won further than 2500m? $3.20? no thanks. He has more upside than the rest of these so he goes in for fourth.

Best at odds: For the reasons mentioned above, deliberate could be worth a shot each way at $21.

Race 2 Benchmark 78 Handicap 1200m

Our Harmony is back to her pet distance here, should slot into a nice position from barrier 5 and is unbeaten at the track. Shacarde is super consistent. She runs very well at 1200 and also has an unbeaten record at Mornington, should be prominent at the end. A Lotta Love was well backed first up and didn’t fire, she has a much better second up record and might be ready to win now. Mefnooda’s first up record says 1:0-0-0, although two of her last three wins have come off a freshen up (32 days and 50 days). Has run well behind some talented types in the past and could be right up to this.

Best at odds: I don’t particularly like the roughies in this race.

Race 3 Mornington Sires 1500m

These 2 year old races are never easy. Mr Markou finished hard in the Morphettville magic millions, the step up in trip looks ideal and is impossible to tip against. Resort finished hard from last at his previous outing; might be able to turn the tables on the winner Pop who was much closer to the speed. Smartson led in that race and could give a sight at nice odds here today.

Best at odds: Bogong Road is from a good stable, something may have gone wrong at his first start and might put in an improved race at $41.

Race 4 Benchmark 78 Challenge Final 1600m

Native Land broke through with a narrow win last start; she loves 1600 and should be hard to beat again. Honourable Tycoon started short odds last start before going down by the narrowest of margins, usually finds a way to get beaten. Hokkaido beat home eljetem two starts back. His two runs at 1600m unplaced have been a 0.5L fifth and a 1.1L fifth, can win. Iteration was backed at odds last time and didn’t do a whole lot. Drops in class and usually runs better second up, $14 appeals.

Best at odds: Steep beat the talented Mawahibb last start, wouldn’t surprise me at 17$. Likes it a bit shorter though.

Race 5 Benchmark 90 Handicap 2000m

Am a big fan of Master of Arts. He’s always competitive and loves the longer trips, should be peaking fourth up and think he can turn the result last start in his favour. Loving Home beat home the top pick last start and I had him included in last weeks analysis before he was scratched. Confident he can figure here. Bondeiger can run well out to 2000m, his last race was on paced dominated and he was last, put a line through it. Velox was very well backed in the same race as Bondeiger last start, should run well second up. Never won at 2000.

Best at odds: Bondeiger

Race 6 3YO Benchmark 70 Handicap 1200m

Raffle. Magna Rossa looks to have talent. 1200 is her go and if she runs up to her new years day effort she should be winning this one. Stoker is dropping back in grade after an average performance down the straight behind some pretty good horses. I like that stellar collision form! The wide barrier is the concern for Prussian Vixen. Runs well at the distance and is flying at the moment. Call me Curtis can also go well back in trip.

Best at odds: Inner City Girl is first up after a long spell. Wasn’t too far away (but wasn’t too close either) from some very talented fillies last preparation. If she’s right could be worth a punt each way at $26.

Race 7 Mornington Guineas 1500m

Not an easy start at all for quaddie punters, ill be going very wide. Amadeus was no match for Silent Sedition last start, it was his first go at 1400 and looks well suited to run a strong 1500 here. Would’ve been more confident if he drew better than 14. Sir Sagamore smashed Gold Fields two starts back and started a short favourite doing so. Gold Fields subsequently came out and blitzed the field at Sandown, looks unders at 4.40 but can win. Lahqa is better suited back to 1500m and his 1.25L fourth to Tally reads well for this, drawn well. Tarquin is now a gelding after two flops in sydney this preparation, look for an improved showing.

Best at odds: Lahqa looks a good each way bet at 11$.

Quaddie numbers: 1, 2, 6, 7, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14

Race 8 Hareeba Stakes 1200m

Thermal Current will get every possible chance to improve his 1200m record today. Should be fitter second up and Miss Promiscuity came out from its first up race to account for a handy field last saturday. Looks a nice bet at $7. Reldas always shows his best at Moonee Valley, although it was a good win last start $4 looks unders for a horse who will be getting a long way back from barrier 19. Mirage first up for Weir has to be kept safe. Has a good record over 1200 and has drawn well. Not a big fan of the Sydney form over the border but Meursault can’t be faulted on his recent form. Fast Cash has also drawn well and is flying at the moment, might be back to his form of old.

