Another big day of racing here in Sydney for the Autumn carnival with the running of the All Aged Stakes and the Champagne Stakes. Some top horses feature here in what should be a great day of racing.
R1 Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1200m
Circle Game looks to have the most potential of this lot and ran well in her first start, backed up with a decent run in a much higher grade at Caulfield. Will be right up there. Tiger By The Tale drops 5.5kg’s here and it seems as though the weight held him back last start. Will have every chance. Touch Sensitive has been very consistent this prep and ran well last start for a 1 length win. Will be tougher here but will have it’s chance. Night’s On Fire was close in the Country Championship heat last start, and with a bit of luck can win this. One to watch at long odds is Chappie.
Best Bet: Circle Game
R2 E-group Security (bm83) 1200m
Santa Ana Lane ran very well here last start, falling just short to Handfast. Bowman on board a huge tick, but drawn wide in the barriers and up in the weights, it’ll have to be at his best here. Ammirata won a recent trial and two races prior to that. Is stepping up in grade to her usual runs but drawn with barrier 1 it will be as competitive as ever. Lucky Can Be ran very well last start, just losing by 0.2lengths to Sultry Feeling. Has the quality but in weight and drawn out wide. Lady Jivago ran superbly at long odds last start, 2.7lengths off Tempt Me Not in the PJ Bell Stakes. Not sure whether that was a one off or it has found form, keep handy. The top weight Mohave has had a couple of trials of late and might be better for the freshen up. McDonald on board and barrier 5 ticks boxes.
Best Bet: Santa Ana Lane
R3 Tjs Frank Packer Plate 2000m
Old North has been very impressive of late, winning his first start at this distance last race. McDonald will give it every hope, and if it runs similar to last start it will win. He’s Our Rokkii has really stamped his quality this prep. This is a step up and first start at the distance, but if it improves it can win this. Asinara ran 3.5lengths 7th at her first start over this distance. Might prefer others here. Torgesen was only 1.3lengths off Old North two starts ago, and gains half a kilo advantage here. Bowman on board and barrier three ticks boxes.
Best Bet: Old North
R4 Kari J H B Carr Stakes 1400m
Pearls flew home just to miss last start but has a lot of quality here. McDonald should steer it nicely and drawn reasonably in barrier six. Denmagic came home nicely last start behind Pearls. Will need to find a good position jumping from barrier 14, but with a little bit of luck can win this. Lady Sniper beat Denmagic to the line but didn’t look as impressive. Won’t write it off but prefer the other two. One that could surprise a few is Tremezzina. Jumps from the fence and down in weights. Has been consistent of late but rises in grade.
Best Bet: Pearls
R5 Moet & Chandon Champagne Stks 1600m
Yankee Rose is one of the best 2 year old’s we’ve seen this year. If she runs well and holds form, she will blitz this field. Prized Icon looks the only threat here, running well last start and dropping in weight here. Obscura has only had the two starts, however it looks as though it could surprise a few here. Prefer the place bet against Yankee though.
Yankee Rose looks too short at $1.55. Prized Icon looks value at $9:2.20
Update: Yankee Rose scratched. Prized Icon looks a great bet here. Keep an eye on Obscura too. One that has been smashed is Faraway Town. Looks a decent bet too with the field opening up.
R6 Hall Mark Stakes 1200m
Tough race this. Music Magnate has very strong form coming into this race. Drawn wide but low in weight. Loves this distance and will be hard to beat. Target In Sight was only 1.3 lengths behind Malaguerra last start, and Bowman retains the ride. Drawn midfield, this looks ideal. Charlie Boy had a good win last start, and with a little bit of luck here he could win this. Speak Fondly was disappointing last start, however has had a trial since then and ran superbly. Looks better for the spell and could make a real claim here. Federal was stunning last start, winning a bm85. Down in the weights here and could surprise a few. One that could present some value is Zin Zan Eddie at $81. If the track is heavy, get on each way!
Best Bet: Target In Sight
Quaddie Numbers: 1 3 6 9 10 11
R7 Schweppes All Aged Stakes 1400m
#1 Kermadec: Didn’t fire last start but is a much better horse than that. There have been reports that he didn’t pull up well after that, however if he is at his best, he’ll be right up there at the end.
#2 Black Heart Bart: Absolutely flew home last start to win the Vic Hcp impressively. Up in weight but drawn well. Watch for it flying home late.
#3 Rebel Dane: Been in the big races but hasn’t been performing as best as it’d had hoped. Looks too tough here.
#4 Malaguerra: Absolutely flying of late. One of the best at the moment however it’s a new challenge here. Up in weight but you’d think it’s the main threat.
#5: Goldstream: Ran close behind Lucia Valentina in a recent trial. First start in Aus here after being dominant in Italy. Could surprise a few.
#6: Press Statement: Looks to start favourite. Beaten by Kermadec last start but it has the talent. Had 3kg advantage on Kermadec last start but loses half a kilo here. Never runs a bad race.
#7: English: Absolutely flew home with a nice kick three starts ago. Has talent and weight advantage on them here. Not beyond her best.
#8: Perignon: Finished far behind them last start and this looks beyond her.
Best Bet: If Kermadec is at his best, he’ll win.
Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 4 6 7
R8 Sharp Japan Racing Assoc Plate 2000m
Havana Cooler won very well last start. Has the talent here and barrier 2 with McDonald on board looks ideal. Guardini looks to be a good bet here. Drops in weight with the in-form Bowman on board. Ran well last start and looks in the mix here. Messene‘s last two starts were at this distance and ran very well. Hasn’t won in either but has been close. Sadler’s Lake and Hawkspur both ran behind Havana Cooler last start but both turn around a few kilo’s on him here. Could both win this.
Best Bet: Hawkspur EW
Quaddie Numbers: 3 4 7 11
R9 Tab Royal Randwick (bm100) 1400m
Nancy looks the best bet here. Holds her weight and drawn well. Will be tough to beat. Medcaut ran well last start but then failed in a trial after that. High weight here may make it tough though. Snippet’s Land was not far from Havana Cooler last start, but gains a lot in weight. With some luck could surprise a few. Religify ran well last start at nice odds, and drops 6.5kg here. Drawn in barrier 2 and not out of this.
Best Bet: Nancy
Quaddie Numbers: Pick your poison here. One out with Nancy in the last, or go a bit wider? Your choice.
5 9 12 13 or just 13.