Caulfield // 30th April

For the third week in a row we’re back at Caulfield for Saturday’s metro Victorian racing. It’s Thoroughbred Club Cup Day and some surprisingly good fields are prime for some good betting and some even better racing. The forecasted rain on Friday might see us get into the Good 4 range. Depending on the severity we could see a Soft track but it’s unlikely.

The headline races for Saturday at Caulfield are the $120,000 Thoroughbred Club Cup (Race 5) and the $90,000 Cramer Plate Open Handicap (Race 8). There are plenty of high quality support races on offer as well so make sure to read the race by race analysis, the best bets, one for exotics and quadrella selections available for free below.

Race 1 3YO Fillies Handicap 1600m

She’s Got Speed was wide throughout and stuck on well behind a subsequent winner Bengal Cat in a handy race. She finished alongside Silent Sedition and she won a Group 3 last week. Unbeaten third up and goes well at 1600, should be fitter and should be winning. Laqha really got moving late to grab Dane Thunder at Sandown last time. The race prior he was solid behind Tarquin and the form from that race has been good. Valentine’s Reward was run over late over 1400 in a weak Pakenham race. Looking back further she finished a 0.75L second to Jezzabba who has been running super lately. Fife goes in wider exotics and Antelucan may be able to bounce back after a poor performance first up

One for exotics: Valentines Reward ($13)

Race prediction: 4-1-8-5

Race 2 Benchmark 90 2000m

Thought Zahspeed might be a bit shorter in this race. His stats at the track are quite poor but his form this preparation is outstanding. Doctor Care came out of his last win to beat a real handy one last week; if he does no work to get the lead from the barrier he should prove very tough to run down again. Gabella is another who is way down in the weights and should appreciate the step up in trip here. Should be fitter third up and looks a nice each way chance at 10$. Tarquin might be a danger. He’s never run this far which is the worry as he wasn’t storming home over 1600 but he’s down in the weights. Like the Bengal Cat form short odds are risky in this open race. Haradafull is a winner and should appreciate the step up in trip, this is tougher than last time. Kareeming mixes his form up and is impossible to catch. He wasn’t disgraced in a strong race last time. Up in the weights but also out to a big price which appeals.

One for exotics: Gabella ($10)

Race prediction: 7-9-8-6

Race 3 Benchmark 78 1100m

Magnagem will be hard to beat here. She handled the class jump last start and has a nice drop in weight after finishing infront of the handy Grey Street. This is her pet distance and has drawn well. Top chance. One who i think might be over the odds is Squeaky Squirrel. Drawn wide but in well after the claim, he has a great record third up and at 1100. His one effort at Caulfield was a second behind Real Time in this grade. I’ll be having a small bet each way at $51. My Poppette can run a big race fresh. Theres no doubt she’ll want further but her 3 year old form is fantastic through the likes of Badawiya, Petits Filous and Jameka. Trialled poorly? Orujo runs his best over 1000m. Monitor the betting for his first start over from Sydney but with a poor third up and distance record I think he’s under the odds. Olivier has minor claims.

One for exotics: Squeaky Squirrel ($51)

Race prediction: 13-5-2-3

Race 4 4YO+ Open Handicap 1100m

I’m sticking by the French Emotion and Enquare form and going for She’s Miss Devine again. Was top pick last week before being scratched and looks better suited here. She’s short enough but the drop back in distance looks ideal and drawn perfectly in 2. Pink Perfection always runs well first up and was pretty dominant over this track and trip last preparation. Drawn wide. Andrassy ran well first up but the race was below average. The 0.3L second to Mefnooda last preparation looks good. Kayjay’s Joy ticks all the boxes. Drawn wide but wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the finish at 14$. Exclusive Lass can bounce back at big odds. Pretty Possum next best.

One for exotics: Kayjay’s Joy ($14)

Race prediction: 4-5-8-3

Race 5 Thoroughbred Club Cup 1200m

The lightly raced Curvature looks a top chance here. He’s still a maiden but his first start he was close to a subsequent group 2 winner in Seaburge. Monitor the betting first up. Dissolute was well backed last start and stormed home to grab second behind Valliano here in the Vobis Ingot. That ties in with the top pick. Was a big fan of Toorak Toff so i’ll be keeping my eyes on the first starter Wangaala and might even have a small bet at $21. Trialled very well. Highland Beat stormed home at Caulfield in march in a reasonable race. He made light work of his rivals last time at Sandown and is capable of going on with it. Tough race as it’s hard to assess most of these.

One for exotics: Wangaala ($21)

Race prediction: 3-4-11-1

Race 6 3YO Open Handicap 1200m

Put a line through Divine Mr Artie’s first up run. It was a nightmare for those who backed him as he didn’t get clear galloping room the entire straight. Im willing to forgive and think he can beat this lot. The lightly raced Amadeus is a month between runs and back in distance after a nice second behind Silent Sedition. He was every possible chance on that occasion and took his time to get moving. 1200 a big query. Bassett’s best is certainly good enough. Wasn’t far off some good ones first and second up and failed on the soft track interstate. Drawn wide and has the apprentice; will need some luck but has to go in. Nat’s The Boss always runs well. He’s way down in the weights today and could bob up at odds.

One for exotics: Nat’s The Boss ($11)

Race prediction: 7-5-1-12

Quaddie numbers: 1, 5, 7, 10, 12

Race 7 3YO Open Handicap 1800m

Don’t like this race. Not usually a fan of Wednesday grade but Loyalty Man was good last start. Red Alto behind him looked like he was going to shoot straight past him but just peaked on the run. Wide barrier but with any luck in running he might be able to bob up at big odds. Unbreakable had a pretty cruisy run behind the leader last time. He’ll have to do it tough from barrier 13. The formlines are good and he’s the class runner but he’s certainly short enough. Wide barrier but with any luck in running he might be able to bob up at big odds. We know he can stay. Zandarral will be fitter second up. Scandal Street and Silver Stratum go in.