Best at odds: none

Quaddie numbers: 2, 6, 7, 15, 16

Race 9 Mornington Cup 2400m

Tom Melbourne looks to be a potential star, didn’t beat much in the Albury Cup but the way he did it was outstanding. Should go on to bigger and better things. Big Memory ran second in this race last year. 2400 seems his go, i’d be a lot more confident if he had a run at 2000 prior to this race. Tunes is super genuine and despite sharply dropping back in distance, he is out of the best formline and is $31. He raced wide throughout the Adelaide cup and arguably should have won. Pemberley can bounce back after being rolled as the $1.65 favourite; never running this distance before is the major issue. Take the dart board out for the rest.

Best at odds: Tunes

Quaddie numbers: 4, 8

Race 10 Benchmark 78 Handicap 1000m

Not an easy race to finish with. Face Forward if she’s right first up should beat this field. Has run against much better opposition in the past. The failure at Mornington previously is the query. Petite’s Reward should take up the running and has a very good first up record. Well Sprung has some race fitness over his main rivals and must be included on his best form in this class. Solar Duchess loves the track, loves the distance and got there just in time last start at the Valley. Could be worth a crack at 14$. After the scratching its now confirmed Rock ‘n’ Gold will get a run, his form ties in with Petite’s Reward and must be included.

Best at odds: Solar Duchess

Quaddie numbers: 2, 6, 9, 11, 13

Best Bets of the Card

Race 2: Our Harmony W@5.50

Race 9: Tom Melbourne W@2.50

Race 5: Bondeiger E.W@16.00:4.20

Race 8: Thermal Current E.W@7.00:2.70

Bendigo // 30th March

Midweek racing at Bendigo is back, and today sees 4 maiden races, 3 bm64’s and a bm70.

R1 Jayco Mdn Plate 1000m

Jersey Girl has been close in it’s first two starts, and if it can get out into a good position early in the race from barrier 7 it will have every chance. Ameristralia was close to winning on debut at Kyneton, however it’s last start finished fourth by 8.5 lengths, which indicates it may need a spell. It does have the quality though. Jstar will jump from the fence, and with Oliver on board will have every hope. Good Maneuver looks great each value at the $7 after a close second in it’s first start.

Best Bet: Good Maneuver

R2 Country Vet Mdn Plate 1300m

Torelli was 0.2 lengths from winning on debut at Warrnambool, and it will come home strong with Nolen on board. Against this field it shouldn’t be losing. Groote Eylandt has had 14 attempts at getting out of the maidens for no luck, however if it all clicks, it can win. One with value is the top weight Al Gerard at $21, finishing a second last start.

Best Bet: Torelli (Shouldn’t be losing). For more value bet Al Gerard each way.

R3 Schweppes Mdn Plate 1400m

A big field of 15 start here. Our Kryptonite ran 2.3 lengths third to Nat’s The Boss, who ran well for third at Sandown on Monday. Comeback, although being beaten by Our Kryptonite last start, will be competitive as always and has every chance here from barrier 6. Haste Bebe won it’s latest trial and will be interesting to see how it runs in it’s first competitive start. Roan Cheval looks ready to win after two seconds for Darren Weir.

Best Bet: Comeback

R4 Woodside Park Stud Mdn Plate 2200m

Itchicoo Park will appreciate the extra distance, and with barrier 1 it has every chance. Fiefdom outran Rosamond last start and an extra 200m this race it should do the same. Rushmore will be competitive here but just can’t seem to win. Might run better in this field. For more value, Gold Librettist looked like it loved the extra ground last start, and a bit further here may suit nicely.

Best Bet: Itchicoo Park

R5 Mckern Steel (bm64) 2200m

Remorse came home nicely last start, a close second to London Fog, and will be very competitive again. Gilago has won at this distance before and in a higher grade, However has looked disappointing in its first two starts this prep. Wintonia, after winning it’s maiden is rising in grade and dropping in weight. Don’t be surprised if this wins. Are The Bungs In looks overs at $51 and could cause a shock here.

