Randwick // 20th August

winx

Photo: Hugh Bowman salutes on champion mare Winx

This Saturday bring NSW Racing back to Randwick, for the running of the Warwick Stakes (1400m) as the feature race of the day. Champion mare Winx returns for what should be a cracking day. 

Current weather forecasts for Saturday in Sydney show there to be no rain Thursday, Friday or Saturday. The current rating for the track is soft and this should remain the same for raceday, if not improve.

R1 Moraitis Communications (bm83) 1400m

Pindan Pearl has scored on 2 out of 4 occasions this prep. Won well two starts back with a big weight and runs 2.5kg lighter than that here. Late entry in this race and loves a soft track. Should be right up there. Super Tycoon is flying at the moment and he’s going for four in a row. Was very dominant in a huge win last start, winning by 3.8L, however he’s up 4kg here. I think he may struggle under the big weight, but he’ll be gunning to prove me wrong. Conarchie had a tough run on a heavy track last time out, but stuck on well to finish third in a fairly strong field. Has finished 1L second to Super Tycoon in the past, and turns around 4.5kg on that run here. Was a few start ago now, however he has shown he can match it with them here. Torgersen resumes after a four month spell. Hasn’t shown much at trials but never usually does. He’s running with a big weight here which won’t help but he wouldn’t shock in this grade. Shadow Lord and Pera Pera the best of the rest.

One For Exotics: Shadow Lord

Race Prediction: 6-3-7-1

Verdict: Relatively open race here but think Pindan Pearl is a great chance at current odds. Pindan Pearl W @ $4.60

R2 The Randwick Mayor’s Cup-bm72 2400m

Lie Direct blitzed the field on the bogged heavy track last time out. Has finished in the trifecta in his last five starts and looks to be a very consistent horse. Up 3.5kg which looks to be an issue, however the apprentice claim will help. Won’t be a heavy track again, which may bring others into the race. Braces finished second to him last time out, and has a slight weight advantage going in here. A very consistent gelding who will be out for revenge here. Major Major was in the same race as the top 2 last start, and was disappointing as the favourite. I think the form around that race is slightly flawed, as the track was in awful condition. Richard Of Yorke ran well for an outsider at Canterbury Park last start finishing third, however I’m not too sure why he’s so short. The rise in distance looks ideal but of the two starts in Australia, he’s yet to show any real dominance. Will enjoy this distance but may need this run too. Elusive Runner best of the rest.

One For Exotics: Braces

Race Prediction: 1-2-3-5

Verdict: Braces looks an appealing bet, meeting Lie Direct 4.5kg better than last start! Braces EW @ $8.50/$2.45

R3 Tab Highway Plate (c3) 1600m

Such an open race! Akiko Gold has been running well in her last three starts, running a close second at Rosehill last start. The mile distance looks to suit and should be hard to beat. Distinctive Look won well last start, and drops 1.5kg here. Second time in town and a soft track will help. Grand Rouge was only just behind Akiko Gold last start and looks to be improving with the increase in distance. Hooge won well last start and has been running well of late. First start in the city and could run a sneaky race at the bottom weight. A soft track will help her. Despite being the top weight, New Divide has the quality to cause an upset. Thunder Road has also shown he can match it with the major players in this race. Would be a big effort, though.

One For Exotics: Hooge

Race Prediction: 13-7-8-18

Verdict: Way too open, no bets.

R4 Primo Smallgoods Up And Coming 1300m

Divine Prophet was brilliant in the Champagne last start, finishing third to Prized Icon. He gets a 6kg weight advantage here which will put him right in this race. One of the best hopes if the track can stay relatively dry. Derryn bolted home to score his first victory at Caulfield last start. His last 200m was the fastest of the day, and has bucketloads of potential. Extra distance looks ideal. Thronum just held on last time out to deny Mediterranean victory on the line. Seems as though he thrives on a fairly wet track and will need that to win here. Pound Sterling is a good each way chance after winning first up at Warwick Farm last start. Drops 2.5kg and should be competitive. Taj Mahal the next best after winning his maiden in April. Should be better for the freshen up too.

One For Exotics: Pound Sterling

Race Prediction: 3-4-2-7

Verdict: Lots of winning chances here and will hold my money for some other races.

