Rosehill // 13th August

Back to Rosehill this week which gives us some quality horses preparing for the spring carnival. Capitalist returns after last week’s scratching and will look to recreate his form as a 3YO in the feature $150k San Domenico Stakes.

R1 Fairfield Rsl Club (bm81) 1400m

Although she finished third last start, Extensible was very promising and finished off the race well. The lightly raced mare fought on bravely and is yet to miss the placings in her career. Looks a real treat. Frill Seeking has been finding the line with Extensible of late and will be around the mark here once again. Does lose half a kilo to her here which won’t make it any easier but with a bit of luck could surprise (she has been improving). Tree Of Jesse found things tough at Randwick last start, but then again so would most in those horrid conditions. She is a nice 5YO who has won on a wet track. Look for her to be finishing strongly. Labdien was disappointing first up last time out, carrying a huge weight. Drops 4.5kg’s here which will bring her into the race. 1 from 1 second up. Taltarni not the worst chance at big odds too.

One For Exotics: Taltarni

Prediction: 6-3-4-7

Verdict: Think Extensible is going to be one of the better chances of the day. Extensible W @ $2.90

R2 C. Mcalpine Tribute Highway-c2 1100m

Open race this. No When To Hold Em is a promising 3YO Filly who has been in a good patch of form. Comes up against older rivals here but a convincing run last start on a heavy track shows that she can handle a wet track. Beside You went 2 from 2 when she won by a length at Coffs Harbour last time out. Hasn’t done anything wrong yet and could run a very nice race here. Luxury was disappointing last start but will be fitter for the run. Has shown us what she’s capable of last prep, however the sharp rise in weight won’t help here. Farah was good last time out and nearly pulled off a good win being wide all race. He’s a very consistent horse who will be looking to make the most from barrier 7. Stop The Fight and Vixen Lass all chances at longer odds.

One For Exotics: Stop The Fight

Prediction: 13-12-1-5

Verdict: Very open race. No bets.

R3 Dooleys (bm78) 2000m

This is such an open race. Honestly wouldn’t be surprised to see any of these win. Dubaiinstyle won well for us last weekend and ate up the heavy track. First go at 2000m which may well suit. More Than Fabulous has been as consistent as ever and drops to kg’s here which will help. Loves a soft track but drawn wide, and will need to get out fast to have a chance. Firebird Flyer was a fair way off eventual winner last time out but the run was promising on such a heavy track. Is a promising young mare who could give this a real crack. Magical Stance has been running in races much higher in grade than this, and has been running admirably. Placed 2 from 2 at this distance and is one of the better chances. Doukhan will enjoy the soft track and won 2 of 3 second up. Rock Mylady, Egyptian Ruler, and Elusive Runner all half chances at long odds too.

One For Exotics: Rock Mylady

Prediction: 9-4-10-2

Verdict: Another lottery! No bets.

R4 St Johns Park B.c. (bm72) 1500m

Pirate Ben finished last prep with 3 wins in a row and nearly began this one with a win, narrowly falling by 0.4lengths. Does have a big weight, however the apprentice claim will help. Be fitter for last start and is a great chance. Lanciato hasn’t fulfilled the potential seen in his first Australian run 3 starts back. Didn’t have a lot of room last time but if he can settle well here he’ll give himself a good chance. More To Gain had some great runs last prep towards the end of last year. Didn’t strike first up last time out but will be fitter for the run. Zaunkonig went from winning a maiden to a bm65 to an admirable run behind Pioneering last start. Has potential but jumping so wide won’t help. Tennessee Fling just keeps improving. Her only competitive run on soft she won by 4 lengths. Keep handy at a nice price. Darci’s Affair, Caton & Chaos with minor chances at big odds.

One For Exotics: Darci’s Affair

Prediction: 1-13-3-5

Verdict: An open race but the start of Tennessee Fling’s career excites me and happy to have a small each way bet on her at $12/$3.75

R5 Smithfield Rsl San Domenico 1100m

Small field of six contest this, but gee aren’t they all some talented horses. Capitalist returns after two very good trials and after being scratched last weekend. The Golden Slipper winner is a beaut of a horse who will want to recreate his form as a 3YO. Star Turn was a ranked outsider in the Golden Slipper, running just over three lengths behind eventual winner Capitalist. He turns around 4kg on him here and that should see him run very competitively here. Tango Rain beat last Saturday winner Thronum by 1.3 lengths last start. That is good form going into this race, however he may be lacking in talent in comparison to this lot. Still, 2 from 2 and hard to knock. Manolo Blahniq is an overseas horse who will make his Australian debut here. Won a trial at Hawkesbury and could cause an upset.

