Rosehill // 13th August

Back to Rosehill this week which gives us some quality horses preparing for the spring carnival. Capitalist returns after last week’s scratching and will look to recreate his form as a 3YO in the feature $150k San Domenico Stakes.

R1 Fairfield Rsl Club (bm81) 1400m

Although she finished third last start, Extensible was very promising and finished off the race well. The lightly raced mare fought on bravely and is yet to miss the placings in her career. Looks a real treat. Frill Seeking has been finding the line with Extensible of late and will be around the mark here once again. Does lose half a kilo to her here which won’t make it any easier but with a bit of luck could surprise (she has been improving). Tree Of Jesse found things tough at Randwick last start, but then again so would most in those horrid conditions. She is a nice 5YO who has won on a wet track. Look for her to be finishing strongly. Labdien was disappointing first up last time out, carrying a huge weight. Drops 4.5kg’s here which will bring her into the race. 1 from 1 second up. Taltarni not the worst chance at big odds too.

One For Exotics: Taltarni

Prediction: 6-3-4-7

Verdict: Think Extensible is going to be one of the better chances of the day. Extensible W @ $2.90

R2 C. Mcalpine Tribute Highway-c2 1100m

Open race this. No When To Hold Em is a promising 3YO Filly who has been in a good patch of form. Comes up against older rivals here but a convincing run last start on a heavy track shows that she can handle a wet track. Beside You went 2 from 2 when she won by a length at Coffs Harbour last time out. Hasn’t done anything wrong yet and could run a very nice race here. Luxury was disappointing last start but will be fitter for the run. Has shown us what she’s capable of last prep, however the sharp rise in weight won’t help here. Farah was good last time out and nearly pulled off a good win being wide all race. He’s a very consistent horse who will be looking to make the most from barrier 7. Stop The Fight and Vixen Lass all chances at longer odds.

One For Exotics: Stop The Fight

Prediction: 13-12-1-5

Verdict: Very open race. No bets.

R3 Dooleys (bm78) 2000m

This is such an open race. Honestly wouldn’t be surprised to see any of these win. Dubaiinstyle won well for us last weekend and ate up the heavy track. First go at 2000m which may well suit. More Than Fabulous has been as consistent as ever and drops to kg’s here which will help. Loves a soft track but drawn wide, and will need to get out fast to have a chance. Firebird Flyer was a fair way off eventual winner last time out but the run was promising on such a heavy track. Is a promising young mare who could give this a real crack. Magical Stance has been running in races much higher in grade than this, and has been running admirably. Placed 2 from 2 at this distance and is one of the better chances. Doukhan will enjoy the soft track and won 2 of 3 second up. Rock Mylady, Egyptian Ruler, and Elusive Runner all half chances at long odds too.

One For Exotics: Rock Mylady

Prediction: 9-4-10-2

Verdict: Another lottery! No bets.

R4 St Johns Park B.c. (bm72) 1500m

Pirate Ben finished last prep with 3 wins in a row and nearly began this one with a win, narrowly falling by 0.4lengths. Does have a big weight, however the apprentice claim will help. Be fitter for last start and is a great chance. Lanciato hasn’t fulfilled the potential seen in his first Australian run 3 starts back. Didn’t have a lot of room last time but if he can settle well here he’ll give himself a good chance. More To Gain had some great runs last prep towards the end of last year. Didn’t strike first up last time out but will be fitter for the run. Zaunkonig went from winning a maiden to a bm65 to an admirable run behind Pioneering last start. Has potential but jumping so wide won’t help. Tennessee Fling just keeps improving. Her only competitive run on soft she won by 4 lengths. Keep handy at a nice price. Darci’s Affair, Caton & Chaos with minor chances at big odds.

One For Exotics: Darci’s Affair

Prediction: 1-13-3-5

Verdict: An open race but the start of Tennessee Fling’s career excites me and happy to have a small each way bet on her at $12/$3.75

R5 Smithfield Rsl San Domenico 1100m

Small field of six contest this, but gee aren’t they all some talented horses. Capitalist returns after two very good trials and after being scratched last weekend. The Golden Slipper winner is a beaut of a horse who will want to recreate his form as a 3YO. Star Turn was a ranked outsider in the Golden Slipper, running just over three lengths behind eventual winner Capitalist. He turns around 4kg on him here and that should see him run very competitively here. Tango Rain beat last Saturday winner Thronum by 1.3 lengths last start. That is good form going into this race, however he may be lacking in talent in comparison to this lot. Still, 2 from 2 and hard to knock. Manolo Blahniq is an overseas horse who will make his Australian debut here. Won a trial at Hawkesbury and could cause an upset.

One For Exotics: Manolo Blahniq

Prediction: 1-3-4-2

Verdict: A close race probably between Capitalist and Star Turn. Not keen on taking either at such short odds.

R6 Merrylands Rsl Prem Cup Prel. 1800m

Marenostro had a good win last time out, and consequently gains 3.5kg’s to total 60kg here. It is a lot of weight but the appointment of apprentice jockey Koby Jennings (a2) will help. He’s a class horse and the inside draw should help. Rate him highly. Allergic hardly ever runs a poor race and while finishing 6th last time out, was only a couple of lengths behind Marenostro. Turns around some weight on him here too which brings Allergic right in to the race. Likes a soft track and is good at the distance. One that seems massive over-odds is Slow Pace. At the start of the year he actually finished just 0.2 lengths behind Marenostro carrying the same weight, while he has 6kg less here. The race after that he finished 3.2 lengths third behind Allergic, carrying 2.5kg more! 7kg weight swing on that ride and if he can recreate that form he’s a great chance at big odds. May have been a purple patch of form for the 9YO gelding but if he’s at his best he can contest. Sacred Master got going late last time out and was brought over here for the group 1 Metropolitan and hence the increase in distance will help him out. Sweet Fire drops 8kg’s on her last run and could run a nice race too.

One For Exotics: Slow Pace

Prediction: 2-4-10-5

Verdict: Think Marenostro is a good bet at juicy odds and can’t believe the odds given for Slow Pace. Marenostro W @$5.00 and Slow Pace EW @$26/$7.00

Quaddie Numbers: 2 4 5 7 10

R7 Canterbury Rsl Spring Preview 1400m

Open race this. Testashadow has had a bit of a spell the last few months. Hasn’t won first up before but he absolutely loves a soft track. Will be one of the key hopes. Cosmic Cube has also had a bit of a break, and returns with a big weight. He’s a great horse and ran well in his last start to just fall short in the Doncaster. Like him a lot but the weight might ask too much of him. Oxford Poet is a good horse who has been running very well this prep. Doesn’t mind this track and distance and will look to get up front and lead. If he can get out early from gate 11 he’s a real hope. Ruling Dynasty is a real hope here for James Cummings. Finished only marginally behind Oxford Poet last start and has shown in the past what he’s capable of. Zin Zan Eddie has good form behind Oxford Poet of late too. Ran only just behind him last time out with a weight advantage of 1.5kg, and now extends that advantage to 2kg. Going off that, there’s no reason he can’t win.