One for exotics: Red Alto ($18)

Race prediction: 1-4-2-5

Quaddie numbers: 1, 2, 4, 5, 12, 13

Race 8 Open Handicap 1400m

Charmed Harmony almost held on this track and distance last start in fast time but was overhauled by a very good one right on the line. Kept fresh for this and should be hard to beat. Drawn wide and might have to work for the lead a concern. Thought Sistine Demon might give a bit of cheek at odds if right first up and he was a bit stiff not to win after running out of gas at the 100m mark. Has a poor record second up but has drawn well and should be fitter. After picking Enquare as my best at odds 3 runs in a row she’s finally come up short here. The run was good but looks under the odds at the 4$ quote. I was impressed by Lord Durante’s run second up. He wasn’t far off Enquare after being wide throughout. If Gauci takes him to the lead he’s a tough horse to get past. Hi World has minor claims.

One for exotics: Lord Durante ($21)

Race prediction: 1-6-9-11

Quaddie numbers: 1, 6

Race 9 Benchmark 84 1600m

Think Mihany will be hard to beat here. He’s back from a successful stint in Adelaide and the form from his last race has been good. Monteux looks the danger. Was slightly disappointing behind entre nous two back when right in the market. It may have been the soft track or racing a bit flat second up but wasn’t far away last start. He has a weight swing on the top weight and should put in a much improved run from the good barrier. Entre Nous is in peak form and wasn’t far off two smart horses last time. Plenty of weight to carry and the wide barrier a concern but he loves the mile. Must go in. Zlatan could be the blowout here. Drawn well and wasn’t far off Killarney Kid and beat home Zahspeed not long ago. Hard Call has a whopping 7 kilo turnaround on Entre Nous for a 1.5L defeat. Warrants respect at $7.50. Plot the Course isn’t hopeless.

One for exotics: Zlatan ($17)

Race prediction: 4-6-1-10

Quaddie numbers: 1, 4, 6, 10, 16

Best Bets of the Card

Race 1: She’s Got Speed W@3.80

Race 3: Magnagem W@5.25

Race 4: She’s Miss Devine W@3.10

Race 6: Divine Mr Artie W@6.00

Hawkesbury // 30th April

R1 Tab Highway Plate 1100m

Atom Eve* has been as strong as every in her three starts to date. Flying at the moment and will be hard to beat. Noble Joey will be right up there with McDonald on board. Won well last start and could win here. Bid Of Faith looks great value around the $7.50 mark. A couple of wins in Canberra and a close third at Randwick last start. Up slightly in weight but drawn barrier one and McEvoy on board will help. Proffessor Marx could threaten, however has worse form behind Bitburg than Noble Joey. Will need luck to win.

Prediction: 5-1-7-3

One To Watch: Bid Of Faith

R2 Richmond Club Provincial-bm85 2100m

Hipparchus won well last start at Kembla Grange, however didn’t trial well after that. That’s why Duca Valentinois is our top pick. Won well at Warwick Farm a few weeks ago and if it improves here it will be too strong. One that looks huge overs is He’s Dreaming. We liked him last start and he placed at nice odds. Could easily place and will go close to pinching this. Loving Home is an honest horse that has some decent form lines of late. Glyn Schofield takes the ride and will give it a good crack.

Prediction: 4-6-5-3

One To Watch: He’s Dreaming

R3 Blakes Marine Claret Stakes 1300m

Tough race to judge this. Radcliffe was impressive last start, winning at Warwick Farm. McDonald retains the ride, however it does gain 2kg. Looks like the one with the most potential. Anghaard* beat home Yankee Rose in a trial not long ago, and has won 2 from 2 since then. Drops 1.5kg here and will give it a real crack! Alliterate won well in Wellington, however has only been okay since then. Slight drop in weight and with a bit of luck it can win. Swear is a late entry in this race. Finished nicely in a recent trial but yet to race competitively. Could cause a shock.

Prediction: 1-6-5-4

One To Watch: Swear

R4 Hawkesbury Xxxx Gold Rush 1100m

Furnaces was disappointing in the Fireball last start, finishing 7 lengths last. He has immense quality though and we’re tipping him to fight back here. Low in the weights with McDonald on board gives it a real chance. Inz’n’out has been around the mark against some really good horses of late. Definitely in with a chance here. Coolring has the all important Malaguerra form. Up in weight since that run but definitely has the quality for this. Keep handy. Fine Mist actually beat home Inz’n’out two starts ago, however loses half a kilo on him here. If it gets going it’ll have every chance.

Prediction: 7-6-3-5

One To Watch: Furnaces

R5 Toyota Ladies Day Cup (bm85) 1300m

Rock Forthe Ladies has been competitive in all three starts this year. Ran on well last start against good opposition and drops a kilo here. Danish Twist was one of the best performing horses over the championships a few weeks back and will definitely be around the mark here, despite gaining 4kg. Ryker wasn’t far behind Rock Forthe Ladies last start and also loses a kilo here. Might be better for that run and could threaten here. In that same race, Mohave, while disappointing, has a lot of quality. It looks a great each way bet at $26. Gamblestown is one that could also surprise a few. Has won at higher grades than this in the past, and wasn’t too far off at Wyong last start.

Prediction: 3-7-6-2

One To Watch: Mohave

R6 2016 Godolphin Crown 1300m

We were all over Nancy last start, and to finish fourth was disappointing. However, we know she has the talent and if given a good ride by McEvoy will be one of the best chances. Ammirata pounced last last time to win very well. Has shown a great ability to win and will rate itself here. While finishing 5th last start, Fitou wasn’t too far off them. Has shown great potential and McDonald on board and low weight will suit well. Godolphin crown for Godolphin? Press Report was good last start, finishing 1.5 lengths behind Ammirata. Now has a 2kg weight swing in it’s favour here and looks a great each way bet at $15. Two Blue won at huge odds last start and surprised many with that win. Up 5kg in weight will make it tough but don’t write her off.

