Morphettville // 7th May

Race 4 DC Mackay Stakes 1100m (G3)

Thermal Current brings the best formlines and looks hard to beat here. Won this race last year and has drawn well again. Top pick. Super One has the talent as seen from his international form but i can’t justify the $3.40 quote after his first preparation in Australia. Nostradamus is impossible to catch but did show some of that star 3YO form last start. Well weighted to do it all again over the same track and distance. Im a big fan of La Passe but she was pretty poor first up. Look for an improved showing but wait for her over a little bit further. Scratchy Lass isn’t hopeless at big odds and neither is I am Gypsy.

Verdict: Thermal Current looks a nice play at $4.60 (Bet365).

Race 5 Euclase Stakes 1200m (G2)

Tough race. Despite drawing wide Demonstrate looks to be a good each way bet at $14. Not far away from Rageese last start who absolutely bolted in last week here. Good record at the distance and gets the gun jock in the saddle. Secret Agenda looks well placed here after drawing 7 and brings some mixed Sydney form. Seems to run better up on the pace so if she jumps well she will be every hope. Jalan Jalan looks ready to peak third up; beat home the quarterback last start. Miss Gunpowder for the lethal Stokes and Tourneur combo has looked to have every possible chance at her two runs this campaign. The significant weight relief helps and should be in the finish. Super Cash always finishes hard but might want it a bit further. Almighty Girl was slightly disappointing behind Miss Promiscuity after being well backed. Clearly has the talent but place looks best here. Mr Individual has plenty of upside and can run well first up. Faatinah has claims at big odds.

Verdict: Way too open for a bet. Demonstrate appeals each way at $14:4.00 (Ladbrokes).

Race 6 Australasian Oaks 2000m (G1)

These races don’t get any easier but make for fantastic viewing. Going for one at double figure odds in Bengal Cat. Drawn wide but has been in super form her last two starts. Put Silent Sedition to the sword two starts back and two subsequent winners have come from her most previous outing. If she has any luck slotting in handy to the speed she’s the one to beat. C’est Beau La Vie draws a poor barrier again here but her effort from the car park last start was fantastic. $13 looks the value each way. No knock on Silent Sedition as she’s come back in terrific fashion this preparation. Prefer something at longer odds in this open race. Pike doesn’t travel from his stomping grounds for nothing and I would be all over Arcadia Dream if she hadn’t drawn barrier 20. That ties in First Impressions at huge odds. Abbey Marie looks to have plenty of upside but she’s jumping from 1440m to 2000 here and from a benchmark 70 to a group 1. No. Asinara looks the best of the Sydney brigade.

Verdict: Exciting edition of the Oaks this year. I won’t be betting but Bengal Cat is my top pick at $10:3.40 (Sportsbet)

Race 7 Robert Sangster Stakes 1200m (G1)

Get the dart board out. Going for another one here at big odds in Sabatini. She’s drawn off the track but her first up effort was promising and she has a very good second up record. Disappointed in this race last year when right in the betting and immediately spelled after. Miss Promiscuity has been so good to me but the poor barrier really hurts her chances as her best efforts are on speed. Runway Star looks over the odds at $31. Big class jump but does like it here at Morphettville and hasn’t drawn off the track like all the other horses i like. It’s beyond me how Griante won the galaxy in Sydney but Williams maintaining the ride is a big tick. Soft ground may have been an issue last start. Big step up for Sheidel, Precious Gem might want it further, Tuscan Sling was disappointing last start and is capable of better, Scarlett Billows might want it a bit further but was fantastic last start, I Love It runs well fresh and was a length off Miracles of Life in this race last year, Vezelay is getting back to her best and wouldn’t shock. 3 year olds don’t have a great record in this race as of late but Dont Doubt Mamma and Petits Filous the pick of them.

Verdict: Raffle. I can see something at big odds winning this one. Might have something very small on the top three picks.

Race 8 Queen of the South Stakes 1600m (G2)

French Emotion looks hard to beat here. Ran very well in track record time behind Scarlett Billows who lines up in a group 1 today. Ultra consistent and the step up to the mile looks ideal. Drawn wide. Into the Mist bolted in last start in a much easier race. Runs well at the track and should get every chance from the barrier. Mefnooda is going for 3 on the trot this campaign and she looks more than capable of doing so here. Mick Price and Froggy Newitt combine well and pump out many winners and it wouldn’t shock to see her pop up at 13$ here. Hijack Hussy gets some much needed weight relief and the senior rider takes over. Always seems to be flashing home and missing. D-Day today. Atlantis Dream has drawn wide again but is edging closer and closer to a win. Ticks all the boxes and looks over the odds at $13. Cant split Felicienne and Metaphorical but the latter does look under the odds in this field. Loveitt does look over the odds.

Verdict: French Emotion to get the punters home on a winning note. $4.20 (UBet)


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