One For Exotics: Manolo Blahniq

Prediction: 1-3-4-2

Verdict: A close race probably between Capitalist and Star Turn. Not keen on taking either at such short odds.

R6 Merrylands Rsl Prem Cup Prel. 1800m

Marenostro had a good win last time out, and consequently gains 3.5kg’s to total 60kg here. It is a lot of weight but the appointment of apprentice jockey Koby Jennings (a2) will help. He’s a class horse and the inside draw should help. Rate him highly. Allergic hardly ever runs a poor race and while finishing 6th last time out, was only a couple of lengths behind Marenostro. Turns around some weight on him here too which brings Allergic right in to the race. Likes a soft track and is good at the distance. One that seems massive over-odds is Slow Pace. At the start of the year he actually finished just 0.2 lengths behind Marenostro carrying the same weight, while he has 6kg less here. The race after that he finished 3.2 lengths third behind Allergic, carrying 2.5kg more! 7kg weight swing on that ride and if he can recreate that form he’s a great chance at big odds. May have been a purple patch of form for the 9YO gelding but if he’s at his best he can contest. Sacred Master got going late last time out and was brought over here for the group 1 Metropolitan and hence the increase in distance will help him out. Sweet Fire drops 8kg’s on her last run and could run a nice race too.

One For Exotics: Slow Pace

Prediction: 2-4-10-5

Verdict: Think Marenostro is a good bet at juicy odds and can’t believe the odds given for Slow Pace. Marenostro W @$5.00 and Slow Pace EW @$26/$7.00

Quaddie Numbers: 2 4 5 7 10

R7 Canterbury Rsl Spring Preview 1400m

Open race this. Testashadow has had a bit of a spell the last few months. Hasn’t won first up before but he absolutely loves a soft track. Will be one of the key hopes. Cosmic Cube has also had a bit of a break, and returns with a big weight. He’s a great horse and ran well in his last start to just fall short in the Doncaster. Like him a lot but the weight might ask too much of him. Oxford Poet is a good horse who has been running very well this prep. Doesn’t mind this track and distance and will look to get up front and lead. If he can get out early from gate 11 he’s a real hope. Ruling Dynasty is a real hope here for James Cummings. Finished only marginally behind Oxford Poet last start and has shown in the past what he’s capable of. Zin Zan Eddie has good form behind Oxford Poet of late too. Ran only just behind him last time out with a weight advantage of 1.5kg, and now extends that advantage to 2kg. Going off that, there’s no reason he can’t win.

One For Exotics: Zin Zan Eddie

Prediction: 9-2-4-5

Verdict: Very open race. No bets.

Quaddie Numbers: 2 4 5 7 9

R8 Clubsnsw (bm92) 1100m

Snoopy is unbeaten first up and the close third to Mahuta last prep looks great form! Hasn’t lost on a wet track and Tommy Berry on board are two massive ticks. Kangarilla Joy trialled well after a good last prep. Also unbeaten fresh and on a soft track but the wide gate won’t help her here. His Majesty ran a close third to Danish Twist in the Provincial Championship in April. Haven’t seen a lot of him since then but don’t rule him out. El Sasso goes in for fourth after a promising start to this prep, and he doesn’t mind a wet track either. Savoureux not the worst at long odds too.

One For Exotics: Savoureux

Prediction: 12-10-8-4

Verdict: I think the top three will be hard to beat. Snoopy gets a better barrier than Kangarilla Joy and therefore think he’ll be on top. Snoopy W @ $4.00

Quaddie Numbers: 8 10 12

R9 Mounties Group Handicap 1350m

We’re Sure has raced in some pretty big races this prep, and has been running better than what the placings suggest. He’s a good horse who will give everything here. Coolcraft resumed last start after a very long spell and ran quite well. Will be much fitter for the hitout and is one of the best chances in this race. More To Gain looks a good chance at some nice odds, with a decent wet track record. Dinghu Mountain is 1 from 1 at the track/distance and loves a soft track. Hard to leave out. One that can run well at big odds is Rhodin Drive. Consistent horse who runs well first up and won 2 on a soft track. Ever So Natural is short odds at the moment and I’m not too sure why. Hasn’t been convincing so far this campaign and yet to win on soft.

One For Exotics: Rhodin Drive

Prediction: 13-11-14-4

Verdict: Fairly open race to finish the day. Not sure any of these are clear winners, however wouldn’t mind a small place bet on Rhodin Drive at $9.50.

Quaddie Numbers: 4 11 13 14 16

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