Best Bet: Hard to split Remorse & Gilago, but if I had to choose I’d go Gilago.

Quaddie Numbers: 1 4 5 8

R6 Bendigo Rsl (bm70) 1300m

Overberg hasn’t trialled well recently, however last prep it was very sharp. Mr Pago has been disappointing recently, although on it’s day this isn’t beyond him. Bee Jay Zed can run a nice here at juicy odds of $7.50 and with Coffey on board is every hope. Of the others, Stereosonic can run a strong each way race.

Best Bet: Overberg

Quaddie Numbers: 1 3 5 6

R7 Agvantage Uav (bm64) 1400m

Firenze has been very competitive and close to winning over some very good horses of late. Will have top weight here but down in grade can win. Ecology has been running consistently without winning and if things go right today it could win. Devilishly looks to be a serious horse for Hayes & Dabernig, and looks ready to win. Gilarde has been running well in lower grades before moving to this grade, and if it has a bit of luck can win this. If looking for more value, an each way bet on Bellissima Miss looks good.

Best Bet: Firenze

Quaddie Numbers: 1 & 3 if want to save $ on combinations, otherwise 1 3 4 7 9

R8 (bm64) 1000m

A field of 16 contest the final race here. Gemmalenah won on debut by over a length, and if it runs like that again it will win this. Saint Valorem won it’s maiden on the second attempt and looks to be a serious horse. Release The Speed is one that has been running in higher grades and can surprise many at very nice odds ($26). Roughly won it’s debut by half a length here not long ago and with an apprentice claim of 4kg’s will have every chance here. Streetshavenoname is an honest horse but just can’t seem to find the line before anyone else, prefer a place bet for this one!

Best Bet: Roughly

Quaddie Numbers: 1 6 10 12

Sandown // 28th March

R1 The Grand Hotel Frankston-bm78 1400m

Star Fortune looks hard to beat here and will fight til the very end. Haradafull looks extremely good value here, running well in higher grades than this. Plot the Course will also be strong in this race, winning its latest trial. Recalculate is a good horse, however it doesn’t present much value at around $3.

Best Bet: Haradafull

R2 Toronado @ Swettenham (rs0mw) 1000m

Motown Lil looks the goods here, and will start as favourite accordingly. Most of the others are yet to run, however there is some value around the #12 Miss Cavatica winning a recent trial. Other good bets include Blue Ocean, for the Freedmans.

Best Bet: Miss Cavatica

R3 The Cove Hotel Mdn Plate 1600m

Prescience will start favourite here, and has been oh so close at winning it’s first race lately. Nakataan looks good value here, and can run a serious race for Hayes & Dabernig. Of the others, Electric Aura will be ultra competitve, running 1.6L third in the Tasmanian Oaks.

Best Bet: Electric Aura

R4 Polytrack (bm78) 1400m

Turbo Miss has been on fire recently, and if at it’s best will win this with ease. Long Face Grace has the quality here to win also, and with a little bit more value than the favourite is quite tempting. Solar Burst also looks a danger at very nice odds.

Best Bet: Turbo Miss

R5 Hyland Race Colours (bm64) 1300m

Hard Call has been running very well in it’s first 5 starts, and this looks as though it can run well once again. Jester Angel will be competitive once again, and if given a chance has every hope. Stella The Boss will run well. It has all the quality and can win here. For more value, look towards Iamhere for an each way bet.

Best Bet: Hard Call

R6 Benchmark 64 1500m

Big field here, however if it runs consistently as it always does, Tessabelle can win. Decent barrier with Williams on board gives it every hope. Chima will run an honest race at nice odds, and may be worth an each way bet. Lola Lu and Quedoutes will both be competitive and could easily win this.

Best Bet: Chima

R7 Browns Sawdust & Shavings-bm64 1300m

Nat’s The Boss will be very strong here, and has been super competitive in all of it’s starts to date. Loyalty Man for Moroney will be up there once again, and looks the goods here. Turfonic came home strong in its maiden run for its first victory, and if it can repeat that again, will be great value at current odds ($9).From the others, Justa Hint for Weir can win, and for more value Lopartega can run a nice each way race.