Prediction: 9-6-14-11

One To Watch: Press Report

Quaddie Numbers: 1 6 9 11 14

R7 Panthers Hawkesbury Gold Cup 1600m

Strawberry Boy wasn’t too far off last start and gets some nice weight relief here. Has the quality and loves the track. Medcaut was 2.8 lengths off Strawberry Boy last start, and has a half kilo turn around on it too. With a better run and a bit of luck could win. Sons Of John has a good first up record, and while disappointing towards the end of last prep, might be better for the freshen up. Ecuador has been a great competitor to Sons Of John too and can’t be dismissed here. Mighty Lucky actually beat Strawberry Boy home last start but doesn’t drop as much weight. Might find it a bit too tough. Kellyville Flyer loves being second up and with a bit of improvement could run a cheeky race.

Prediction: 5-11-8-7

One To Watch: Medcaut

Quaddie Numbers: 5 7 8 11

R8 Blacktown Workers H’bury Gneas 1400m

Handfast* has been absolutely flying this prep. McDonald retains the ride and this looks as though it’ll be tough to beat. Spill The Beans was okay in a huge race last start. Racing against lesser quality here and could take the win. Serene Majesty is probably the next best hope, turning around 3kg on the favourite here. Will be tough and will need luck, though. Denmagic is not without a chance here. Low in weight and been running well of late. All others might find this too tough.

Prediction: 2-1-10-4

One To Watch: Spill The Beans

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2

R9 Fishboy Seafoods (bm77) 1500m

Careless was only 1.7 lengths off Trafalgar and turns around 2.5kg here. Drawn midfield and if it can get out early it will have every chance. Trafalgar was good last start, holding on for a win. Hasn’t finished out of the placings yet and if it improves slightly here it should win. Santa Rocks was good last start for a close second in a similar grade to the Trafalgar race. Will want to get out to a good start and look for the lead. Mackintosh is a bit of an unknown. Was far back in a huge race last start, but could come out the blocks and smash these, or could disappoint at the back. Man Of Choice has the quality here but up in weights might make it too tough.

Prediction: 6-9-16-14

One To Watch: Star Wars

Quaddie Numbers: 4 6 9 14 16

 

Best Bets of the Card:

R1 – #5 Atom Eve W@ $2.20

R3 – #6 Anghaard EW @ $8.50/2.35

R8 – #2 Handfast W @ $2.35

 

 

Sandown // 27th April

R1 The Grand Hotel Frankston Mdn 1200m

Art Of Perception was a fair way back in it’s first start at Caulfield. However, He did face some tough opponents, and eventual winner Bassett has been impressive of late. Hasn’t run for a while so keep safe. Ayda hasn’t run this year and might have needed the freshen up to run well here. Finished far back against good opposition last start. Blue Money wasn’t too far off in her last start. Will jump the widest but could win this. Thirty Grand Over was so close to breaking it’s maiden last start, and with Oliver on board will give it a real go here. Miles Of Krishan is yet to debut or trial, but out of Snitzel could surprise a few.

Prediction: 5-3-2-4

One To Watch: Miles Of Krishan

R2 The Cove Hotel Mdn Plate 1400m

St Rumon was very close last start, drawn well and Rawiller on board are both ticks. Sacred Days looks like a horse with some potential. Was close last start and with a bit of luck can win this. Ticketing was disappointing last start on synthetic, however has every chance again here. Sacred Theme wasn’t too far off last start and will be hard to beat here with Boss on board. Best Hoffa just can’t seem to gain it’s first win, with a bit of luck here it will look to do so.

Prediction: 6-5-7-8

One To Watch: Best Hoffa

R3 Thebigscreencompany.com (bm70) 1200m

Weather The Storm* has shown great promise in her first few starts. Not far off Silent Sedition and Risque, if it recreates that form it will be hard to beat. Mystic Moon has been in relatively good form recently, however up in the weights here. Drawn in the middle and Bayliss will claim 1.5kg; second best pick. Tycoon Kate won on debut last start, and will be competitive once again here. New Summer Night has been around the mark in lower grades than this, will need to improve a lot to win. Gingie will be looking to improve here and could surprise a few.

Prediction: 4-1-3-2

One To Watch: Tycoon Kate

R4 Schweppes (bm78) 2100m

Maraudamiss has been very good in her last few starts. She’s making a jump up in class, and hasn’t won at this distance before but will be competitive. Choux Diva ran well two starts back at long odds, and improved last start but couldn’t find a win. Could put in a real shift here. Belvedere Road drops a few kilo’s here and will jump from the inside. Not the worst bet at decent odds ($12). We liked Are The Bungs In last start and it didn’t disappoint at $18! Tougher here but not without a chance!

Prediction: 3-7-1-5

One To Watch: Are The Bungs In

R5 Beck Property Group Plate-bm70 1400m

Rib Eye went back to trial recently and won that convincingly. Hasn’t won at this distance from two starts but looks better after that trial. Caprese has been running well in this grade and looks as though the extra 200m will suit. Oliver on board a big tick. Jezzabba has shown signs of improvement the last few starts and could easily win this being low in the weights. Hunamosa has only raced four times to date, however hasn’t looked the same since it’s first two. Not beyond it here but will need luck. Captain Kittinger won impressively last start, albeit in a bm64. Up here but has won at the distance before, keep handy.

