Caulfield // 30th April

For the third week in a row we’re back at Caulfield for Saturday’s metro Victorian racing. It’s Thoroughbred Club Cup Day and some surprisingly good fields are prime for some good betting and some even better racing. The forecasted rain on Friday might see us get into the Good 4 range. Depending on the severity we could see a Soft track but it’s unlikely.

The headline races for Saturday at Caulfield are the $120,000 Thoroughbred Club Cup (Race 5) and the $90,000 Cramer Plate Open Handicap (Race 8). There are plenty of high quality support races on offer as well so make sure to read the race by race analysis, the best bets, one for exotics and quadrella selections available for free below.

Race 1 3YO Fillies Handicap 1600m

She’s Got Speed was wide throughout and stuck on well behind a subsequent winner Bengal Cat in a handy race. She finished alongside Silent Sedition and she won a Group 3 last week. Unbeaten third up and goes well at 1600, should be fitter and should be winning. Laqha really got moving late to grab Dane Thunder at Sandown last time. The race prior he was solid behind Tarquin and the form from that race has been good. Valentine’s Reward was run over late over 1400 in a weak Pakenham race. Looking back further she finished a 0.75L second to Jezzabba who has been running super lately. Fife goes in wider exotics and Antelucan may be able to bounce back after a poor performance first up

One for exotics: Valentines Reward ($13)

Race prediction: 4-1-8-5

Race 2 Benchmark 90 2000m

Thought Zahspeed might be a bit shorter in this race. His stats at the track are quite poor but his form this preparation is outstanding. Doctor Care came out of his last win to beat a real handy one last week; if he does no work to get the lead from the barrier he should prove very tough to run down again. Gabella is another who is way down in the weights and should appreciate the step up in trip here. Should be fitter third up and looks a nice each way chance at 10$. Tarquin might be a danger. He’s never run this far which is the worry as he wasn’t storming home over 1600 but he’s down in the weights. Like the Bengal Cat form short odds are risky in this open race. Haradafull is a winner and should appreciate the step up in trip, this is tougher than last time. Kareeming mixes his form up and is impossible to catch. He wasn’t disgraced in a strong race last time. Up in the weights but also out to a big price which appeals.

One for exotics: Gabella ($10)

Race prediction: 7-9-8-6

Race 3 Benchmark 78 1100m

Magnagem will be hard to beat here. She handled the class jump last start and has a nice drop in weight after finishing infront of the handy Grey Street. This is her pet distance and has drawn well. Top chance. One who i think might be over the odds is Squeaky Squirrel. Drawn wide but in well after the claim, he has a great record third up and at 1100. His one effort at Caulfield was a second behind Real Time in this grade. I’ll be having a small bet each way at $51. My Poppette can run a big race fresh. Theres no doubt she’ll want further but her 3 year old form is fantastic through the likes of Badawiya, Petits Filous and Jameka. Trialled poorly? Orujo runs his best over 1000m. Monitor the betting for his first start over from Sydney but with a poor third up and distance record I think he’s under the odds. Olivier has minor claims.

One for exotics: Squeaky Squirrel ($51)

Race prediction: 13-5-2-3

Race 4 4YO+ Open Handicap 1100m

I’m sticking by the French Emotion and Enquare form and going for She’s Miss Devine again. Was top pick last week before being scratched and looks better suited here. She’s short enough but the drop back in distance looks ideal and drawn perfectly in 2. Pink Perfection always runs well first up and was pretty dominant over this track and trip last preparation. Drawn wide. Andrassy ran well first up but the race was below average. The 0.3L second to Mefnooda last preparation looks good. Kayjay’s Joy ticks all the boxes. Drawn wide but wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the finish at 14$. Exclusive Lass can bounce back at big odds. Pretty Possum next best.