Best Bet: Loyalty Man

R8 Le Pine Funerals (bm70) 1800m

Massive field for the last race, and any one of these can win. Jennio looks like an honest horse and can win here with a little bit of luck. Whistle Stop will run well for Weir, just a matter if the apprentice Childs can get it into a nice spot. For more with value, look towards Our Bottino and The Terricks.

Best Bet: Jennio

Oakbank // 28th March

Not all horses handle the uneven track at Oakbank. Quite often horses who can manage to back up after saturdays meeting and run again on monday can perform quite well, in particular the jumpers. When studying the form a handy hint is to note horses who have previously run well at this track.

The feature meetings on Easter Monday at Oakbank are the $100,000 Somerled Hurdle (Race 3) and the $160,000 Great Eastern Steeplechase (Race 7). Unfortunately both of these races are riddled with scratchings;  it should still be a great spectacle to see the staying test of both the 3600m and 4950m jumps races.

Race 1 Benchmark 82 1900m

There seems to be a lot of pace in this race which is why i’m leaning towards showviz.

Showviz has come back well this prep and after the claim and with the hot pace he should be able to run over the top of them, with the only query being whether he can run a strong 1900. Saturday Sorcerer is way down in the weights, seems the classier horse of this lot. wide barrier is the concern as he might have to burn to get the front. Moon Devil should run well after the claim, might be hard to run down if he can nab the lead or take a handy sit one back. Montalto put in a good performance last start, think Moon Devil can turn around the 1 length margin between the two based on their last start.

Race 2 3YO Benchmark 64 1050m

Willing to forgive Viddora after its last start when it covered extra ground. The start prior he lost in a photo to grey street (gave petits filou a scare yesterday) and stellar collision (subsequent winner on thursday night at the valley). Should be far too good for these. In for second is Core Breach; he was wide and solid last time in, gets in well after the claim and has won third up before. Brooklyn should be fitter second up, but might find it hard to turn the tables on core breach. Moral Outrage has been racing in Victoria, he’s up in class but should give a good sight in front.

Race 3 Somerled Hurdle 3600m

Every horse in this race has winning claims. Now and Zen is still a talented flat horse; his jumps record speaks for itself (5: 4-0-0) and Darren Weir wouldn’t take him to Oakbank for nothing. Always be wary when taking the short odds in jumps races as anything can happen. Not sure what went wrong with Urban Explorer last start; he loves Oakbank and may be able to put in a much improved performance here today with the drop in weight. Earthbound has a very good jumps record. He was scratched from Saturday to run here. Agreement beat home Auld Burns here in a recent trial (impressive winner on Saturday) and has been racing well as of late. Keep in mind that the highly regarded Steven Pateman generally has his choice of the Musgrove jumpers.

Race 4 Benchmark 70 2150m

Banksters Bonus is having his second run in South Australia. Dropping back in grade and distance if he handles the track should be very hard to beat. Spanish Halo can run well here after his close second last start, would like him to be stepping up in distance but Jason Holder knows how to ride a winner here and must be considered. Dewangsa was given every possible chance last start and is better suited back to 2150, can’t see him beating either of the top two. Shadows Above is a rough place hope after performing very well here last start. Sharp rise in grade with the 1 kilo weight decrease are the negatives.

Race 5 Benchmark 75 1400m

C’est Beau La Vie is clearly a talented horse. Third up last preparation she ran very well in the Morphettville Guineas and looks the testing material here. Perpetual Bliss could be a good each way chance at 19$, running well two starts ago before struggling in a tougher race last start. Orange River over from interstate should run well, hard to line up his form with this lot. Tunisia Traveller next best off an on pace win around the parks circuit last start.

Race 6 Benchmark 64 1050m

Very open race. The Bronx ran well first up, although his second up record doesn’t look good on paper, those runs have been in higher class and he’s never been far away. Royal Mint might be able to run a nice race at 12$. Stepping up from Maiden class but you know from last start he can handle the track. Pinky Tuscadero should progress to better races over further, watch the betting first up. Our Snippy always runs well at Oakbank, although his lead up form is usually better. Not inclined to take the $7.