One For Exotics: Zin Zan Eddie

Prediction: 9-2-4-5

Verdict: Very open race. No bets.

Quaddie Numbers: 2 4 5 7 9

R8 Clubsnsw (bm92) 1100m

Snoopy is unbeaten first up and the close third to Mahuta last prep looks great form! Hasn’t lost on a wet track and Tommy Berry on board are two massive ticks. Kangarilla Joy trialled well after a good last prep. Also unbeaten fresh and on a soft track but the wide gate won’t help her here. His Majesty ran a close third to Danish Twist in the Provincial Championship in April. Haven’t seen a lot of him since then but don’t rule him out. El Sasso goes in for fourth after a promising start to this prep, and he doesn’t mind a wet track either. Savoureux not the worst at long odds too.

One For Exotics: Savoureux

Prediction: 12-10-8-4

Verdict: I think the top three will be hard to beat. Snoopy gets a better barrier than Kangarilla Joy and therefore think he’ll be on top. Snoopy W @ $4.00

Quaddie Numbers: 8 10 12

R9 Mounties Group Handicap 1350m

We’re Sure has raced in some pretty big races this prep, and has been running better than what the placings suggest. He’s a good horse who will give everything here. Coolcraft resumed last start after a very long spell and ran quite well. Will be much fitter for the hitout and is one of the best chances in this race. More To Gain looks a good chance at some nice odds, with a decent wet track record. Dinghu Mountain is 1 from 1 at the track/distance and loves a soft track. Hard to leave out. One that can run well at big odds is Rhodin Drive. Consistent horse who runs well first up and won 2 on a soft track. Ever So Natural is short odds at the moment and I’m not too sure why. Hasn’t been convincing so far this campaign and yet to win on soft.

One For Exotics: Rhodin Drive

Prediction: 13-11-14-4

Verdict: Fairly open race to finish the day. Not sure any of these are clear winners, however wouldn’t mind a small place bet on Rhodin Drive at $9.50.

Quaddie Numbers: 4 11 13 14 16

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Randwick // 6th August

Saturday racing in New South Wales takes us to Randwick with the running of the Group Two Missile Stakes (1200m) and the Randwick City Council Rosebud (1200m). Some good horses running today which should make for a great days entertainment.

R1 Powhf Louisa Hope (bm78) 1800m

Harlem Lady gains 5 and a half kilo’s on her last start where she finished 1 length clear in a bm85. She’s been ever so consistent in higher grades than this in the past. Is a good horse but the only queries are the increase in weight and the fact she hasn’t raced at this distance before. At face value it seems as though she’ll enjoy the extra trip. Firebird Flyer went from winning her maiden to winning a bm71 last time out. Not many can do that and definitely keep handy. Will enjoy a wet track. Defrost My Heart hasn’t been very convincing of late, although her 2nd here two starts ago shows that this isn’t beyond her best. A bit of a shorter trip here which may well suit! Erika has put a few nice runs together now, and although this is harder she stays low in weight.

Verdict: Think Harlem Lady should win but a couple of winning chances.

Prediction: 2-3-1-4

R2 Powhf Roy Billing Oam (bm74) 2400m

Get On The Grange* won well two starts ago in a bm75. Up in weights but some promising runs of late should see him run well here. Lie Direct has been very consistent lately and should sit him well here. Meets Major Major better at the weights here and should be well in this. More Than Fabulous has been running well too and loves a wet track. First go at this distance and hasn’t won at this track before are the only negatives. Braces won last start and before that has shown how much he loves a place! Very consistent gelding and will be around the mark here too. Major Major also a chance from a wide barrier.

Verdict: I think theres not too much value around More Than Fabulous at the $3.70 mark. Get On The Grange has been good and has proved more than the rest here.

Prediction: 1-8-3-2

R3 Jockey Celebration Day (bm81) 1000m

Kangarilla Joy has made a cracking start to her career, winning 3 out of 6 so far and hasn’t lost first up. Does add 6.5kg to her last run in the Fireball Stakes behind some quality horses. Will be fighting til the end. Hot Hit meets Three Sheets 1.5kg better than last time out and has been great this prep. Looks ready to win. Three Sheets has been going well lately. Disappointing not winning last start when backed in to $1.95 favourite, however the two runs before that were great. In with a chance here. Last Witness has won two in a row and is running well of late. Hasn’t won at the track or distance which is a concern.

Verdict: Think its a race between the top 4 favourites. Kangarilla Joy is the best horse in this race but the big weight will give her a challenge. Hot Hit looks ready to win, while Three Sheets and Last Witness all have a claim.

Prediction: 1-7-5-4

R4 Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1400m

Appoint Percy* hasn’t missed the top four since coming over to Australia from NZ. 2 runs first up for a second and third, and 100% record at the track and at the distance. Plenty of positives about him.Explosive Scene drops 4kg’s on what was a good run last start and that should see him be right around the mark. Boasts a half a length second to King’s Officer three starts back. Attainment loves a wet track and so if the track here is heavy, look out. Even still, he’s in good form and is a chance here. A Magic Zariz is a fine young country horse who has strung two in a row. Tougher here but wouldn’t surprise.

Verdict: Appoint Percy is in fine form and going to go with him here.

Update: With Appoint Percy scratched, it opens the door for Explosive Scene and Attainment; also keep an eye on Snipps Parade.

Prediction: 6-5-4-12

R5 Mark Moran Missile Stakes 1200m

Capitalist will return if the conditions suit and will start hot favourite. If he runs you’d expect him to bolt in. If he doesn’t, it’s probably a race between Rebel Dane, Generalife and Big Money. These three are all good horses who have shown what they’re capable of at some stage in the past.

Verdict: If Capitalist runs he’ll win. Too short at $1.55 for mine though!

Update: Capitalist won’t run which will open up the race. Rebel Dane should probably win with Generalife scratched. Big Money comes in to be rated second, with Mount Nebo picked for third.

