Big day of racing in NSW with the $1.5mil BMW and Vinery Stud Stakes! Lot’s of quality horses should make an excellent day of entertainment and sport.
R1 E-group Security (bm85) 1400m
We start today with a BM85 which looks like it will be a tough race. Roaring To Win looks as though it will be strong once again. Forgive it’s last run at Canberra when finished 10th. Last campaign Rockolicious just kept on improving, albeit in lower grades, still; good form is good form.
Winning a recent trial here is Federal. On board is James McDonald and looks like it will be one of the best chances alongside Rockolicious. One to watch is Sonic Swish; running well in maidens and after finally getting his first win should be competitive here once again.
Best Bet: Federal
R2 The Schweppervescence 1400m
Welcome to the first lottery of the day. With so many fresh horses with great form, this race will be tough to find a winner. Rock and Swing got the better of Wine in their last race, and the two of them should be close together and right up there in this. Crafty Cop looks dangerous, winning its maiden by almost three lengths at Warwick Farm. One with value is the top weight Prized Icon, with form around Telperion and Defcon. While taking three attempts to get out of the maidens, Reinforced is one that could surprise punters from barrier 7.
Best Bet: Prized Icon
R3 Neville Sellwood Stakes 2000m
It’s Somewhat will start as favourite after it’s strong performance last jump, winning at $8 and showing us how good he can be. Rise in distance and drop in weight should suit it nicely. Messene and Sir John Hawkwood come into this race together with two strong performances two weeks ago. Both horses are supreme and with no change in distance they should be firing strong once again. Although it has been poor in its last three starts, I’d keep Magic Hurricane safe. It’s been running in the highest quality races, and has the quality here.
Best Bet: Sir John Hawkwood
R4 Star Kingdom Stakes 1200m
This looks to be a contest between Malaguerra and Alberto Magic. Malaguerra has been absolutely flying and looks unstoppable at the moment, while Alberto Magic ran very well last start. Angels Beach was only narrowly beaten by Alberto Magic last start and has plenty of value about it around the $7.50 mark. Those looking for value should not dismiss Unequivocal ($34) as it can win with the right amount of luck.
Best Bet: Malaguerra
R5 Tulloch Stakes 2000m
River Wild and Old North both lead the massive field of 17 horses for the Tulloch Stakes. River Wild has’t had the best recent runs, however on his day can blitz this field. Old North looks a real chance here and has been as strong as ever in it’s last three starts. Hattori Hanzo just keeps winning and can’t be ignored here, however there are doubts about how long it can keep it’s run going. If looking for something with a bit of value, I’d recommend an each way bet on Multifacets.
Best Bet: Old North
R6 Vinery Stud Stakes 2000m
Jameka will be very competitive as always, and in Barrier 1 will hope to get out to a good start. We know how good this filly is and will be up there once again. Risque will be up and about as it finished in front of Jameka last start. It has supreme quality however this will be its first start beyond a mile. It will be interesting to see how the Snowden filly Happy Hannah will run, only just winning her maiden two starts ago. She has exceptional potential and if she gains a start here will be a major chance. Stay With Me is a good chance at good odds and another one at decent odds is Capella.
Best Bet: Risque
Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 5 8 15
R7 The Bmw 2400m
While we know Preferment’s quality, it has a question mark over its head over 2400m (2 starts, no placings). Our Ivanhoe is an extremely strong chance, and looks ready for this distance. Any rain will suit. Mongolian Khan looks to be improving and the rise in distant looks as though it will suit. We know his quality and if he’s at his best he can win this. The young horse Montaigne has been running well however this will be it’s first start at 2400m. Keep handy. Who Shot Thebarman has won twice over this distance from five starts and has a chance in this too.
Best Bet: Montaigne
Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 6 7 10
R8 Emancipation Stakes 1500m
Solicit has been running extremely well of late and will start as favourite in this race. Two starts at the distance for one win and a third. Badawiya beat a good field last start, and looks to be right in this race too. Only issue is that it has been drawn the widest barrier of the lot. At longer odds Telepathic looks a decent bet at $8.50 with McDonald on board. Lady Le Fay is also a longer odds chance for Waller and Williams at $11. Keep Handy.
Best Bet: Badawiya (& Lady Le Fay EW)
Quad die Numbers: 2 4 9 10
R9 Hyland Race Colours Doncaster 1500m
Another lottery! 18 horses are named for this race and current favourite Excess Knowledge looks the goods. While carrying the most weight in the race, it will be running strongly and be right in the mix. One to keep an eye on is Rock Sturdy. If fit can run as good as any of the others. Would love a heavy track. Cosmic Cube looks great value at $11, and kicked away nicely last start. Amovatio didn’t disappoint last start with a solid run for third. Will be right in this and loves Rosehill. Shoreham also possibly worth an each way bet at long odds.
Best Bet: Cosmic Cube
Quaddie Numbers: 1 3 5 13 14
Best Bets of the card:
R3 Sir John Hawkwood @ $6.00
R4 Malaguerra @ $2.70
R8 Lady Le Fay @$11.00