Race 7 The Great Eastern Steeplechase 4950m

Really like Lord of the Song here. The 10 year old is a track specialist who seemed to be warming up late on saturday. Simply dominant the previous two years in the race, can he carry 69 kilos to victory this year? Thubiaan gave the superstar Bashboy a run for his money at Ballarat last year over 4500. He finished alongside of the top pick on saturday and has the relative weights advantage but Pateman’s choice to jump off may be an indication of how he’s pulled up. Nishiazabu was dominant in the Von Doussa here on saturday, I personally think that was his target for the carnival and not sure if he can beat the other two home over the longer trip. In for 4th is Mannertone who is proven over slightly further than Spying on You who seemed to peak on his run saturday.

Race 8 Benchmark 70 1400m

The super consistent Pepper the Pin should run well, his record at the distance is questionable but his last effort over 1400 was a 3rd placing in a tougher race than this. Red Menace is sharply up in grade but was simply dominant last start, could be worth an each way ticket at 17$. Loqueteux is rarely far away but can’t win one. Place seems best. Think Mihany is too short at the $3.30 quote after his sub par performance as favourite two weeks ago, this is easier though.

Best Bets of the Card

Race 5: C’est Beau La Vie W@3.60

Race 7: Lord of the Song W@3.20

Race 4: Spanish Halo EW@6.00:2.30

Rosehill // 26th March

Big day of racing in NSW with the $1.5mil BMW and Vinery Stud Stakes! Lot’s of quality horses should make an excellent day of entertainment and sport.

R1 E-group Security (bm85) 1400m

We start today with a BM85 which looks like it will be a tough race. Roaring To Win looks as though it will be strong once again. Forgive it’s last run at Canberra when finished 10th. Last campaign Rockolicious just kept on improving, albeit in lower grades, still; good form is good form.

Winning a recent trial here is Federal. On board is James McDonald and looks like it will be one of the best chances alongside Rockolicious. One to watch is Sonic Swish; running well in maidens and after finally getting his first win should be competitive here once again.

Best Bet: Federal

R2 The Schweppervescence 1400m

Welcome to the first lottery of the day. With so many fresh horses with great form, this race will be tough to find a winner. Rock and Swing got the better of Wine in their last race, and the two of them should be close together and right up there in this. Crafty Cop looks dangerous, winning its maiden by almost three lengths at Warwick Farm. One with value is the top weight Prized Icon, with form around Telperion and Defcon. While taking three attempts to get out of the maidens, Reinforced is one that could surprise punters from barrier 7.

Best Bet: Prized Icon

R3 Neville Sellwood Stakes 2000m

It’s Somewhat will start as favourite after it’s strong performance last jump, winning at $8 and showing us how good he can be. Rise in distance and drop in weight should suit it nicely. Messene and Sir John Hawkwood come into this race together with two strong performances two weeks ago.  Both horses are supreme and with no change in distance they should be firing strong once again. Although it has been poor in its last three starts, I’d keep Magic Hurricane safe. It’s been running in the highest quality races, and has the quality here.

Best Bet: Sir John Hawkwood

R4 Star Kingdom Stakes 1200m

This looks to be a contest between Malaguerra and Alberto Magic. Malaguerra has been absolutely flying and looks unstoppable at the moment, while Alberto Magic ran very well last start. Angels Beach was only narrowly beaten by Alberto Magic last start and has plenty of value about it around the $7.50 mark. Those looking for value should not dismiss Unequivocal ($34) as it can win with the right amount of luck.

Best Bet: Malaguerra

R5 Tulloch Stakes 2000m

River Wild and Old North both lead the massive field of 17 horses for the Tulloch Stakes. River Wild has’t had the best recent runs, however on his day can blitz this field. Old North looks a real chance here and has been as strong as ever in it’s last three starts. Hattori Hanzo just keeps winning and can’t be ignored here, however there are doubts about how long it can keep it’s run going. If looking for something with a bit of value, I’d recommend an each way bet on Multifacets.

Best Bet: Old North

R6 Vinery Stud Stakes 2000m

Jameka will be very competitive as always, and in Barrier 1 will hope to get out to a good start. We know how good this filly is and will be up there once again. Risque will be up and about as it finished in front of Jameka last start. It has supreme quality however this will be its first start beyond a mile. It will be interesting to see how the Snowden filly Happy Hannah will run, only just winning her maiden two starts ago. She has exceptional potential and if she gains a start here will be a major chance. Stay With Me is a good chance at good odds and another one at decent odds is Capella.