Prediction: 1-3-4-5

R6 Randwick City Council Rosebud 1200m

Mediterranean* has not lost on a rain affected track so far. Flew in last start to win by nearly two lengths. Looks one of the best chances. Thronum won his maiden at Kembla Grange before blowing them away in a 2YO Handicap at Randwick. Missed the start last time out which cost him the race. Not beyond him to bounce back. Quick Feet looks like a winning chance also. Was a Golden Slipper runner and trialled well since then. A good horse who must be respected. Hair Trigger finished well just behind Thronum last start. Gains half a kilo on him here though. One at odds who is in this is Lasqueti Spirit. Her last run was encouraging and performed well at big odds in a fairly big race.

Verdict: I think Mediterranean is going to be a star. Short odds here but happy to take them at $2.30.

Prediction: 3-2-1-4

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 3

R7 The Wallaby Cup (bm78) 1600m

This is a really open race! Quick Defence will start favourite after bolting in last start by 3.5 lengths. Didn’t start off this prep very well but returned to winning ways. One of the better hopes. Suboric, while finishing 5th last start, wasn’t actually far off them with a big weight. Drops a kilo and has been flying. A great chance. So Willie is a good horse who will be looking to improve on last start’s close second. Hold’s his weight but the wide barrier is a query. Dark Eyes finished with them very well last start and can’t be ignored. Dubaiinstyle is a great hope with a good weight turn around on previous runs against those in the field, and Big Arty can definitely threaten after a few good runs.

Verdict: Too open for a bet so let’s go wide in the quaddie.

Prediction: 3-5-7-6

Quaddie Numbers: 2 3 5 6 7 10

R8 Powhf Directors (bm83) 1200m

Dixie Blossoms* was G3 placed in her first prep. Ran some very nice races and we saw a glimpse of what she’s truly capable of. Won fresh last time and this looks a good race for her. Tree Of Jesse was really disappointing last time. Went back to trial where she ran well. Is capable of winning races like these at nice each way odds. Viaductress will be fitter for her first up run last time out. Drops 5kg’s here which will give her every chance. Tremor was really good last start finishing a close second at Rosehill. Loses 4kg’s on that run and this looks easily winnable for her. Others with a small chance are Allez Chival and Rock On Zariz.

Verdict: We went wide in the quad last leg so lets trim this down a bit. I think Dixie Blossoms will be hard to beat, but the ones that could beat her are Tree Of Jesse, Viaductress and Tremor.

Update: No Tremor here, and Allez Chival was scratched from race 9 to run in this one. Definitely keep handy!

Prediction: 2-8-4-6

Quaddie Numbers: 2 4 8 6

R9 Rotary Club Of Botany Bay-bm78 1200m

Burning Passion won brilliantly last time out by 3.5 lengths. He looks a great horse but gains 5kg’s which will make it a challenge. Chetwood‘s opening preparation was excellent, running third to Lady Sniper in the Gosford Guineas. He looks a promising sort and should have relished the break. Likely to give this a shake. Cannyescent is probably the next bet chance. 2 from 2 first up, and both wins on a wet track. Keep handy. Star Shaft the best of the rest.

Verdict: I think that Chetwood has the edge over Burning Passion, purely based on the latter’s heavy weight.

Update: Chetwood scratched and the only two that look like threatening here are Burning Passion and Cannyescent. Still keep Star Shaft handy.

Prediction: 2-11-13

Quaddie Numbers: 2 11 13

Best Bets:

R2 – #1 Get On The Grange EW @ $8.00/$2.40

R4 – #1 Appoint Percy W @ $3.70

R6 – #3 Mediterranean W@ $2.30

R8 – #2 Dixie Blossoms W @ $4.20

 

 

Flemington // 6th August

Flemington // August 6th

The good horses are returning from the paddock and spring is just around the corner. The Box Seat is back and looking to get off to a winning start this Saturday at Flemington. It a 9 race card for Racing Rewards Raceday.

The headline race for Saturday at Flemington is the $150,000 Aurie’s Star Handicap (Race 7). All 9 races are covered in our thorough analysis below including our Race Prediction, One for Exotics, Betting Verdict and Quadrella Numbers.

Race 1 3YO+ Fillies and Mares Benchmark 84 2000m

Savannah Moon showed great fight to fend off the challengers at Flemington two weeks ago when in trouble. She’s a much better horse this preparation and i think she can go back to back. Khutulun was well backed, well ridden and walked in last start. 3 starts in as many weeks is a bit of a question mark but she relished the quick backup last week. Az Given took advantage of the leaders bias at Moonee Valley 3 weeks to claim a solid victory. I think Savannah Moon can turn the tables on that last encounter but she isn’t without a chance. Yulong Baby was a noted drifter at her last start and performed accordingly. She gets a nice weight drop today but not so sure 2000 metres is ideal. Cinnamon Carter best of the rest.

One for exotics: Cinnamon Carter ($16)

Race prediction: 4-1-3-2

Verdict: Happy to have a small bet on Savannah Moon. Savannah Moon W@4.00

Race 2 3YO Benchmark 70 1400m

Zubaqa looks a classy filly in the making. I’m unsure if she’ll measure up over here but the way she won last start was impressive. Odeon and Loch Oir fought out the finish at this track and distance two weeks ago. It’s hard to see anything from behind turning the tables but I have to go with the winner Loch Oir with Ben Allens claim (despite losing the flying Williams). Lessyd is a winner down the straight here and looks well suited to 1400 off his first up effort. Brookwater ran well first up, this is tougher.

One for exotics: Lessyd ($16)

Race prediction: 3-2-6-1

Verdict: No thanks.

Race 3 Open Handicap 2000m

Pin Your Hopes is absolutely flying at the moment. He’s a completely new horse this preparation and should prove very hard to beat again despite the weight and distance rise. Killarney Kid has an exceptional record over this distance and has a liking for Flemington. He looks very well placed here. Lucques is the best roughie for mine. He’s a pretty talented stayer and might need another run but has won second up before. Golden Mane was well backed off the freshen up and just missed, the form looks good. Almandin has solid 2000 metre form from France. I think he might just need this run but it wouldn’t shock to see him storm over the top of them.

One for exotics: Lucques ($26)

Race prediction: 3-2-6-5

Verdict: Pin Your Hopes to keep building the picket fence, too short to back at 2.40. No bets.

Race 4 Open Handicap 1700m

Cannot believe Royal Rapture was $15 last start. He had a stack of weight and did it easy over the mile. Drops 4kg and is drawn to get the run of the race, surprised bookies are offering $3.80. Petrology is a nightmare for followers but he does have claims in this event. Not getting my money. Falago is dropping back in distance and has been in work for a long time but he does have claims at double figure odds. Taiyoo will probably need the run first up with this weight but he is all class when right. Lord Durante does his best racing elsewhere and happy to risk.