Prediction: 8-2-11-4

One To Watch: Captain Kittinger

Quaddie Numbers: 2 4 8 9 11

R6 Ladbrokes Live Play (bm70) 1600m

Kalidaz* has been very impressive so far, beating Devilishly by 4 lengths, and backing that up with a close third. Statton won well last start, beating Jezzabba by a length. Has won at the distance and could do so again. Iron Spider was blocked for a run last start, which was disappointing. Has the quality, just a matter of if it can get the job done. Pendles is up in weight, however it ran brilliantly last start. If it improves from that run it will have every chance. Aurum Spirit is one that could surprise here. Has been around the mark lately and given some luck can win.

Prediction: 12-4-11-1

One To Watch: Pendles

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 4 11 12

R7 Catanach’s Jewellers Plte-bm70 1200m

Good Offa has been super this year, going 4:1,3,0 so far. Has a real chance here. Miniver has shown real promise of late as well. Williams on board and low in weight should suit nicely. Tiger’s Cub* look as though the drop back in class will suit. Has been flying home lately and will look to do the same here. Lord Barrington has the quality if at it’s best. Won nicely last start and might string together some nice runs here. Spirit Or Lager is one that could surprise. Placing nicely in it’s last two starts at a higher grade, this isn’t out of the question.

Prediction: 8-6-11-1

One To Watch: Spirit Or Lager

Quaddie Numbers: 1 6 8 10 11

R8 Le Pine Funerals (bm70) 2100m

The Bandit* looks very hard to beat here. Won nicely two starts ago and wasn’t too far off Zahspeed last start. Never ran at this distance before but it seems as though it will suit. Western Kingdom won well last start at this distance. Not without a chance here from barrier 3. Surging Wave ran decently at around this distance last start, could surprise a few here at decent odds ($16). Crocodile Rock got out to a long maiden last start and won well. Might be a long distance horse and therefore will enjoy this extended trip. Keep Handy.

Prediction: 2-10-7-3

One To Watch: Surging Wave

Quaddie Numbers: 2 7 10

Best Bets of the card:

R3 – #4 Weather The Storm W @ $2.80

R6 – #12 Kalidaz W @$4.20

R7 – #6 Tiger’s Cub EW @$12/3.60

R8 – #2 The Bandit W @$2.75

 

Flemington // 25th April

The Box Seat gets it’s first crack at Headquarters on Anzac Day. Flemington is a fantastic track where every horse generally gets it’s chance which makes for great betting. Not all horses handle the straight racing that takes place between 1000-1200 metres, resulting in many long priced winners. It pays to take note of which side of the track is the winning side on the day. Flemington form is usually a big tick when studying up. The track is rated a Soft 5 but with the good weather between now and then the condition is most likely to be upgraded to the Good 4 – Good 3 range on Monday.

The headline races for Monday at Flemington are the $200,000 VRC St Leger (Race 5) and the $120,000 Anzac Day Stakes (Race 2). A race by race analysis including one for exotics, best bets of the card and quadrella selections are provided below.

Race 1 3YO Fillies Benchmark 70 1000m

Hard to tip against Miss Vista here. She was well backed on debut and smashed the clock being eased up on the line in a reasonable Ballarat maiden. This is obviously tougher but this isn’t the greatest field. She should be winning but I won’t be taking the odds on first time up the Flemington straight. Dance With Fontein looks over the odds at $13. Beat home Bella Capri (subsequent winner Saturday) over this trip and grade last start. Also has a claiming apprentice, the move from country to metro the query. Fleur Fatale is first up off a year long break. She was scratched on Saturday for this event and isn’t without claims. 58 kilos is no easy task but she looks one of the major players. Maddie Moo Moo is another Weir runner with good fresh form. Blinkers on; she can run well here. Concede chances to Georgie’s Luce, Scandimania and World of Hope in an open race to kick off proceedings.

One for exotics: Dance With Fontein ($13)

Race prediction: 6-2-1-10

Race 2 Anzac Day Stakes 1400m

Smart As You Think ran a nice race on debut. He has a two kilo swing on the winner for a 2.5 length defeat. The race fitness and experience are big ticks; top pick on an each way basis. Pyx Chamber was well backed and won pretty easily last time out at Sandown. He meets many of these worse off at the weights but will be very hard to beat again as the step up in trip looks ideal. October Tutu certainly isn’t without claims. He was run down by Pyx Chamber but just kept on fighting to go down by just over a length. $10 looks over the odds. Mr Markou has the winkers first time and hasn’t been far away in some stronger races. Throssell next best. Biased Witness looks unders at $4 off a strong win in Pakenham maiden class.

One for exotics: October Tutu ($10)

Race prediction: 10-1-6-2

Race 3 Fillies and Mares Benchmark 84 1610m

Loveitt showed an impressive turn of foot in Wednesday class last start on the soft track coming from last to score impressively. This is tougher but she was a mile back and the step up in distance looks ideal. Craig Williams jumps on and clearly the one to beat for mine. Testability is the danger. She was well backed in this class at Caulfield and ran well. 51 after the claim, the mile looks her go and I like the Tears of Joy form. Hijack Hussy was pretty poor last start. She had a cruisy run and was entitled to do more in the straight. If she shows the turn of foot she did the two starts prior she can win. 60 kilos is no easy task. Long Face Grace runs well second up and her one crack at 1600 was an impressive win. Could be worth a bet at $16. Marli Magic should be kept safe. John Sadler has two in the race including the favourite yet Tom Sadler jumps on the $21 shot.

One for exotics: Long Face Grace ($16)

Race prediction: 9-12-1-6

Race 4 3YO Handicap 1400m

The trick to Sir Sagamore seems to be a good track. He was desperately unlucky having his run blocked last start and should’ve finished much closer. Well weighted, now gains a start and looks a good each way bet at $12. Barrier 11 the only query. Un de Sceaux ran okay behind some classy horses last time. Looks well poised in this class and 17$ looks overs. Turbo Miss has drawn wide but her form is too good to ignore. Would be top pick if a senior rider was on board. Iron Boss wasn’t far away first up last prep in a maiden. He went on beat Tally next start and if he runs to that effort he can challenge here. Air Apparent was scratched on Saturday for this race. She likes Flemington and might be ready to show her best from last preparation.

