Eagle Farm // 4th June

Queensland racing takes us to Eagle Farm this weekend, for the running of the $500,000 Queensland Oaks. Weather looks a disaster for Saturday, indicating the track will more than likely be heavy. Look for strong Heavy form.

R1 Bracken Ridge Tav. The Phoenix 1400m

Archives won well last start in a fairly big race at Doomben. McDonald retains the ride and looks the one to beat here. Jericho ran a close second to Archives last start. No weight turnaround but will be better for the run. Drawn in the carpark the only query. Redouble wasn’t too far off those two last start. Was drawn towards the inside last time but out wide here. Will have to improve a fair bit to win. One that could cause an upset is Two Shoes. Ran well behind Sacred Elixir last time and actually loses 2kgs on that run. The each way odds look good here.

One To Watch: Two Shoes

Race Prediction: 1-3-12-4

R2 Amgrow Lightning Hcp 1000m

Very open race this. Furnaces has shown what he’s capable of before. Drawn the widest of the bunch here which won’t help his cause. Disappointing last start but has the quality. Felines absolutely loves it first up. Bowman on board is a huge tick and rarely runs a bad race. It’s been a while since we’ve seen Shamalia run competitively, however she won a recent trial by 4.5 lengths! Wide barrier won’t help. but good to see her back here. Keep very handy. Hardline won a huge race in NZ over a year ago, and won 2/3 since then. Yet to lose first up in a short career, and this will be a challenge, but will be giving it all. Into The Red won well just over a month ago, and will be flashing home late from a wide barrier. Not hopeless. Another who will give this a crack at decent odds is Espiritu. Won 4/4 first up and been running in some decent races. Down in the weights and drawn inside will help.

One To Watch: Shamalia

Race Prediction: 4-3-8-5

R3 Pages Event Eagle Farm Cup 2200m

Maurus was super in the Doomben cup last start. Is a horse that hardly ever runs a poor race. Blake Shinn picks up the ride in a fairly small field. Unbeaten on a heavy track and think it’s the best bet here. Mighty Lucky scored well last time out to win the Lord Mayors Cup. Same weight as the faves and only 1 third from two starts on a heavy track, however showed its quality last time; keep handy. Volkstok’n’barrell is yet to race on a heavy track, however has the quality to win here. Think the unknown form on this sort of track is a bit risky, but he will run well.

One To Watch: Mighty Lucky

Race Prediction: 4-1-5-2

R4 Landfill Daybreak Lover 1400m

Kimberley Star was very good last start, finishing 1.4lengths 3rd in a big race at Scone. McDonald on board is a big tick and she has gone 3:2-0-1 on heavy tracks. She’ll be the one to beat. Sold For Song has had a very promising start to her career. Two good wins at Doomben last prep and two close seconds this prep. Untried on a heavy track which may be the only query here. Perfect Dare hasn’t had any wet track form to date. If he can handle the track well, he’ll be right in this. The Virginian went from a 3.3length win on debut to only a few lengths back in the GC Guineas. Certainly has potential for this but yet to race on wet track.

One To Watch: The Virginian

Race Prediction: 12-11-9-6

R5 Designline Graphics Juanmo 1200m

Just about every horse in this race has a claim. Get the dartboard out. Miss Cover Girl is a good horse who has shown what she’s capable of in the past. 1 start for 1 win on heavy track, but drawn wide. Serenade faces a similar race to her last race, and no reason she can’t win here. Sultry Feeling is a good horse who can run a nice race here from barrier 2. Fairly consistent and raced 13 times over this distance, in with a shot. Adorabubble does run well over a wet track and finished off very nicely last start. Very good each way chance. Alucinari is a good second up horse who can run a race here too.

One To Watch: Adorabubble

Race Prediction: 2-18-1-9

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 6 9 18

R6 Mirvac Qtc Cup 1300m

Spill The Beans has been very impressive in last two runs. Very low in weights and looks as though it’ll be very tough to beat here. Untried on heavy but has won on a soft track. Eloping looks a good bet here too. Down in the weights and blitzed the field last time out to score impressive victory. Has the quality but hasn’t won on heavy track. We all know that Kaepernick is a good horse, however due to the weather conditions, is a likely scratching. Snippets Land scored a huge victory last time in the BRC Sprint at very nice odds. Strung together some very good performances and wouldn’t surprise many here. Target In Sight was behind Malaguerra in the BTC Cup last start. Handles the wet well and is a good chance.

One To Watch: Snippets Land

Race Prediction: 11-4-9-3

Quaddie Numbers: 3 4 9 11

R7 Treasury Casino/hotel Qld Oaks 2400m

Another dartboard needed for this Group 1 contest. Kebede beat home a few of these horses last start. No change in weight and should be up towards the end once again. Imposing Lass is a horse with great quality. Shown us how good she is this prep going 3 from 4 starts. Falkenberg is an up and coming horse who ran very well once he got clear last start. If he can avoid trouble in traffic here he’ll have his chance. Provocative is yet to run on a heavy track, but if the start of her career is anything to go by, she’ll be competitive here. I think Mount Omei is overs here. Now with Waller and won nicely last start. Will be tough but do like place odds of $11. Sebring Sally ran a huge race last time, and if that’s anything to go by she’s not without a chance here.

One To Watch: Mount Omei

Race Prediction: 3-4-12-19

Quaddie Numbers: 3 4 6 12 18 19

R8 Fkg Group Spear Chief Hcp 1500m

Federal is a super horse who rarely runs a bad race. Handles all track conditions and will start favourite here. Form behind Music Magnate looks good. Religify has been oh so consistent lately. Has shown what he’s made of and isn’t out of this. Only query is the extra 100m, might be at full stretch. Hi World is a horse who had a lot of potential a while back, however hasn’t really fulfilled that to date. 2 from 2 on a heavy track which will help him if he is to cause an upset here. Think these three will be tough to beat.

One To Watch: Hi World

Race Prediction: 6-1-2-13

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 6

 

Best Bets:

R2 – #4 Shamalia EW $8.00/$2.50

R3 – #4 Maurus W @ $3.50

R4 – #12 Kimberley Star W @ $3.30

 

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