Rosehill Gardens // 21st May

R1 Les Carlyon Ac Plate 1200m

Some very good, young horses face off here. Chipanda was not too far off in her second start, running third in a group 3 race. Low in the weights here but drawn wide. If she can settle fast she’ll have every chance. Legerity has been running well so far, and finally found his first win last start. High in the weights but drawn a nice barrier. Probably the one to beat. Redouble trialled well and turned that into a nice winning performance on debut. One to watch is Murrmaid. Yet to race, but she won her latest trial by 4.5 lengths. Will be tough but could surprise a few.

One To Watch: Murrmaid

Race prediction: 1-8-2-10

R2 Leilani And Luskin Star (bm89) 2000m

Hipparchus* is definitely the horse to beat here. Ran beautifully at Hawkesbury last start to score a nice win. Up slightly in weight but not racing against too much talent. Dance of Heroes hasn’t fired this prep. Has ran well in higher grades than this before, but might need some luck with apprentice jockey on board. Secateur hasn’t really taken off since arriving in Australia. Might find this too tough.

One To Watch: Hipparchus

Race Prediction: 6-4-7-1

R3 Merman And Sydeston (bm78) 1100m

Spieth backed up an admiral run in the Arrowfield with an impressive victory at Kembla Grange, winning by 5 lengths. Has plenty of potential and should be too strong here from barrier 1. Pioneering has been consistently good, running a close second here last start. Has the ability to be in this and loves this distance, but the wide draw won’t help. Noble Joey strung together some nice wins lately. Didn’t show much towards the back end of 2015, but might have turned a corner? Bitburg has been up and down of late, and rises 2kgs here. Might be too tough but hasn’t lost first up before! King’s Troop might surprise a few. Hasn’t been running well but his best is good enough, running half a length behind Japonisme last year.

One To Watch: King’s Troop

Race Prediction: 4-3-6-5

R4 Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1500m

Tough race this, with lot’s of winning chances. Ziganui is yet to run a bad race and is down in weight. One of the better chances from a good gate. King’s Officer loses a kilo on last starts run and with Clipperton on board is every chance. Wide draw won’t help.  Marvel is one that can shock many. Hasn’t been terrible of late, and actually loses 5kg on last start. Keep an eye on him. Le Cavalier is not without a chance here and loses a lot of weight on last start too. Erika jumps top weight after stringing together a few wins of late. Is an honest and consistent horse who will give its best.

One To Watch: Marvel

Race Predicition: 3-2-13-1

R5 Pat Hyland (bm75) 1400m

Tsaritsa* scored an impressive victory last start by 1.5 lengths, and drops 3.5kg on that run here. Has a lot of improvement in her and the nice barrier will help here. Royal Tudor hardly ever runs a bad race. Does increase slightly in weight, but will be fighting til the end. Dreamforce ran nicely last start after being backed in to a $2 favourite. Drops 3kg here but will need to be good to go from a maiden to a bm75! Tremezzina is a quality horse who can definitely give this a good shake. Although drawn wide, Snitzel Knight has some good potential. Loses 1.5kg here and will be in this if it can settle in a good position early.

One To Watch: Dreamforce

Race Prediction: 5-3-8-10

R6 Noel Mcgrowdie (bm78) 1100m

Frill Seeking was consistently good last prep, and after a bit of a spell returns to competitive racing. Runs well first up and loves the distance. We’ve got her on top. Awasita has had many starts now and yet to really find some consistently good form. Her best is good enough but will need to find it here. Palazzo Pubblico has been running very well this year. Won well last start but up 5.5kg here! Drawn very wide as well which makes me think this will be too tough. Skip Course was impressive in the Gold Rush but rises 5kg here which will make it harder. Good horse so not hopeless. I Can Rock has run well this prep. Won in similar grade to this before and down in weight, has every chance.

One To Watch: Frill Seeking

Race Prediction: 2-4-5-9

Quaddie Numbers: 2 4 5 9

R7 Neville Begg (bm93) 1400m

Spy Decoder* is a serious horse. Was poor in the big race two starts back, but forgive that run. Ran 0.3 lengths behind Religify 4 starts back with the same weight as him, whereas Rockolicious was 0.2 lengths behind him last start with a 5.5kg advantage! Think based on that Spy Decoder is the best chance. However, Rockolicious is a good horse who must be respected after last start. Gamblestown is not without it’s claims, winning in similar grades to this at the track. Marenostro also a chance here, running well this prep prior to last start.

One To Watch: Spy Decoder

Race Prediction: 9-10-7-8

Quaddie Numbers: 7 8 9 10

R8 Cecil Godby (bm78) 1400m

Trois Choix scored an impressive victory first up last start. Was backed well and didn’t disappoint. This is it’s 10th start and may have finally found her footing. Will look to sit mid field and come home hard. Muy Bien won well two starts ago but was disappointing last outing. Has shown she has quality and will look to finish off well here. Kellyville Flyer hasn’t had any luck in her past two, drawing barriers 16 and 18. Not helped here with barrier 15, but has the quality if it can get out and settle early. Think it is overs at current price of $15 and $4.40. Harlem Lady won last start first up, but yet to really prove herself. On previous form don’t think it would win but she’d love to prove us wrong. Pindan Pearl isn’t without a chance. Put two decent runs together now and will look to take the next step here. Keep handy.

One To Watch: Kellyville Flyer

Race Prediction: 10-6-4-11

Quaddie Numbers: 4 6 10 11 12

R9 Joe Brown Mbe (bm82) 1200m

Sebring Sun hasn’t performed as well as owners would’ve liked in last few, but they have been some huge races. Has shown what he’s capable of in previous runs, and first up I reckon they might have got him back in tip top shape. Will be hard to beat. She’s Miss Divine scored a nice victory two starts ago. Don’t think it has the same quality as Sebring Sun but would love to see her prove me wrong. Good horse, keep handy. Caped Crusader has been running fairly well in his last few starts. Has the potential to turn it on here, albeit with the top weight.

One To Watch: Caped Crusader

Race Predicition: 3-4-1-9

Quaddie Numbers: 3 4

 

Best Bets Of The Day:

R2 – #6 Hipparchus W @ $2.40

R5 – #5 Tsaritsa W @ $3.00

R7 – #9 Spy Decoder W @ $5.00

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