R5 Alpha Flight Silver Shadow 1200m

Omei Sword resumes here after three barrier trials. Was never ridden to win in those but in her second trial she looked the goods. Ran a close second behind Calliope earlier this year and gets a nice weight swing on her here. Look for her late. Thyme For Roses will look to claim the lead from a wide barrier and the pace should be on. Running very well in recent trials and has some serious talent. Calliope is a resuming Golden Slipper runner who will be looking to show what she’s capable of here. Manaya won very commandingly on debut at Scone, and prior to that won 2 trials by over 7 lengths both times. Trialled well here and could threaten. Quick Feet the next best of the lot.

One For Exotics: Thyme For Roses

Race Prediction: 5-3-1-4

Verdict: Should be hotly contested by a few but I think Thyme For Roses is a good each way bet. EW @ $12/$3.20

R6 Bob Ingham Show County Qlty 1200m

Le Romain had an outstanding run of races last prep, and usually enjoys it first up. Taught them all a lesson in the Randwick Guineas and think he might do the same here. Loves the distance and the track, will be hard to beat. Vashka scored two nice wins at Rosehill and Caulfield last prep before going back to spell. Had three trials now and performed very well in all three. Usually runs well first up and is a definite danger. Boss Lane had a decent run of races last prep. Not usually a good first up runner but is a talented horse who has proven form at this track. Think you have to include both Tycoon Tara and Mount Nebo in the chances, with the Missile form they both have. Decision Time for wider exotics with the low weight.

One For Exotics: Decision Time

Race Prediction: 5-3-6-8

Verdict: Like the odds given for Le Romain and think he’s too good first up, at the distance, and at the track. Le Romain W @ $4.60

Quaddie Numbers: 3 5 6

R7 Warwick Stakes 1400m

The superstar is back! Winx makes her return here after a four month spell. We all know how good she is, and what a special horse Waller has on his hands. She will be right up there again and should really blitz this field! Lucia Valentina bolted home in the Queen Elizabeth last start! Was a huge win and back now after four months off. Two trials with no real eye-catching performance, but did finish off well in latest. If any of them are going to beat Winx, Lucia Valentina has the best chance, jumping with the same weight! Rebel Dane the next best after run in the missile. Throw Hartnell in for fourth.

One For Exotics: Lucia Valentina

Race Prediction: 6-7-4-2

Verdict: Well Winx should be winning. Too short for mine! No bets.

Quaddie Numbers: 6 (include 7 if you think Winx can be beaten)

R8 Forum Group Toy Show Qlty 1300m

Dixie Blossoms was our top pick last week, only to be scratched in the lead up. Bucketloads of potential for this mare after a very promising beginning to her career. Will be exciting to watch! Elle Lou ran very well last start, beating home last weekend winner Extensible by a length. Drops 6kg on last start which will definitely help! Pioneering is shooting for four in a row after three very strong wins. Has the advantage in terms of fitness and drops 4.5kg here! Knit’n’Purl is having a great campaign so far. Gets minor weight relief after winning well on a heavy track here last time out. A definite each way chance. Pearls is a good chance at longer odds, dropping some weight here. Heavens Above is a good horse but think that the rise in weight will prove too much.

One For Exotics: Knit’n’Purl

Race Prediction: 6-4-5-8

Verdict: Very open race. Dixie Blossoms looks the goods but a few threats from others. Willing to have a go on her though. Dixie Blossoms W @ $4.40

Quaddie Numbers: 3 4 5 6 8

R9 Sydney Markets Foundation-bm85 1000m

Haptic hasn’t run for 10 months where he came 3rd in the Blue Sapphire. Two recent trials have been positive and first up, track, and distance record is good. Is the one to beat from barrier six. Southern Legend is unbeaten in three starts for this stable and had a lengthy break now. Will be fresh and ready to fire. Barrier 13 won’t help here. Think its a race between those two. Shahrazad was disappointing as short fave last time out. Loses a kilo here and willing to forgive last run. With a bit of luck she can get them. Rose Of Man looks a small chance with such a low weight, and has been competitive in the past.

One For Exotics: Shahrazad

Race Prediction: 3-2-9-11

Verdict: Probably a race between Haptic and Southern Legend. Too tough to split them.

Quaddie Numbers: 2 3 9 11

 

 

 

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