Rosehill // 27th August

Horse-Star_Turn-94849-636x424

Photo: Star Turn wins the 2016 San Domenico Stakes last weekend.

Great card today for the featured Run To The Rose at Rosehill. Star Turn should start favourite after knocking down the door of the San Domenico stakes last weekend.

The track looks to be rated a heavy one with a bit of mid week rain.

R1 #theraces (bm72) 2000m

Birds Of Tokyo bolted in by 6.3L last start, beating Firebird Flyer. First start at the distance which could be an issue and recent trial wasn’t convincing. Firebird Flyer finished quite a distance back behind Birds Of Tokyo two starts back, however she gets a nice weight turn around here. An honest horse who loves a wet track. Northern Journey has a great heavy track record. Scored a great win last time out and has previously won at the distance. My Guiliano beat Firebird Flyer in his maiden win, and probably didn’t enjoy the short distance prior to that. Big query here is the heavy track, yet to place on heavy but has run well on soft in the past. One that could cause an upset is Erika. Was priced well last start in the Birds Of Tokyo race but didn’t fire. Forgive that run; she usually loves a wet track!

One For Exotics: Erika

Prediction: 2-3-1-5

Verdict: Firebird Flyer W @$3.80

R2 Strassmeir (bm82) 1500m

Extensible cruised home to victory for us two weeks ago, winning by 1.8L over Labdien. Loses half a kilo here and looks a good thing! Only query is the heavy track, but has shown ability on soft. Pirate Ben is a horse that has good ability. Was very dominant towards the back end of last prep, however yet to find any form in this one with big weights. Loses 5.5kg here and will be a key challenger. Shards is a horse with great ability! Has been contesting some big races this year with no real luck. Drops back to a bm82, however the downside of that is the top weight. Weight may make it too tough. Antonio Guiseppe had his first run on a heavy track last time out and won by 1.3L. Loses 5kg on that here which will put him into the race. Rhodin Drive a sneaky chance at long odds.

One For Exotics: Pirate Ben

Prediction: 3-5-1-8

Verdict: Never jump off a good thing! Extensible W @ $2.50

R3 St Mary’s Rsl (bm70) 1400m

Evacuation looks a colt with exceptional potential. Bolted home in first competitive start, and then did the same in two trials (the latter on a heavy track). Key contender for this. Cocoexcel won nicely on a heavy track at Kembla last time out. Remains at that weight here and is another with great potential. Keep handy. Savvan ran second to Cocoexcel last time out, and turns around 2kg on that run here. Could cause a shock here at some very nice odds. Swear won on debut at Hawkesbury paying a juicy $12. Only 1 run on a wet track where finished 6th of 9 behind Cocoexcel at trial. Rise in weight won’t help but don’t dismiss. Sezanne found herself on a heavy track and won her maiden last time out! Took a bit to get going but maybe has turned a corner now?

One For Exotics: Savvan

Prediction: 4-8-10-2

Verdict: Evacuation looks a star but this race is full of young horses with great potential. Might stay out of this.

R4 Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1100m

Alliterate was disappointing last start but never usually fires first up. Has been a contender in some big races of late and loses some weight here which will be handy. A good chance at big odds. Hanwritten actually beat Ball Of Muscle on debut! A good young horse with some serious potential. Unproven on heavy ground, though. Beside You has won three on the trot and was particularly impressive in the most recent. Two wins have been on soft track and should be right in this. Farah finished just behind Beside You last time out. Loses a bit of weight and plenty of upside. Keep handy! Leami Astray tried to do too much last start, attempting to lead the whole way. Could respond here but untried on a heavy track. Perizada and Moss My Name among the wider chances.

One For Exotics: Alliterate

Prediction: 11-3-12-10

Verdict: Rate Alliterate highly here at nice odds. Alliterate EW @ $13.00/$4.00

R5 On Point Locating (bm80) 1100m

Open race this! Shahrazad scored well first up and runs here 2kg lighter. Wasn’t too far back last start but that was on a dry track. Is a good horse who can give this a shake. Rose Of Man ran fairly well last start, considering she was a ranked outsider. Never really performed well on a heavy track, however the drop in class will help her here. Allez Chival is consistent as ever. Last three runs have been on a heavy track however can’t seem to find that breakthrough this prep. Drawn well in barrier 1 which should help. Alucinari has form lines around Heatherly and Palazzo Publicco. A talented mare who, if can handle the big weight, can contest this. Zoumagic has been great this prep, finishing in the quinella every start. She likes it wet, but on her only heavy start didn’t fire. Keep handy. Momma’s Snitzel the next best, however her recent trial is a bit of a worry…

One For Exotics: Allez Chival

Prediction: 7-9-4-2

Verdict: Very open race. No bets.