Best Bet: Risque

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 5 8 15

R7 The Bmw 2400m

While we know Preferment’s quality, it has a question mark over its head over 2400m (2 starts, no placings). Our Ivanhoe is an extremely strong chance, and looks ready for this distance. Any rain will suit. Mongolian Khan looks to be improving and the rise in distant looks as though it will suit. We know his quality and if he’s at his best he can win this. The young horse Montaigne has been running well however this will be it’s first start at 2400m. Keep handy. Who Shot Thebarman has won twice over this distance from five starts and has a chance in this too.

Best Bet: Montaigne

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 6 7 10

R8 Emancipation Stakes 1500m

Solicit has been running extremely well of late and will start as favourite in this race. Two starts at the distance for one win and a third. Badawiya beat a good field last start, and looks to be right in this race too. Only issue is that it has been drawn the widest barrier of the lot. At longer odds Telepathic looks a decent bet at $8.50 with McDonald on board. Lady Le Fay is also a longer odds chance for Waller and Williams at $11. Keep Handy.

Best Bet: Badawiya (& Lady Le Fay EW)

Quad die Numbers: 2 4 9 10

R9 Hyland Race Colours Doncaster 1500m

Another lottery! 18 horses are named for this race and current favourite Excess Knowledge looks the goods. While carrying the most weight in the race, it will be running strongly and be right in the mix. One to keep an eye on is Rock Sturdy. If fit can run as good as any of the others. Would love a heavy track. Cosmic Cube looks great value at $11, and kicked away nicely last start. Amovatio didn’t disappoint last start with a solid run for third. Will be right in this and loves Rosehill. Shoreham also possibly worth an each way bet at long odds.

Best Bet: Cosmic Cube

Quaddie Numbers: 1 3 5 13 14

Best Bets of the card:

R3 Sir John Hawkwood @ $6.00

R4 Malaguerra @ $2.70

R8 Lady Le Fay @$11.00

Caulfield // 26th March

Caulfield is a unique course where form is critical. Inside barriers are better for the shorter distance range due to the medium to small home straight; those in a prominent position at the bend in a slowly run race will usually kick on to win. Its always handy to note any significant late money for a horse, late money is generally good money at Caulfield.

The headline races for Saturday at Caulfield are the $150,000 Victoria Handicap (Race 7) and the $150,000 Easter Cup (Race 8). Below there can be seen a detailed analysis of all 9 races.

Race 1 2YO Handicap 1100m

These 2YO races are always a challenge, never smart to bet unless you’ve got inside knowledge or you follow the money trail. Without a lot of confidence have settled on O’Sheas Wazamba. Started a short priced favourite on debut after winning a few trials, with the weight swing i think she can turn the tables on Gretna. In for third is Highland Beat. Boasts a second behind Extreme Choice but is a bit hit and miss it seems. Can see no value about the favourite Najmaat at the short price, the form from that race hasn’t been strong, although Nick Hall on first up from the stable may be a good indication of how she’s going.

Best at odds: Tokelau can run a nice race at 17$, has previously beaten home the favourite Najmaat.

Race 2 Benchmark 78 2400m

Winter Palace looks ready to win after his effort last start. With no weight after the claim, he just needs to slot into a nice position from barrier 10 to run over the top of them. High Church is jumping from 1600 to 2400, fitness may be an issue but most of Lloyd Williams horses seem to thrive over further. Adirondack’s a query to run a solid 2400, but has been progressing nicely; check the results of Moonee Valley on thursday to see if the form holds up. Loving Home isn’t without claims on the quick backup, but the odds are a turn off.

Best at odds: Aggregator could be worth putting in some exotics, rarely wins but has run well in tougher races in the past.

Race 3 Benchmark 84 2000m

Many of these runners are coming through the same formline. Pindan Pearl overraced last start and is primed for a win this prep after three solid runs, has the weight turnaround on Tears of Joy. Tears of Joy was given every chance last start and won well, the rise in weight while going up in class is the concern. Testability is just too short for a horse thats never won further than 1600, down in the weights but up in class. Not confident she’s worth the $3.