One for exotics: Un de Sceaux ($17)

Race prediction: 19-12-2-13

Race 5 VRC St Leger 2800m

Cool Chap was no match for the winner last start but he still ran through the line strongly. 2800 seems as though it will suit based on how his preparation has gone so far. I can’t see anything from behind him in that race turning the tables. Theres no doubt Etymology is well placed in this grade and distance. If he runs up to his Vic Derby run at Flemington he’ll be very hard to beat. $2 is unders for a horse who has only won once. Joueur looks like he’ll get the distance which is a big tick. Huge class jump but Oliver jumps on board and could be a nice each way bet at 13$. $26 when markets opened. These look the three but Hardern ran well behind Cool Chap at 2000 two starts ago. Hasn’t drawn the carpark today and well weighted. Distance the obvious query.

One for exotics: Joueur ($13)

Race prediction: 3-1-7-2

Quaddie selections: 1, 3

Race 6 Anzac Cup 4YO+ 2530m

Big Memory just keeps finding a way to get beaten. The Red Bomber and Nevis form looks super and think he’ll be rock hard fit after a great performance over 2400 last start. The step up in 800 metres may have taken its toll over the latter stages of the Mornington Cup. The old battler Tuscan Fire can put in an improved performance here after finally drawng well. He does his best work at Flemington and wasn’t too far away in the Mornington Cup before having to burn to lead at Terang last start. Could give a sight at $21. Tintaglia was simply dominant and Sandown on the heavy track. This is a huge class jump but if she runs anything like last start she can be in the finish. Swacadelic beat Real Love and Signoff over this distance. His best is good enough but needs to lift. High Church just held on after leading last start in an easier race at Morphettville. Down in the weights and with the good barrier, if he decides to lead he might prove hard to run down.

One for exotics: Tuscan Fire ($21)

Race prediction: 1-4-12-2

Quaddie selections: 1, 2, 4, 12

Race 7 Open Handicap 1700m

Nevis was fantastic last start. He jumped well to take the lead, railed well and never looked out of second gear with some quality gallopers unable to make ground. Drawn wide today and up in the weights, should be very hard to beat. Atlantis Dream looks the danger coming from well back last time. Goes well at the track and has a good third up record; I don’t think the 2.5kg swing is enough to turn the tables. Also drawn wide. Petrology is getting better with every run this prep. Drawn perfectly, if he shows his best he could blow them away. Turnitaround ran well first up. Suited out to this distance and loves the track, poor second up record the query. Inspector closed well last start and has drawn wide again. He’ll be a long way back. Hans Holbein is a big watch first up for the Hickmott stable.

One for exotics: Turnaround ($21)

Race prediction: 1-4-7-15

Quaddie selections: 1

Race 8 Benchmark 84 1200m

Very open race. We’ve Got This thrives down the Flemington straight. He was scratched from the Bel Esprit on Saturday for this and despite the big weight looks a great chance here. Good fresh stats as well. Supido runs very well fresh and loves the straight track. Won his last 4 and is clearly the one to beat. This is tougher, 2.20 looks unders. Zupacharged really got going late in an on pace dominated race last start. Crossed the line with Saturdays listed winner Sheidel, could be the blowout at 26$. Duibio loves the straight and does his best work kept fresh. Illustrious Lad was dominant in Adelaide in a weak race. He is also proven down the straight and must be considered despite the form being poor out of his last race. Chivalry is first up for the Weir stable. Face Forward can bounce back.

One for exotics: Zupacharged ($26)

Race prediction: 2-7-8-15

Quaddie selections: 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 15, 18

Best Bets of the Card

Race 4: Sir Sagamore E.W@10:3.40

Race 6: Big Memory W@3.60

Race 7: Nevis W@3.80

Side note: we recommend taking advantage of Ladbrokes Odds Boost when placing bets

Rosehill // 23rd April

With the Sydney championships drawing to a close last weekend, racing returns to Rosehill this Saturday. Some modest races here but nevertheless some great horses running. Let’s find some winners!

R1 Hyland Race Colours (bm75) 1200m

Reincarnate has excelled lately, winning by a combined margin of 6.3 lengths over his last three starts. Keeps on improving and another challenge here. Will be up there. Sir Bacchus won well two starts back, and was only 4 lengths off Mahuta in it’s last. Had a small spell and might be better for that. Wudang Mountain has been up there in his last two starts for two relatively close seconds in a marginally higher grade than this. Will be competitive if it can manage the high weight. Pioneering is one to look out for. Only just beaten by Denmagic two starts ago and drawn in barrier 1 here, it has every chance.

Best Bet: Reincarnate

R2 Pluck @ Vinery Hcp 1100m

Tough race this. A few first starters too which will be interesting. Gretna was not far off Najmaat last start, which is some strong form. Bowman on board a big tick. Impending is yet to race, however found the line well in a recent trial. Drawn in barrier three here and with McDonald on board looks a good bet. Mooshakissa was mildly disappointing last start, however was up against top horses. With a bit of luck she can win this. Alliterate actually beat Mooshakissa home last start, and if it can reproduce the quality it has shown in the past, there’s no reason she can’t win. Two that can surprise here are Winning Rupert (4 trials for 2 wins, no competitive races), and Redouble (led the whole way in recent trial).

Best Bet: Gretna

R3 James Boag’s Premium (bm78) 2400m

Murphy’s Delight ran third last start, 0.4 lengths behind Rhodin Drive and He’s Dreaming. He drops half a kilo here while Rhodin Drive gains 1.5kg and He’s Dreaming holds its weight. If they all run the same Murphy’s Delight will win. Mr Steal was impressive last start, winning the Orange Cup. Up in the weights but drawn inside barrier, keep handy. Doc Holiday blitzed the field by over 2 lengths last start. Low in weight here and should be up there again.