One for exotics: Falago ($10)

Race prediction: 4-2-5-1

Verdict: Royal Rapture to go back to back, Petrology could blow them away or run last. Royal Rapture W@3.80

Race 5 Open Handicap 1400m

It was hard not to be impressed by Ulmann last start. He was given the gun run by Williams, stalked the favourite, took over at the 150m mark and never looked in doubt. Don’t take too much out of his Flemington record as his efforts have been behind Malaguerra and Turn me Loose. Duke of Brunswick was a sitting duck last start and beat all bar one. He is building quite the record of finding one better but should have every chance from the good barrier. Gracious Prospect generally runs well here and should be fitter third up. His best is good enough. Pilote D’essai is the big query runner. One run in Australia for a dominant win, unbeaten fresh. Sadaqa is capable of a form turnaround.

One for exotics: Gracious Prospect ($26)

Race prediction: 6-5-9-11

Verdict: Think another last start winner can go on with it. Ulmann W@4.00

Race 6 Benchmark 90 1000m

What a way to start the quaddie. The lightly raced O’Malley hasn’t been seen for a while but he ticks all the boxes. Rough Justice is a proven straight tracker and flies fresh. Runsati wasn’t suited at weight for age but looks a big chance on his run prior. Profit Share is untried at this trip but he’s a big talent. Trevinder doesn’t usually run well here but its hard to ignore his fresh run in stakes grade. Valiant Warrior is unbeaten second up and has performed well down the straight. Wary of Shaf, Risen From Doubt, Hard Romp and Le Bonsir. Cannot justify the sub $5 for Gun Case.

One for exotics: Rough Justice ($11)

Race prediction: 12-3-14-5

Quaddie selections: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 11, 14, 15, 17

Verdict: One of the most open races on the card. No bets.

Race 7 Aurie’s Star Handicap (G3) 1200m

Another tricky straight race. Mighty Like was terrific first up over this track and distance. He usually runs just as well second up and will take a stack of beating with the handy weight drop. Ruettiger looks the biggest danger. They both have formlines through Voodoo Lad and although Ruettiger has more upside I think Mighty Like is the more talented horse. Finally broke through last start and can go on with it. Magnus Reign had a cruisy run last start and should only benefit from a drier track. Not suited by the relative weights though. Mr Chard has had his fair share of problems but is a talent when right. Also wary of Smart Volatility. Beirut and Sooboog are dual acceptors in a G3 in Adelaide, both seem under the odds but are chances. Sooboog with the blinkers back on is the pick of the two.

One for exotics: Magnus Reign ($17)

Race prediction: 4-9-10-7

Quaddie selections: 2, 4, 5, 7, 9, 10, 13

Verdict: Think Mighty Like is worth a bet at the current odds. Mighty Like W@7.50.

Race 8 4YO+ Mares Benchmark 84 1200m

Miss Softhands was scratched last week and looks well placed here. She was just warming up late first up and has an excellent second up record. Has won at this track and distance and $10 is overs. Lahqa is 7 weeks between runs and usually runs well fresh, must be included. I thought Nadeem Lass would be in the finish last week but she was quite disappointing. Giving her one last chance back to Flemington. My Sister Lil didn’t have the best of luck last start, don’t know if she would’ve tested the winner though. Kaniana had the best closing splits at her last start but she was entitled to run on. Cannot justify $5.50. Just Stellar goes in next.

One for exotics: Miss Softhands ($10)

Race prediction: 1-3-4-2

Quaddie selections: 1, 2, 3

Verdict: Another mares race with a stack of chances. No bets.

Race 9 Benchmark 78 1200m

Tyrranize was 6 weeks between runs last time and was just run over by the 101$ pop Astro Castro. Oliver will give him every chance here and the extra 100 metres suits. Heza Ripper was backed off the map last start and led all the way; the form from that race has been good. Untried down the straight but looks the biggest danger. Badajoz looks a danger with the nice weight swing, he did have every chance last start though. It wouldn’t shock to see Camdus bounce back, he was awful last start. Take on trust but he looks short enough at $6. Blithe Belle impressed last week and can go on with it.

One for exotics: Blithe Belle ($12)

Race prediction: 17-3-7-11

Quaddie selections: 3, 17

Verdict: Might have a bet on both Tyrannize and Heza Ripper. Tyrranize W@4.40. Heza Ripper W@7.00.

Warwick Farm // 3rd August

Midweek racing in NSW takes us to Warwick Farm in the first week of August! Some big fields here will make for some longer odd horses in with a shot.

R1 Myboycharlie @ Vinery Mdn Hcp 1100m

Some very good three year olds battle it out in race one which should be a great contest. Pittsburg* is yet to win after four starts, however has been running in some big races. Finished not too far back from Yankee Rose on a couple of occasions and should be up there here. Ebenos has put together a couple of nice trials on a soft track of late, and will look to be competitive in his first start from the wide draw. Glenall ran a close second in a recent trial and has his first start here. Is currently favourite on the fixed price at $4.50 but not sure his trial form has been too strong. Coonawarra is another debutant in this race and is running for Waterhouse & Bott. Scored by a nose in recent trial and looks to be overs at current price of $17.

Verdict: Think Pittsburg’s form will be too strong. His only start on a wet track (heavy) he finished a very close second. Plenty of value around him but this is not an easy race by any means. A few unknowns here and wouldn’t put it past Ebenos, Glenall, and Coonawarra either, therefore take Pittsburg each way.

Prediction: 1-5-6-4

R2 Tab More Than Just Winning Mdn 1100m

Another maiden here with 15 runners. Cocoexcel absolutely bolted in by 2.5lengths in her last trial, on a soft track at Rosehill. Two winning trials together now and looks like she’s in tip top shape. Red Hearts has done the same, winning her last two trials on a soft track however at Randwick. Think that these two are the two to beat. Larapineta has only has the one start and finished 9th, however was not disgraced, beaten 4.6 lengths by Calliope in a big race. Will have her admirers and isn’t without a chance. Moqueen’s last two starts have been quite promising, running in some big races at Randwick and Rosehill. Definitely with a chance and shouldn’t be ignored. In Times Of War could also surprise some, finishing a close second in her only trial on a soft track.

Verdict: I think this should be a contest between Cocoexcel and Red Hearts, however the others aren’t without chances. Cocoexcel has the edge over Red Hearts; I just think she’s been more convincing. Larapineta, Moqueen and In Times Of War should fight it out for the minor placings.

