Randwick // 3rd September

Saturday takes us to Randwick for the featured running of the Chelmsford Stakes (1600m) and Tramway Stakes (1400m). Winx returns and is a current hot favourite to take out the Chelmsford Stakes.

There looks to be a fair bit of rain around Sydney this week and we could see the track downgraded from its current Soft rating to Heavy. Wet track form will be important for this meeting.

457012-randwick-grandstand

Photo: The Randwick Grandstand

R1 Schweppes (bm80) 1600m

Signposted has won his last three starts, all of which on wet tracks. Bolted home by 4 lengths last start on a heavy track and loses weight here. Will look to lead the entire way and will be hard to beat. So Willie found the line very nicely last time out, however the trip his is 400m shorter. Usually runs well at this distance and loves a really wet track. Should be competitive with Bowman on board and down in weight. I think Zayam is a good each way chance here. He obviously wasn’t right last start, however he has shown some great potential at this track on wet ground in the past, and wouldn’t be surprised if he caused an upset here. Bolord enjoys this distance and has won second up in the past. Was promising last start on soft ground and found the line well. Salthouse looks to be a promising, lightly raced gelding, however is unproven on a wet track and hence I’m inclined to leave him out.

One For Exotics: Zayam

Prediction: 1-5-2-7

Verdict: Signposted

R2 Tab Supports Jockey Trust-bm78 2000m

Dubaiinstyle has gone 2 in a row now and looking for three! Loves the wet tracks and and should get a nice sit from barrier four. One of the key players here but think that the increase in weight may catch up with him here. Dowdstown Charlie kicked well last time out to finish a close second behind Paragon. Loves wet tracks and drops 2 kilo’s here. Will give this a big shake up. Lanciato has good soft track stats, and ran on okay last time out. Loses some weight which will help but yet to win over 1600m an issue. Rainbow Park ran well last start to finish second at nice odds. Only win on a soft track at this distance, and loses 3kg here. Could be a sneaky outside chance. Zero To Ten and Dure the next best at each way odds.

One For Exotics: Dowdstown Charlie

Prediction: 6-4-5-10

Verdict: Dowdstown Charlie

R3 Daily Telegraph Ming Dynasty 1400m

 

High Mist found the line well last start after finding himself back in the field. Has won and placed on a soft track before and the wet looks to help him here. Won first up last prep and this looks achievable. Skylight Glow has won on soft ground before and will be fresh. Will carry the most weight but enjoys sitting on the pace. Not out of it. Taj Mahal will be fitter for last start, and the increase in distance will help. Has potential and will look to impress here. Only query is no form on wet tracks. Swear scored a very nice victory earlier this year and is yet to race since then. Was a highly valued colt at sale and will want to go on with it here. Keep very handy.

One For Exotics: Skylight Glow

Prediction: 4-1-2-3

Verdict: High Mist

R4 Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1400m

Galaxy Warrior bolted in last outing 4.5L with 61.5kg! Loses 2.5kg on that run and should be quite dominant here. Was his first run on soft ground last time out, too. Grand Rouge has been close to a break through of late and scores a nice weight relief here. Enjoys this distance and proven on a heavy track, keep handy! Squidensquizz has won more than once on a wet track and has also won at the distance. Wasn’t too far behind them last outing and also loses some weight. A good each way chance. Luxury likes a soft track however is yet to place at the distance. Railed nicely last outing to finish well, and loses weight on that here. Wider chances are Trying, No When To Hold Em, and Assurity.

One For Exotics: Grand Rouge

Prediction: 1-11-4-2

Verdict: Galaxy Warrior

R5 The Mostyn Copper Group (bm92) 1400m

Tsaritsa is a very good horse. Was absolutely flying last prep, and only stumbled when drawn inside at Eagle Farm, on a day where the track near the rail was horrendous. Bags of potential and really like her, she should be right up there. Burning Passion fell narrowly last outing, where he held 5.5kg more than he does here. The track was fairly disastrous that day too so there are a few excuses for him. The drop in weight will help a lot, as well as the wet track where his best form lies. Look for him to be just behind the leading pack and to be swooping late. Syper Tycoon is shooting for 5 in a row here! Has been flying on the soft tracks in Sydney and dropping 2kg on last start will definitely help. Step up in class but this isn’t out of the question. Torgersen has some form behind Syper Tycoon and gets a bit of weight swing on him here. Will be tough, but with some luck he could sneak home. Testashadow and Zin Zan Eddie the next best.