Best Bet: Murphy’s Delight

R4 Highway Hcp (c2) 1500m

Galaxy Warrior has started in stunning fashion, winning it’s second and third starts by a total of 9.8 lengths! Flying at the moment and will be hard to beat. Oh So Unfair was also impressive last start, winning by 2.3 lengths at Wagga. If it can get out and across early it will have every chance. Allzin is not hopeless here at $15. Is always competitive and drops 2.5kg here. Laredo Hussler drops significantly in weight, and with Bowman on board is a good hope. One that could surprise is Caribbean Concert.

Best Bet: Oh So Unfair

R5 Schweppes (bm78) 1500m

Moher was only 2.3 lengths off He’s Our Rokkii last start. McDonald on board and drawn midfield looks as though it suits. Falkenberg is yet to run a poor race. Won well recently and down in the weights it’ll be right up there. Chandana has been around the mark in lower grade races than this. Jumps from barrier one and Bowman on board are both ticks though. Imposing Lass won by 4 lengths last start and drops 4.5kg here. Look for it to get out early and it’ll be hard to chase down. Multifacets has enough quality for this, but drawn wide and up in the weights it might be too tough.

Best Bet: Moher

R6 Benchmark 78 1400m

Sort After is a horse with serious potential. Yet to run poorly and if it has improved in the slightest from previous runs, it should win this. Tremezzina is an honest horse and has been running well of late. Muy Bien was disappointing last start but went back and had a trial, and looks better for it. Not without a chance. Parraay turns around 2.5kg on Unequivocal and looks a decent longer odds bet.

Best Bet: Sort After

Quaddie Numbers: 5 6 7 10 or just 10

R7 Bowermans Furniture (bm83) 1500m

High Midnight ran in some big races towards the end of last year, and his first start this year won well. Looks the best bet here. His Majesty ran a good race at the championships a few weeks back. Watch it fly home late. Three starts back, Spy Decoder was very good, running a close second to Religify, however the two since then have been disappointing. Not out of it but will need some luck. Himalaya Dream will jump wide but this race is not beyond him. Dance Of Hereos has had a bit of a break recently and might be better for it. Should be around the mark. Sapphire Of Patch is undefeated so far, coming out to Australia for his first start. Has good form but will it be able to perform here?

Best Bet: High Midnight

Quaddie Numbers: 2 3 4 7 9 10

R8 Mcgrath Estate Agents (bm78) 1350m

Open race this, no stand out favourites will make it difficult. Well Hardley Ever has ran well for it’s two starts this year. Slight increase in weight to last start shouldn’t be an issue and McDonald on board will be good. Painte has been good this campaign, and looks to be in peak condition. Hetty Heights ran well in the provincial championships, and if it maintains that performance here it will be up there. Bowman rides Rockolicious here and will give it every hope. Has been running in higher grades than this which should suit.

Best Bet: Painte

Quaddie Numbers: 2 6 7 11

R9 Benchmark 85 1100m

Mogador showed us how good he really is towards the end of last year. He wasn’t too far behind last start, but will want to improve here. Prince Famous has the quality here if it can get out from it’s wide start. Alart ran very well last start at long odds and doesn’t gain any more weight. If it can reproduce that run it can win. Freeze The Charges was very consistent last prep. Resumes now and is decent first up. Our Renaissance won well at Wyong last start, another challenge here but if it gets some luck can surprise them.

Best Bet: Mogador

Quaddie Numbers: either 10 or 2 3 4 10 11

 

Caulfield // 23rd April

Caulfield sets the stage again this Saturday for Melbourne Racing. With the Sydney Autumn Carnival now finished the spotlight returns to Victorian Racing. The track is currently rated at a Good 3. Showers are forecasted for Thursday which might mean we race on a Good 4 by Saturday.

The headline races for Saturday at Caulfield is the $120,000 Bel Esprit Stakes (Race 8) and the $90,000 Group Plate (Race 9). Some talented horses are resuming in the Bel Esprit preparing the long road ahead for the Spring Carnival, should be a cracking race. A race by race analysis including one for exotics, best bets of the card and quadrella selections are provided below.

Race 1 2YO Fillies Handicap

Cant have a confident bet here.
Decoco looked smart on debut, can go on with it. Giroux has been freshened after being well beaten by Highland Beat who won today at Sandown; drawn 15. Merriest, Modern Warrior, Phoenix Rising and Special Diva are all bred well.

One for exotics: Modern Warrior ($14)

Race prediction: 3-11-8-1. Plenty of scratchings. pass

Race 2 Fillies and Mares Benchmark 78 1000m

Pilly’s Wish has a good fresh record and never runs a bad race. Looks well placed after the claim in this grade and will be storming home. Grey Street has some good form around the likes of Jalan Jalan, Petits Filous and Stellar Collision. Finished well last start and the drop back in distance is the only query; should be very hard to beat. Hotel Sierra looks ready to win after finishing hard at her previous two outings. Looks a good chance to run a place at $3.80. Bella Capri resumed in a weak race at Pakenham and just missed. She has a good record second up but might find this a bit tough. If Hotel Sierra can run well that ties in Solar Duchess.

One for exotics: Hotel Sierra ($12)

Race prediction: 1-6-3-8

Race 3 Benchmark 78 1800m

Raw Impulse ran a cracker of a race first up beating subsequent winner Into The Mist. It was his first run in Australia and if he’s progressed at all he will be winning this one too. Houdini the Great drops back from a stronger race where he just missed after finishing hard at this distance. Should go well again. Tips and Beers hasn’t quite found his form from last preparation but he does seem to like it at caulfield so look for an improved showing. Bantry Bay looks a true stayer and is the pick of the Hickmott pair for mine. Watch the betting on him and also Morning Mix for their first runs in Australia.