Prediction: 4-11-1-7

R3 Mcgrath Estate Agents (bm67) 2200m

Shorter field here but tougher race to pick! Major Major scored by half a length last start at Randwick but gains 7.5kg here! Very big weight swing might make this tough. Elusive Runner only recently resumed after a very long spell. Hasn’t quite come back in inspired form but should be fitter after first three starts back. In with a shot. Consented has finished runner up in his last four starts now. Drops 8.5kg here which will be very handy however hasn’t won on a soft track. I think theres a bit of value around Chaquinta. Low in weights and does enjoy a wet track; keep handy.

Verdict: Very tough race and happy to sit this one out.

Prediction: 2-1-4-9

R4 Tab.com.au (bm66) 1200m

Such an open race. Happy to sit this one out completely.

R5 #theraces (bm67) 1200m

Another really tough race! Perizada has been really good this prep and does enjoy a wet track. Will probably start favourite with a relatively low weight. Rakitno won her maiden well, and then was competitive at Canterbury in a bm70. Not without a chance. Little Miss Brown* won her maiden in April, and then won a trial just over a week ago. Will look to make the most of the wet track and should run well. Art’n’Ollie won by 5 lengths at Narromine last start and drops a few kilo’s on that run. Wasn’t the toughest field last time out but winning form is winning form. Lot Three Four One has been running in much higher grades of late and should perform well here.

Verdict: Another tough race with many chances. I do like the look of Little Miss Brown at $14, as her only start on a soft track she won by nearly two lengths.

Prediction: 12-8-10-13

R6 Pro-ride (bm70) 1400m

Sniper* won well first up Canterbury when finishing 1.7lengths in front of rival Choice Larga. No change in the weights here and going off that form Sniper should have the edge. Choice Larga is not to be dismissed however. He has been very consistent this prep and shouldn’t be ignored. Conarchie is a good horse who will be super competitive here. Has been running in higher grades than this, however the high weight of 61kg will be a challenge. Bells Of War has been very consistent of late and this grade is not beyond her. Will enjoy the relatively low weight and should be coming home strong towards the end. Big Arty also seems to have found some form winning his last two, and will look to improve on that here.

Verdict: I think the Sniper/Choice Larga form is good and if Sniper has overcome his respiratory issues of last start he should be the main threat.

Prediction: 4-3-12-1

R7 Tab Rewards (bm66) 1600m

Last race of the short card today and it’s another tough race. Crown Moss enjoys a wet track and won last time out at Wyong in a similar grade. Zadok The Priest has strung together four wins in a row, and last start winning in a bm70 on a soft track. Looks the goods here. Aurora Glow loves a soft track and her last two runs have been promising. Does hold a lot of weight which might make it tough. Granite Belt moved to a soft track in his last two starts and won them both, including breaking his maiden. Is the top weight but actually loses a kilo on last start. Definitely in with a shot.

Verdict: Zadok The Priest is flying at the moment but can he keep it up? Crown Moss won well last start but was that a fluke? Aurora Glow seems the best chance with her soft track form and therefore she’s on top.

Prediction: 15-14-7-1

Best Bets:

R1 – #1 Pittsburg EW @ $6/$2.25

R5 – #8 Little Miss Brown EW @ $14/$4.30

R6 – #4 Sniper EW @ $9.50/$3.20

 

Eagle Farm // 4th June

Queensland racing takes us to Eagle Farm this weekend, for the running of the $500,000 Queensland Oaks. Weather looks a disaster for Saturday, indicating the track will more than likely be heavy. Look for strong Heavy form.

R1 Bracken Ridge Tav. The Phoenix 1400m

Archives won well last start in a fairly big race at Doomben. McDonald retains the ride and looks the one to beat here. Jericho ran a close second to Archives last start. No weight turnaround but will be better for the run. Drawn in the carpark the only query. Redouble wasn’t too far off those two last start. Was drawn towards the inside last time but out wide here. Will have to improve a fair bit to win. One that could cause an upset is Two Shoes. Ran well behind Sacred Elixir last time and actually loses 2kgs on that run. The each way odds look good here.

One To Watch: Two Shoes

Race Prediction: 1-3-12-4

R2 Amgrow Lightning Hcp 1000m

Very open race this. Furnaces has shown what he’s capable of before. Drawn the widest of the bunch here which won’t help his cause. Disappointing last start but has the quality. Felines absolutely loves it first up. Bowman on board is a huge tick and rarely runs a bad race. It’s been a while since we’ve seen Shamalia run competitively, however she won a recent trial by 4.5 lengths! Wide barrier won’t help. but good to see her back here. Keep very handy. Hardline won a huge race in NZ over a year ago, and won 2/3 since then. Yet to lose first up in a short career, and this will be a challenge, but will be giving it all. Into The Red won well just over a month ago, and will be flashing home late from a wide barrier. Not hopeless. Another who will give this a crack at decent odds is Espiritu. Won 4/4 first up and been running in some decent races. Down in the weights and drawn inside will help.

One To Watch: Shamalia

Race Prediction: 4-3-8-5

R3 Pages Event Eagle Farm Cup 2200m

Maurus was super in the Doomben cup last start. Is a horse that hardly ever runs a poor race. Blake Shinn picks up the ride in a fairly small field. Unbeaten on a heavy track and think it’s the best bet here. Mighty Lucky scored well last time out to win the Lord Mayors Cup. Same weight as the faves and only 1 third from two starts on a heavy track, however showed its quality last time; keep handy. Volkstok’n’barrell is yet to race on a heavy track, however has the quality to win here. Think the unknown form on this sort of track is a bit risky, but he will run well.

One To Watch: Mighty Lucky

Race Prediction: 4-1-5-2

R4 Landfill Daybreak Lover 1400m

Kimberley Star was very good last start, finishing 1.4lengths 3rd in a big race at Scone. McDonald on board is a big tick and she has gone 3:2-0-1 on heavy tracks. She’ll be the one to beat. Sold For Song has had a very promising start to her career. Two good wins at Doomben last prep and two close seconds this prep. Untried on a heavy track which may be the only query here. Perfect Dare hasn’t had any wet track form to date. If he can handle the track well, he’ll be right in this. The Virginian went from a 3.3length win on debut to only a few lengths back in the GC Guineas. Certainly has potential for this but yet to race on wet track.

One To Watch: The Virginian

Race Prediction: 12-11-9-6

R5 Designline Graphics Juanmo 1200m

Just about every horse in this race has a claim. Get the dartboard out. Miss Cover Girl is a good horse who has shown what she’s capable of in the past. 1 start for 1 win on heavy track, but drawn wide. Serenade faces a similar race to her last race, and no reason she can’t win here. Sultry Feeling is a good horse who can run a nice race here from barrier 2. Fairly consistent and raced 13 times over this distance, in with a shot. Adorabubble does run well over a wet track and finished off very nicely last start. Very good each way chance. Alucinari is a good second up horse who can run a race here too.