One for exotics: Kayjay’s Joy ($14)

Race prediction: 4-5-8-3

Race 5 Thoroughbred Club Cup 1200m

The lightly raced Curvature looks a top chance here. He’s still a maiden but his first start he was close to a subsequent group 2 winner in Seaburge. Monitor the betting first up. Dissolute was well backed last start and stormed home to grab second behind Valliano here in the Vobis Ingot. That ties in with the top pick. Was a big fan of Toorak Toff so i’ll be keeping my eyes on the first starter Wangaala and might even have a small bet at $21. Trialled very well. Highland Beat stormed home at Caulfield in march in a reasonable race. He made light work of his rivals last time at Sandown and is capable of going on with it. Tough race as it’s hard to assess most of these.

One for exotics: Wangaala ($21)

Race prediction: 3-4-11-1

Race 6 3YO Open Handicap 1200m

Put a line through Divine Mr Artie’s first up run. It was a nightmare for those who backed him as he didn’t get clear galloping room the entire straight. Im willing to forgive and think he can beat this lot. The lightly raced Amadeus is a month between runs and back in distance after a nice second behind Silent Sedition. He was every possible chance on that occasion and took his time to get moving. 1200 a big query. Bassett’s best is certainly good enough. Wasn’t far off some good ones first and second up and failed on the soft track interstate. Drawn wide and has the apprentice; will need some luck but has to go in. Nat’s The Boss always runs well. He’s way down in the weights today and could bob up at odds.

One for exotics: Nat’s The Boss ($11)

Race prediction: 7-5-1-12

Quaddie numbers: 1, 5, 7, 10, 12

Race 7 3YO Open Handicap 1800m

Don’t like this race. Not usually a fan of Wednesday grade but Loyalty Man was good last start. Red Alto behind him looked like he was going to shoot straight past him but just peaked on the run. Wide barrier but with any luck in running he might be able to bob up at big odds. Unbreakable had a pretty cruisy run behind the leader last time. He’ll have to do it tough from barrier 13. The formlines are good and he’s the class runner but he’s certainly short enough. Wide barrier but with any luck in running he might be able to bob up at big odds. We know he can stay. Zandarral will be fitter second up. Scandal Street and Silver Stratum go in.

One for exotics: Red Alto ($18)

Race prediction: 1-4-2-5

Quaddie numbers: 1, 2, 4, 5, 12, 13

Race 8 Open Handicap 1400m

Charmed Harmony almost held on this track and distance last start in fast time but was overhauled by a very good one right on the line. Kept fresh for this and should be hard to beat. Drawn wide and might have to work for the lead a concern. Thought Sistine Demon might give a bit of cheek at odds if right first up and he was a bit stiff not to win after running out of gas at the 100m mark. Has a poor record second up but has drawn well and should be fitter. After picking Enquare as my best at odds 3 runs in a row she’s finally come up short here. The run was good but looks under the odds at the 4$ quote. I was impressed by Lord Durante’s run second up. He wasn’t far off Enquare after being wide throughout. If Gauci takes him to the lead he’s a tough horse to get past. Hi World has minor claims.

One for exotics: Lord Durante ($21)

Race prediction: 1-6-9-11

Quaddie numbers: 1, 6

Race 9 Benchmark 84 1600m

Think Mihany will be hard to beat here. He’s back from a successful stint in Adelaide and the form from his last race has been good. Monteux looks the danger. Was slightly disappointing behind entre nous two back when right in the market. It may have been the soft track or racing a bit flat second up but wasn’t far away last start. He has a weight swing on the top weight and should put in a much improved run from the good barrier. Entre Nous is in peak form and wasn’t far off two smart horses last time. Plenty of weight to carry and the wide barrier a concern but he loves the mile. Must go in. Zlatan could be the blowout here. Drawn well and wasn’t far off Killarney Kid and beat home Zahspeed not long ago. Hard Call has a whopping 7 kilo turnaround on Entre Nous for a 1.5L defeat. Warrants respect at $7.50. Plot the Course isn’t hopeless.

One for exotics: Zlatan ($17)

Race prediction: 4-6-1-10

Quaddie numbers: 1, 4, 6, 10, 16

Best Bets of the Card

Race 1: She’s Got Speed W@3.80

Race 3: Magnagem W@5.25

Race 4: She’s Miss Devine W@3.10

Race 6: Divine Mr Artie W@6.00

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