One for exotics: Houdini the Great ($13)

Race prediction: 5-10-9-12

Race 4 Benchmark 84 1440m

King’s Dance can run a nice race fresh at $10. Last preparation he was run over late but beat home Tonopah and has the relative weights advantage as well. Running Bull’s best is certainly good enough. His last start effort suggests he may be ready to return to the winners circle. Goes well at 1400. Harbour Grey drops a whopping 6.5kg on his last start second at odds on. Should prove hard to beat here. Armada finished powerfully last start to just miss and looks as though he’ll relish the 1440 here (4 starts at the distance for 0 placings though). He might want it wet. Watch the betting on Time to Test from Adelaide first up.

One for exotics: Running Bull ($17)

Race prediction: 7-2-10-1

Race 5 Fillies and Mares Benchmark 84 1440m

She’s Miss Devine was eased up on the line at her first run in Victoria and the form from the race has been good. Up 5.5kg the concern. Mefnooda was impressive resuming and dead heated (stiff not to win) in a high quality race. Her third to La Passe last prep reads well for this and seems the logical danger. Telopea was no match for the top pick last start. She gets a 3 kilo swing for a 2 length defeat but was losing ground over the latter stages of the race. Undefeated at the distance. It’s One was promising first up. has a good record second up and can sneak into the placings.

One for exotics: Its One ($26)

Race prediction: 1-9-6-5

Race 6 3YO Fillies Benchmark 70 1440m

Deja Blue will be hard to beat here after Ben Thompson’s claim. She raced very greenly in the straight last time but the step up in distance looks ideal and think she can turn the tables on the talented undefeated Lyuba. Take nothing away from Lyuba as she showed plenty of fight in her most recent win. The one issue i have with the formline above is it is Wednesday grade. If Magna Rossa shows her form from January she can take this out. She was 4 wide without cover last time in a stronger race than this and ran on okay. Backstreet Lover can run a big race fresh and must be kept safe after trialling well. Air Apparent’s best is good enough; she hasn’t shown it this prep. Watch the betting on Francais from Sydney.

One for exotics: Magna Rossa ($14)

Race prediction: 4-1-5-3

Quaddie numbers: 1, 3, 4, 5, 11

Race 7 3YO Benchmark 78 1100m

I think Prussian Vixen is terrific value here at $19. She’s in career best form and the drop back in distance looks ideal after leading, kicking in the straight and just holding on last start. The start prior she was close up to French Emotion who has two close seconds since (should be two wins). Second out of that race is Stoker who probably wants further and is $5. I know who my money will be on out of those two. Invincible Heart can run a race fresh from the good barrier. Whether she tries to lead or goes back I’m not quite sure, hopefully settles forward. Our Vidia could be good value at $21; like the Jalan Jalan form out of that race. Fleur Fatale might be one to watch first up off a lengthy spell. Will be risking from the wide barrier.

One for exotics: Prussian Vixen ($19)

Race prediction: 2-4-3-8

Quaddie numbers: 2, 3, 4, 8

Race 8 Bel Esprit Stakes 1100m

Sheidel was given no hope after her tardy start last time, it was on-pace dominated and she finished hard; won’t be taking short odds in this field but she can win. Pittsburgh Flyer loves the track despite her deceiving record. Flopped in the Galaxy but if she runs up to her Oakleigh Plate effort prior she can take this one out. That’s A Good Idea was only 1 length off Terravista at his most recent first up effort. Loves the short trip; keep safe. Mirage is one that can bounce back at big odds. Under the Louvre has a good record fresh but raced a bit flat first up last prep. He’ll be storming home and might find 1100 a touch short. Also conceding chances to Husson Eagle, Girl Guide and We’ve Got This.

One for exotics: Mirage ($21)

Race prediction: 9-4-2-8

Quaddie numbers: 2, 4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 16

Race 9 Group Plate Open Handicap 2000m

Kareeming had a tough run last start and was run over late by a handy one. Drawn well, he should get a nice run on the pace. A repeat of his last performance and should be very hard to get past in the straight. Good Value put in an improved run last time after being specked at odds. The drop in class helps and he was less than two lengths off Guardini who romped in last week at Randwick. Real Love has had two tries at Caulfield (at Group Level) and finished a long way off them. This is clearly easier but 5 weeks between runs and the sharp drop in distance is a query. Weir will have her firing but she might just need this run. Golden Mane will be flying home late but i prefer Kareeming out of their most recent outing. Digitalism is one who can mix his form. Very strong at the distance and Mornington Cup winner Berisha finished behind him at his previous start. Likes it wet.

One for exotics: Good Value ($13)

Race prediction: 12-9-1-14

Quaddie numbers: 9, 12, 14

Best Bets of the Card

Race 2: Pilly’s Wish E.W@7:2.50

Race 3: Raw Impulse W@2.20

Race 5: She’s Miss Devine W@2.70 High confidence on the second pick after the scratching. Mefnooda W@3.40

Race 7: Prussian Vixen E.W@19:5.50

Royal Randwick // 16th April

Another big day of racing here in Sydney for the Autumn carnival with the running of the All Aged Stakes and the Champagne Stakes. Some top horses feature here in what should be a great day of racing.

R1 Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1200m

Circle Game looks to have the most potential of this lot and ran well in her first start, backed up with a decent run in a much higher grade at Caulfield. Will be right up there. Tiger By The Tale drops 5.5kg’s here and it seems as though the weight held him back last start. Will have every chance. Touch Sensitive has been very consistent this prep and ran well last start for a 1 length win. Will be tougher here but will have it’s chance. Night’s On Fire was close in the Country Championship heat last start, and with a bit of luck can win this. One to watch at long odds is Chappie.