One To Watch: Adorabubble

Race Prediction: 2-18-1-9

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 6 9 18

R6 Mirvac Qtc Cup 1300m

Spill The Beans has been very impressive in last two runs. Very low in weights and looks as though it’ll be very tough to beat here. Untried on heavy but has won on a soft track. Eloping looks a good bet here too. Down in the weights and blitzed the field last time out to score impressive victory. Has the quality but hasn’t won on heavy track. We all know that Kaepernick is a good horse, however due to the weather conditions, is a likely scratching. Snippets Land scored a huge victory last time in the BRC Sprint at very nice odds. Strung together some very good performances and wouldn’t surprise many here. Target In Sight was behind Malaguerra in the BTC Cup last start. Handles the wet well and is a good chance.

One To Watch: Snippets Land

Race Prediction: 11-4-9-3

Quaddie Numbers: 3 4 9 11

R7 Treasury Casino/hotel Qld Oaks 2400m

Another dartboard needed for this Group 1 contest. Kebede beat home a few of these horses last start. No change in weight and should be up towards the end once again. Imposing Lass is a horse with great quality. Shown us how good she is this prep going 3 from 4 starts. Falkenberg is an up and coming horse who ran very well once he got clear last start. If he can avoid trouble in traffic here he’ll have his chance. Provocative is yet to run on a heavy track, but if the start of her career is anything to go by, she’ll be competitive here. I think Mount Omei is overs here. Now with Waller and won nicely last start. Will be tough but do like place odds of $11. Sebring Sally ran a huge race last time, and if that’s anything to go by she’s not without a chance here.

One To Watch: Mount Omei

Race Prediction: 3-4-12-19

Quaddie Numbers: 3 4 6 12 18 19

R8 Fkg Group Spear Chief Hcp 1500m

Federal is a super horse who rarely runs a bad race. Handles all track conditions and will start favourite here. Form behind Music Magnate looks good. Religify has been oh so consistent lately. Has shown what he’s made of and isn’t out of this. Only query is the extra 100m, might be at full stretch. Hi World is a horse who had a lot of potential a while back, however hasn’t really fulfilled that to date. 2 from 2 on a heavy track which will help him if he is to cause an upset here. Think these three will be tough to beat.

One To Watch: Hi World

Race Prediction: 6-1-2-13

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2 6

 

Best Bets:

R2 – #4 Shamalia EW $8.00/$2.50

R3 – #4 Maurus W @ $3.50

R4 – #12 Kimberley Star W @ $3.30

 

Sandown-Hillside // 4th June

We’re going for 4 winning weekends on the trot at Sandown-Hillside on Saturday. This Saturday sees some better weather forecasted than the previous two weeks. The track is currently rated a Good 4 at the time of publication; if anything we may see improvement to a Good 3 by the weekend provided the showers stay away. This should make for exciting racing, giving every horse it’s chance.

The headline races for a pretty average Saturday at Sandown-Hillside are the $90,000 Ladbrokes Bet Better Handicap (Race 4) and the $80,000 Ladbrokes Cash In Handicap (Race 8). All 9 races are covered in our thorough analysis below including our Race Prediction, One for Exotics, Betting Verdict and Quadrella Numbers.

Race 1 2YO Fillies Handicap 1300m

Small field to open the card in what looks an unattractive 2 year old affair. With little confidence i’m putting Cat Woman on top. She raced on the lakeside course last week behind a few handy types and gets the senior rider on board today. The handicaps are of much higher quality than the maidens and Sadler backs her up. Montoya’s Secret probably deserves favouritism after hitting the front and beating all bar the well tried Sebring Dream at Flemington. Probably hasn’t shown enough the justify the sub $3 quote on offer. Kenedna led all the way at Geelong over 1200 two weeks ago and has plenty of upside. Bay Harmony and Inspired Estelle next.

One for exotics: Bay Harmony ($15)

Race prediction: 4-2-1-3

Verdict: Saving my money for later races. No bets.

Race 2 3YO+ Fillies and Mares Benchmark 84 1500m

Yellen resumed with a solid effort from the rear of the field at Cranbourne and should be peaking here second up. Looks perfectly suited with the good track and $8 looks a nice bet each way if the back markers get their chance. Holy Cow ran a huge race in Adelaide two weeks ago coming from the tail. She does look the one to beat but I’m not sure how I feel about the drop in distance. Ma Jones is looking for her fourth win this prep in only 6 starts. She’s never run in this class but is well weighted to figure in the finish. Niminypiminy is testing my patience but isn’t without claims on the quick backup. This is about as far as she wants. Testability has no weight and can run well.

One for exotics: None

Race prediction: 3-2-4-5

Verdict: Holy Cow the one to beat, Yellen the value. Yellen E.W @8.00:2.60

Race 3 3YO Open Handicap 1600m

Going for another with value here in War Legend. His last effort over 1600 was a narrow victory in an average race at Pakenham. Moroney then sent him to the Allister Clark Stakes where he wasn’t disgraced behind superior horses and he followed it up with a 1.2L 3rd behind Howard Be Thy Name; thats good form! Month between runs the query but does look suited back in distance. Divine Mr Artie cost me the quaddie last week after being out-bobbed on the line. Theres no doubt he’s flying at the moment but he’s never run at the mile before and is on the quick backup. $3 though? Atlantic City looks ready to run a bold race now fourth in after a spell. The track pattern was against last time and he’s drawn to get all the favours here. Lake Jackson was a bit stiff last time behind Rezak and i think he can turn the tables here.

One for exotics: Lake Jackson ($10)

Race prediction: 4-2-7-11

Verdict: Hoping War Legend is ready to go after a month off. War Legend E.W @7.50:2.50

Race 4 Open Handicap 1800m

Impossible to tip against the flying Turnitaround here. Should be 4 from 4 this prep and isn’t hindered by the drop in 200 metres. Ben Thompson gets a handy 3 kilo claim and he looks primed to chalk up 4 in a row. Sysmo looks the biggest danger. The rising 7 year old got better with racing and further distance last preparation and his final 400 metres behind Petrology last start looked encouraging. Longeron may not have handled the soft track last week. He does his best racing around this distance range and is known to throw in the odd shocker. Sandhill Chief will go straight to the front and should give you a sight for your money at $17. Don’t think the Casterton Cup form will measure up though.