Best at odds: Winta Chiller missed the start last time and might be ready to show her best, each way seems the safe play.

Race 4 3YO Fillies Handicap 1100m

If she’s right, Petits Filous should be far too good for this lot. Her trials have indicated she’s back in good order, her only failure thus far is a 3.8L 10th behind the star Buffering where she started a short priced favourite! Jalan Jalan is another talented type who with a good run in transit may be able to turn the tables on the favourite from their previous clash. The winner should come from the two above but one for exotics might be Snitzel Music. Performed well after the huge jump in class last preparation, monitor the betting first up.

Best at odds: (Asides from Snitzel Music) Billabong Babe second up will lead the way, down in the weights might prove hard to catch. 41$ is appealing.

Race 5 Mares Handicap 1100m

Miss Promiscuity has never won second up but her first up run behind Malaguerra was very promising, looks well placed here. Am a very big fan of Sabatini, ticks all the form boxes and will by flying home with the 3 kilo claim, Miss Promiscuity’s race fitness makes her the pick of the two. Tycoon Tara’s best is good enough, but pretty confident the winner comes from the top two in this one. Enquare has been below par for a long time now, first up for the new stable might pay dividends to follow any market moves.

Best at odds: Kansas Sunflower is a talented horse that might be looking for further, could sneak into the placings first up at $21.

Race 6 Benchmark 84 1800m

Ungrateful Ellen has a good second up record, she ran against much better horses last preparation and if right should be winning this. Gingerboy ran well first up, his last run at Caulfield he beat home the Adelaide Cup winner Purple Smile. Master Zephyr was well backed first up but just found the trip a bit short, out to 1800 should run well. Houdini The Great can run well with no weight on his back after coming from last at his previous run.

Best at odds: none

Quaddie numbers: Not a high degree of confidence in this one so will be going wide in the first leg.

1, 2, 5, 9, 11, 13

Race 7 Victoria Handicap 1400m

Tough race. Red Bomber loves caulfield, unbeaten third up and has over a 50% winning strike rate. At double figures looks a good bet each way. Black Heart Bart was huge fresh and must be included, the odds are the only thing making him second pick. Charmed Harmony ran well by himself on the far side of the flemington track last start, this is his pet distance and if he can find the form from last prep he can win. Tried and Tired was back to winning ways last start, winning form is good form, must be included.

Best at odds: Coronation Shallan ran well first up, not sure if she can turn around the margin on tried and tired but with race fitness could box seat and run a good race at odds.

Quaddie numbers: 1, 3, 4, 6, 9, 13

Race 8 Easter Cup 2000m

Awesome Rock was very unlucky not to take out the Australian Cup last start, a similar performance here sees him go very close. Leebaz hasn’t won for a while but always runs an honest race, the drop in class looks ideal. Lidari is a very talented horse but can’t see him turning the tables on Awesome Rock based on their Peter Young stakes matchup. The Hickmott pair Observational and Doumaran can run well out to 2000m.

Best at odds: Observational might be ready to fire with the rise in distance, each way at $21 appeals.

Quaddie numbers: 1, 2, 7

Update: the scratchings have taken a major toll on this race, for quaddie punters:
Extra Zero always runs his honest self but cant win one, i’ll be leaving him out. Puccini is too inconsistent. The one i’m putting in is Guardini, he has some strong overseas form and if he turns up could give this race a real shake.

Quaddie numbers: 2, 5, 7

Race 9 3YO Handicap 2000m

Not an easy finish for quaddie punters. If the back markers get their chance Chabaud looks a live hope after her stellar performance in the Tasmanian Oaks. Hardern ran a nice race behind some good horses last start, a repeat of that performance and he wins here, the wide draw demotes him to second pick. Cool Chap should get the dream run from the barrier, if he can stay the trip he’s a chance.

Best at odds: Last Typhoon will get the trip and can be in a winning position on the corner from a good barrier, 13$ is a decent price.

Quaddie numbers: 1, 2, 6

Best Bets of the Card

Race 5 Miss Promiscuity W@4.00

Race 2: Winter Palace E.W@9.00:2.90