Best Bet: Circle Game

R2 E-group Security (bm83) 1200m

Santa Ana Lane ran very well here last start, falling just short to Handfast. Bowman on board a huge tick, but drawn wide in the barriers and up in the weights, it’ll have to be at his best here. Ammirata won a recent trial and two races prior to that. Is stepping up in grade to her usual runs but drawn with barrier 1 it will be as competitive as ever. Lucky Can Be ran very well last start, just losing by 0.2lengths to Sultry Feeling. Has the quality but in weight and drawn out wide. Lady Jivago ran superbly at long odds last start, 2.7lengths off  Tempt Me Not in the PJ Bell Stakes. Not sure whether that was a one off or it has found form, keep handy. The top weight Mohave has had a couple of trials of late and might be better for the freshen up. McDonald on board and barrier 5 ticks boxes.

Best Bet: Santa Ana Lane

R3 Tjs Frank Packer Plate 2000m

Old North has been very impressive of late, winning his first start at this distance last race. McDonald will give it every hope, and if it runs similar to last start it will win. He’s Our Rokkii has really stamped his quality this prep. This is a step up and first start at the distance, but if it improves it can win this. Asinara ran 3.5lengths 7th at her first start over this distance. Might prefer others here. Torgesen was only 1.3lengths off Old North two starts ago, and gains half a kilo advantage here. Bowman on board and barrier three ticks boxes.

Best Bet: Old North

R4 Kari J H B Carr Stakes 1400m

Pearls flew home just to miss last start but has a lot of quality here. McDonald should steer it nicely and drawn reasonably in barrier six. Denmagic came home nicely last start behind Pearls. Will need to find a good position jumping from barrier 14, but with a little bit of luck can win this. Lady Sniper beat Denmagic to the line but didn’t look as impressive. Won’t write it off but prefer the other two. One that could surprise a few is Tremezzina. Jumps from the fence and down in weights. Has been consistent of late but rises in grade.

Best Bet: Pearls

R5 Moet & Chandon Champagne Stks 1600m

Yankee Rose is one of the best 2 year old’s we’ve seen this year. If she runs well and holds form, she will blitz this field. Prized Icon looks the only threat here, running well last start and dropping in weight here. Obscura has only had the two starts, however it looks as though it could surprise a few here. Prefer the place bet against Yankee though.

Best Bet: Yankee Rose looks too short at $1.55. Prized Icon looks value at $9:2.20

Update: Yankee Rose scratched. Prized Icon looks a great bet here. Keep an eye on Obscura too. One that has been smashed is Faraway Town. Looks a decent bet too with the field opening up.

R6 Hall Mark Stakes 1200m

Tough race this. Music Magnate has very strong form coming into this race. Drawn wide but low in weight. Loves this distance and will be hard to beat. Target In Sight was only 1.3 lengths behind Malaguerra last start, and Bowman retains the ride. Drawn midfield, this looks ideal. Charlie Boy had a good win last start, and with a little bit of luck here he could win this. Speak Fondly was disappointing last start, however has had a trial since then and ran superbly. Looks better for the spell and could make a real claim here. Federal was stunning last start, winning a bm85. Down in the weights here and could surprise a few. One that could present some value is Zin Zan Eddie at $81. If the track is heavy, get on each way!

Best Bet: Target In Sight

Quaddie Numbers: 1 3 6 9 10 11

R7 Schweppes All Aged Stakes 1400m

#1 Kermadec: Didn’t fire last start but is a much better horse than that. There have been reports that he didn’t pull up well after that, however if he is at his best, he’ll be right up there at the end.

#2 Black Heart Bart: Absolutely flew home last start to win the Vic Hcp impressively. Up in weight but drawn well. Watch for it flying home late.

#3 Rebel Dane: Been in the big races but hasn’t been performing as best as it’d had hoped. Looks too tough here.

#4 Malaguerra: Absolutely flying of late. One of the best at the moment however it’s a new challenge here. Up in weight but you’d think it’s the main threat.

#5: Goldstream: Ran close behind Lucia Valentina in a recent trial. First start in Aus here after being dominant in Italy. Could surprise a few.

#6: Press Statement: Looks to start favourite. Beaten by Kermadec last start but it has the talent. Had 3kg advantage on Kermadec last start but loses half a kilo here. Never runs a bad race.

#7: English: Absolutely flew home with a nice kick three starts ago. Has talent and weight advantage on them here. Not beyond her best.

#8: Perignon: Finished far behind them last start and this looks beyond her.

Best Bet: If Kermadec is at his best, he’ll win.

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 4 6 7

R8 Sharp Japan Racing Assoc Plate 2000m

Havana Cooler won very well last start. Has the talent here and barrier 2 with McDonald on board looks ideal. Guardini looks to be a good bet here. Drops in weight with the in-form Bowman on board. Ran well last start and looks in the mix here. Messene‘s last two starts were at this distance and ran very well. Hasn’t won in either but has been close. Sadler’s Lake and Hawkspur both ran behind Havana Cooler last start but both turn around a few kilo’s on him here. Could both win this.

Best Bet: Hawkspur EW

Quaddie Numbers: 3 4 7 11

R9 Tab Royal Randwick (bm100) 1400m

Nancy looks the best bet here. Holds her weight and drawn well. Will be tough to beat. Medcaut ran well last start but then failed in a trial after that. High weight here may make it tough though. Snippet’s Land was not far from Havana Cooler last start, but gains a lot in weight. With some luck could surprise a few. Religify ran well last start at nice odds, and drops 6.5kg here. Drawn in barrier 2 and not out of this.

Best Bet: Nancy

Quaddie Numbers: Pick your poison here. One out with Nancy in the last, or go a bit wider? Your choice.

5 9 12 13 or just 13.