One for exotics: Sandhill Chief ($17)

Race prediction: 1-2-4-7

Verdict: Turnitaround should be winning again. Turnitaround W@2.90

Race 5 Benchmark 78 1000m

Putting San Amaro on top here. He’s run against much better quality in the past and although he might want it a bit further, he’s drawn well in 5 and his trials have indicated he’s ready to put in a bold performance first up. Secret Blend will certainly have admirers. 2 of his 3 career wins have come over the 1000m dash but he has drawn very wide and will have to do it tough. Hoping Magnagem shows her best after putting in a below average performance last month. Has a good record over 1000m and does appreciate a good track. Stingray was once a highly regarded galloper. A few disappointing runs later and he’s huge odds in a fairly average Benchmark 78. Look for him to be running on. Kievann is more than capable of pulling out a run fresh. Gold Heist is flying!

One for exotics: San Amaro ($12)

Race prediction: 10-8-16-5

Verdict: Chances galore. No bets.

Race 6 Benchmark 84 1600m

I was quite impressed with Schersozo’s effort first up after he absolutely flew in the last 100 metres. Looks well suited at the mile and if he’s progressed at all he should go very close to winning again. Second up effort the big query. Although he has a stack of weight, Royal Rapture hasn’t run in 84 class for a while now. His effort two weeks ago was promising and after the 3kg claim he looks to play a major part in this race. Nozomi looks to have come back in good order this preparation and is well suited up in distance. Wasn’t disgraced last start but its clear he wants further. The lightly raced Leonforte is another who looks suited over this distance. The form from his first up second looks good and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him winning up in grade. Aurum Spirit pulled off some slick sectionals behind Mihany last start. This is tougher.
Update: Putting Master Reset in the quaddie after the scratching of the favourite. Been average this prep but his best is good enough.

One for exotics: Royal Rapture ($11)

Race prediction: 6-3-1-13

Quaddie selections: 1, 3, 6, 8, 13, 4

Verdict: If Schersozo had more reliable second up form I’d be all over him. No bets.

Race 7 4YO+ Mares Open Handicap 1300m

A Lotta Love had absolutely no luck at Caulfield two back and put in a solid effort at Group level last start in Adelaide. She has a terrific overall strike rate and looks the one to beat here. Enquare has had a minor form slump since performing admirably in much tougher races earlier in her preparation. I think she’ll appreciate the drop back in distance and the drop to mares grade. Certainly isn’t hopeless at $12. Forgeress is the weight horse here with just 52 on her back. She does look better suited with the step up in distance off her 6th in a Group 3 race. Suspect there isn’t that much between her and the top pick asides from the odds. Exclusive Lass is another must for exotics. If you rule a line through her Manihi failure she has put in 3 very good runs this preparation. She has drawn very wide though. Danestroem is better than her first up effort and i’m willing to forgive.
Update: Khutulun goes in the quaddie after Liten Prinsessa’s scratching.

One for exotics: Enquare ($11)

Race prediction: 5-2-8-3

Quaddie selections: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 11, 6

Verdict: Don’t usually like betting in these mares races. No bets.

Race 8 3YO Open Handicap 1300m

Going for class again here by putting Sooboog on top. He’s impossible to catch as a punter but his 5.7L 10th last start was better than it looks on paper. He must be going alright for Weir to line him up in a strong Group 1. Odyssey Moon finds it pretty hard to win but is rarely far away. His effort from the back in the Straight Six was admirable but it was a rather weak edition of the race. Up in the weights here. Jalan Jalan finished strongly in the Euclase and looks to appreciate the step up to 1300 metres. Hard to see any value about the current $4 on offer. Nat’s the Boss overcame a wide barrier to salute at nice odds last start. Step up in distance looks ideal and he has no weight on his back. This is a different class of race though. Have to respect Dwayne Dunn’s decision to pilot the lightly raced Battlecamp here.

One for exotics: Nat’s The Boss ($19)

Race prediction: 2-1-3-8

Quaddie selections: 1, 2, 3, 8, 11

Verdict: This race is by no means a Group 1; Sooboog looks the goods. Sooboog W@5.00.

Race 9 Benchmark 84 1300m

Think the favourites have a stranglehold on this one. Duke of Brunswick was clearly the best of the on pacers first up at Morphettville. He had a tough run and stuck on very well; looks fitter second up. The query for him is he might have to do it tough again from the wide barrier. Belesron is 1 from 1 at the track and gets Oliver on board today. He ran well first up and has a great second up record. Note that Spreadeagled came out of that race a solid winner last week. Ruettiger gets the blinkers back on today and finished well from the back (was entitled to) in the same race as Duke of Brunswick. Also drawn wide but it shouldn’t bother him. Not sure he’s as good as the top two but a live winning chance. Mr Backchat ran quite well last month beating home the flying The New Boy. Drawn wide but isn’t without a chance. Coram mixes his form whilst Raposo and Magnus Lad the blowout chances.

One for exotics: Mr Backchat ($13)

Race prediction: 5-6-12-2

Quaddie selections: 5, 6

Verdict: Duke of Brunswick to bounce back. Duke of Brunswick W@3.80

Summary

Yellen E.W@8.00:2.40
War Legend E.W @7.50:2.50
Turnitaround W@2.90
Sooboog W@5.00
Duke of Brunswick W@3.80

Quaddie numbers $30 for 10%
R6: 1, 3, 6, 8, 13
R7: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 11
R8: 1, 2, 3, 8, 11
R9: 5, 6

Sandown-Lakeside // 28th May

It’s Australian Hurdle and Steeplechase day at the Lakeside course at Sandown. Plenty of rain over the past week has dished up a Soft 7 track. We’ll be limiting our betting at the Melbourne metropolitan meeting this week despite our stellar form over the past few weeks. It’s important to find a horse that can handle the wet track with the weather forecast showing potential of getting into the heavy range.

The headline races for Saturday at Sandown-Lakeside are the $125,000 Australian Hurdle (Race 1) and the $125,000 Australian Steeplechase (Race 4). All 9 races will be covered below providing the race prediction, one for exotics, best bets and quadrella selections.

Race 1 Australian Hurdle 3400m

Leaning towards Arch Fire. He gets a nice weight swing on Gingerboy from the last meeting and turned the tables in a recent trial. This seems to be his pet distance and has won at Sandown before. He loves it wet also. Gingerboy is unbeaten over the jumps. He is clearly the one to beat and is still competitive on the flat. Didn’t like his recent trial enough to be taking the shorts here. Earthbound beat home Valediction three back and drops a whopping 7.5kg on his latest effort. His best is good enough. I’ll’Ava’Alf wasn’t disgraced at Ballarat after finishing strongly at Warrnambool prior. Jumps record? King of Dudes best is certainly good enough.