One For Exotics: Super Tycoon

Prediction: 5-9-6-7

Verdict: Tsaritsa

R6 Fitzy & Wippa’s Fast & Furious 1200m

I Am A Star was a huge winner last outing, beating the highly fancied Leotie who went on to win last weekend. Looks to be the most talented horse in this race. One of the best chances of the day. Get on. Honesty Prevails was only 3 lengths behind them in the Golden Slipper. This is her first race since then and the jury will be out, but definitely in the mix! Awoke looks a horse who really enjoys a rain affected track. 2 from two in her short career and has bags of potential. Trialled well on a heavy track in the past and is amongst the good chances here. Global Glamour won her only start at Kembla Grange on a heavy track by 6.3L! Good signs for her on todays bogged track. Has trialled very well since then and this looks a realistic hope. Foxplay is another one who has shown potential. She won a 2YO Handicap on a soft track a couple back but yet to run on heavy. Keep safe. For wider exotics include Rather Sweet. She won her maiden on a wet track last time out, and the trial prior to that she won on a heavy track by nearly 3 lengths.

One For Exotics: Honesty Prevails

Prediction: 1-12-2-8

Verdict: I Am A Star

Quaddie: 1 2 7 8 12

R7 Tatts Club Chelmsford Stakes 1600m

Winx has been scratched! The champ mare won’t run here which leaves the door open for a few others here. Prized Icon showed glimpses of ability as a 2YO and now resumes a year older. He was good last outing running on with a big weight, and now finds himself 10.5kg to run 8.5kg lighter than any other competitor! You’d think he’d be too good with that advantage. Hartnell is placed both runs on a heavy track and looks to be the only threat. He loves it second up and will look to sit in the box seat here. Has great ability and must be respected. Who Shot The Barman is second up and has won previously on a heavy track. Among the wider chances. Preferment has a horrible first up record and think this might be too tough.

One For Exotics: None

Prediction: 8-3-2-1

Verdict: Prized Icon

Quaddie: 3 8

R8 Tattersalls Club Tramway Stks 1400m

Le Romain is second up for Kris Lees and hasn’t missed the quinella at this track or distance. Really rate his ability and has won on a heavy track before. Dibayani put in a great performance last start and loses a bunch of weight off that. He’s won at the track before but yet to score on a heavy track from two runs (second and third). A talented horse who must be respected.Sadler’s Lake is up in class but drops a few kilo’s. Great second up stats and doesn’t seem to have an issue on a heavy track. Right in this race. Happy Clapper is first up and finished strongly last time out before being spelled. Great soft track record but unproven on heavy. Easier class here and will have it’s chance. Gust Of Wind had a great run of form last prep finishing well in the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups. First up here and has won first up before. A heavy track is an unknown but you’d think he’s a sneaky chance for a boilover!

One For Exotics: Gust Of Wind

Prediction: 1-9-5-6

Verdict: Le Romain

Quaddie: 1 2 5 6 9

R9 James Boag’s Concorde Stakes 1000m

Japonisme resumes after running third in the BTC Cup earlier this year. Has some serious ability this one and usually runs well first up. Has won on a heavy track in the past. Federal also resumes after his second in the QTC Cup earlier this year. Loves this track and has won on his only start on a heavy track. A big chance. Craftiness has some serious first up stats which must be respected. Yet to run on a heavy track but soft track runs have been very good, and also loves this distance. A good chance at nice odds. Hidden Pearl is nicely weighted after winning easily last outing. Has some ability but doesn’t like a heavy track and think that others in this race are just simply better.

One For Exotics: Craftiness

Prediction: 1-5-7-10

Verdict: Japonisme

Quaddie: 1 5 7

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s