R6 Racing Mates (bm85) 1200m

I’m a big fan of Sir Bacchus. He’s a very smart horse who has some serious finishing ability. Never lost at the track or at the distance and will be hard to stop here. Untried on a heavy track the only query. Snoopy was held up badly last time out. Barrier 3 will help him get out nicely and just sit off the leading few. He looks a great horse who should be right in this. Handfast is a good horse who has won well first up in the past. Was on fire last prep and is first up here. Hasn’t performed well on a heavy track in the past but faces lesser competition than last time out. His Majesty dashed home late last outing to score an impressive victory! Drop in grade but big rise in weight which might make this too tough. Encostanati doesn’t mind a heavy track and loses a couple of kilo’s here. One for wider exotics. Kellyville Flyer also enters the wider chances after drawing an inside barrier!

One For Exotics: Encostanati

Prediction: 4-9-6-5

Verdict: Lots of winning chances so staying out.

Quaddie Numbers: 4 5 6 7 9

R7 Mta Run To The Rose 1200m

Feature race of the day and have a look at the quality of some of these! Mediterranean took a bit to get going last time out but flew home late to narrowly miss. Loves a heavy track and think he is going to be a star. Star Turn ran a beautiful race last time in the San Domenico stakes. Got bucketloads of potential and loves a soft track. Untested on heavy? Impending won impressively on debut, however didn’t fire as a short favourite after that. Obviously has potential but yet to see any competitive run on a wet track. Keep handy. El Divino is undefeated from 2 starts (both on wet). Half brother to Winx and is a key hope who looks to be in for a massive prep. One at long odds that could cause a boil-over is Telperion. Closed very well in the Slipper (best final 400m), and then battled well for 2nd behind Yankee Rose after that.

One For Exotics: Telperion

Prediction: 9-7-4-3

Verdict: Really like Mediterranean and very tempted by the odds of Telperion. Mediterranean W @ $5.50 & Telperion EW @ $16.00/$4.00

Quaddie Numbers: 3 4 7 9 10

R8 Premier’s Cup 1900m

Singing made his first Australian start last time out and narrowly missed on the post after sitting nicely in the box seat. That was his first run under 2000m and will be fitter for that. Encouraging run on the heavy track, too. Allergic put in a really tough run last time to score a great victory. Gets minor weight relief and has the quality, the only query is no prior heavy form. Loophole finished 1.5L behind Allergic last outing, and does have some good wet track form. Turns around 1.5kg on Allergic here which will bring him right into this race. Ruling Dynasty gets back out to a reasonable distance after moving back to 1400m last time out. Ran well first up and this isn’t beyond him. Include Magic Hurricane for wider exotics.

One For Exotics: Loophole

Prediction: 6-3-7-4

Verdict: A couple of winning chances but happy to have a bet on Loophole. Loophole W @ $8.00

Quaddie Numbers: 3 6 7

R9 Tab Rewards (bm78) 1350m

Chetwood loved being first up last time out. He looks to be a very promising horse with a bright future. Drawn inside and won on heavy previously, all big ticks. Cannyescent was only narrowly defeated by Chetwood last start. Earns a 1kg weight advantage on him here and will have every chance. Labdien was great last time out, although beaten 1.8L by Extensible. Drops back in grade and has every chance. We’re Sure won very nicely last time out. Doesn’t mind this track and has some good wet track form. Will go close. Conarchie fell a few lengths short to We’re Sure here but turns around a few kilo’s too. Great heavy track form and a very real chance. Earlier this year Orcym Sam wasn’t far off of Danish Twist, and being first up here could be an inclusion for wider exotics.

One For Exotics: Orcym Sam

Prediction: 2-9-11-3

Verdict: Fairly open race and will sit this one out.

Quaddie Numbers: 2 3 5 7 9 11

 

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