One for exotics: Earthbound ($16)

Race prediction: 1-3-4-6

Verdict: Taking a punt on Arch Fire to turn the tables here. Arch Fire W@3.60.

Race 2 2YO Handicap 1200m

Willing to forgive Bringaroo after his first up flop. He did a bit wrong on that occasion and also raced wide throughout. Look for a much improved effort here today. His one win was on the soft track. Winning form is good form and that puts Perpetual Crisis right in the mix. His win at Donald on the soft track was solid and I like the If Not Now When form. Preemptive has drawn wide but wants every bit of 1200. He’s still a maiden but actually beat home the top pick at Caulfield last time. Ridgway the debutant has been backed off the map with the early money. His trial on heavy going was impressive but this is an entirely different challenge here.

One for exotics: Follow any significant money for long shots.

Race prediction: 2-1-4-8

Verdict: Not a fan of this one. No bets.

Race 3 Benchmark 90 2400m

Master of Arts has a stack of weight here but he looks primed to back up his Warrnambool Cup win. He appreciated the wet track and the step up in distance to comfortably claim a high quality race last start. Up in the weights but well off after the claim looks very hard to beat in this field. Black Stardom finally clicked into gear this preparation with a narrow win over the talented Monteux last start. If he runs here he should give plenty of cheek at $31. Golden Mane beat all bar the potential star in Raw Impulse. Looks ready to win after a nice claim from Jake Bayliss. Spur On Gold seems to be getting better with every run. He looks like he’ll relish the rise in trip but the wet track is somewhat of a concern. It might be hard to pick on form but I think San Padre is better than his record suggests.

One for exotics: Black Stardom ($36)

Race prediction: 2-9-5-8

Verdict: Master of Arts should be too good, Black Stardom is worth an each way ticket. Master of Arts W@2.50.

Race 4 The Australian Steeplechase 3400m

Going with the in form Angelology. He was set an impossible task with 73 on his back and still finished close up behind Hucknall at Ballarat. Drops a whopping 9 kilos here and looks very hard to beat. Urban Explorer may be going better than his record suggests. He was backed off the map at Oakbank before putting in an average performance. Won his last steeple run and Pateman sticks. Wells hasn’t done much jumping since his scalp of Bashboy in the 2014 Grand National. His best is clearly good enough but I think he’s more suited over a bit further. King Triton is edging closer to a win but it’s been a while between drinks. About the Journey and Zataglio go in next.

One for exotics: Urban Explorer ($13)

Race prediction: 6-2-1-4

Verdict: Think Angelology is the one to beat here. Angelology W@2.70.

Race 5 Benchmark 78 1200m

Good luck having a bet with confidence here! Coram split My Poppette and Olivier second up. Both of those horses ran crackers last week and if he can repeat that effort he should be winning. Caprese beat a similar field here and theres no reason he can’t do it again. Likes it at Sandown. Jungle Edge grows another leg on wet tracks. He looks outclassed here but could definitely run into the placings at $31. Benchi Pegasus is another who likes a wet track. Generally performs well fresh and looks well placed from the good barrier and after the 3kg claim. Marwood loves a wet track and is edging closer to a win. Looks short enough in this field. Armada is a punters nightmare but does look fit and ready to show his best here.

One for exotics: Jungle Edge ($31)

Race prediction: 10-9-6-12

Verdict: Coram could be worth an each way ticket at $6.00 but just too many unknowns. No bets.

Race 6 3YO Handicap 1400m

Divine Mr Artie probably should have won last start after being held up at a vital stage. He looks well suited out to 1400m and surprised he’s come up at $7.50 in this field. Ticking along very nicely this preparation, the wet track is the big query. The lightly raced Mr Individual was found to be lame after his below average performance in the Group 2 Euclase first up. Unbeaten second up and has very good soft track form. Think Twisting Typhoon has a bit of talent. Was very impressed by his run at Moonee Valley in January before getting too far back at Flemington. If he wants ground the 1400m fresh should suit. Lord Tennyson has been backed off the map after his demolition job at Warrnambool. His form around Nats the Boss ties him in nicely here. Makatiti has track form and although he only won his maiden last start has been competitive in tougher races. Robert De Hero goes in next.

One for exotics: Twisting Typhoon ($10)

Race prediction: 2-1-6-8

Quaddie selections: 1, 2, 6, 8, 10, 14

Verdict: Pretty open race to kick off the quaddie. No bets.

Race 7 3YO Fillies Benchmark 78 1600m

Whirlpool savaged the line in the Adelaide Guineas and looks the one to beat here. Gets a nice weight swing on Laqha after defeating her. The big straight will suit at Sandown but she’s an unknown with sting out of the track. Miles Of Krishan has plenty of upside and was a bit stiff at Caulfield last time. She hit the line hard late and looks as though the mile will suit. Laqha does her best racing at this distance. She’s conceding plenty of weight to the rest of the field which is a big concern but she is the best horse in the race. Fife looks a live hope here. She does her best racing on wet tracks and her 1.7L second to Holy Cow reads well after the latter ran a bottler in Adelaide. Street Spun might be able to improve back to the mile. Wasn’t far of C’est Beau La Vie her last attempt at 1600 and that form looks good. No knock on Gingie. Prefer Miles of Krishan out of that race.

One for exotics: Street Spun ($21)

Race prediction: 6-7-1-8

Quaddie selections: 1, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11

Verdict: These mares races usually throw up some big priced winners. No bets.

Race 8 Open Handicap 1600m

Lord Durante was the best of the on pacers last start in a race where it favoured the closers. He runs well on the rain affected track i’m willing to give him another crack here. Longeron strips fitter for his third run after a spell. Another who has the talent but might want a bit further now. Kenjorwood has been freshened after something wasn’t quite right at Sandown last time. His best is good enough for this field but at $4.60 theres no value. What to do with Petrology.. Happy as Hell could be the blowout. He’s got good soft track form and has won second up.

One for exotics: Happy as Hell ($26)

Race prediction: 8-7-2-13

Quaddie selections: 2, 6, 7, 8, 13

Race 9 Benchmark 84 1400m

Spreadeagled hit the line well first up but was never a chance over that distance. Much better suited second up over 1400. Drawn wide a query but he should be running on again. Show a Star should be undefeated this preparation and stays at 1400 here. Fought on strongly to beat an average field last start. This is tougher. Niminypiminy should be an eye catcher from the back with no weight on her. Improving with every run she could be a nice bet each way at $9. Statton ran a very nice race over this course on the soft track two weeks ago. That was a weak race and the distance drop isn’t ideal. So Does He can improve.

One for exotics: Niminypiminy ($9)

Race prediction: 6-7-13-14

Quaddie selections: 6, 7