Hawkesbury // 30th April

R1 Tab Highway Plate 1100m

Atom Eve* has been as strong as every in her three starts to date. Flying at the moment and will be hard to beat. Noble Joey will be right up there with McDonald on board. Won well last start and could win here. Bid Of Faith looks great value around the $7.50 mark. A couple of wins in Canberra and a close third at Randwick last start. Up slightly in weight but drawn barrier one and McEvoy on board will help. Proffessor Marx could threaten, however has worse form behind Bitburg than Noble Joey. Will need luck to win.

Prediction: 5-1-7-3

One To Watch: Bid Of Faith

R2 Richmond Club Provincial-bm85 2100m

Hipparchus won well last start at Kembla Grange, however didn’t trial well after that. That’s why Duca Valentinois is our top pick. Won well at Warwick Farm a few weeks ago and if it improves here it will be too strong. One that looks huge overs is He’s Dreaming. We liked him last start and he placed at nice odds. Could easily place and will go close to pinching this. Loving Home is an honest horse that has some decent form lines of late. Glyn Schofield takes the ride and will give it a good crack.

Prediction: 4-6-5-3

One To Watch: He’s Dreaming

R3 Blakes Marine Claret Stakes 1300m

Tough race to judge this. Radcliffe was impressive last start, winning at Warwick Farm. McDonald retains the ride, however it does gain 2kg. Looks like the one with the most potential. Anghaard* beat home Yankee Rose in a trial not long ago, and has won 2 from 2 since then. Drops 1.5kg here and will give it a real crack! Alliterate won well in Wellington, however has only been okay since then. Slight drop in weight and with a bit of luck it can win. Swear is a late entry in this race. Finished nicely in a recent trial but yet to race competitively. Could cause a shock.

Prediction: 1-6-5-4

One To Watch: Swear

R4 Hawkesbury Xxxx Gold Rush 1100m

Furnaces was disappointing in the Fireball last start, finishing 7 lengths last. He has immense quality though and we’re tipping him to fight back here. Low in the weights with McDonald on board gives it a real chance. Inz’n’out has been around the mark against some really good horses of late. Definitely in with a chance here. Coolring has the all important Malaguerra form. Up in weight since that run but definitely has the quality for this. Keep handy. Fine Mist actually beat home Inz’n’out two starts ago, however loses half a kilo on him here. If it gets going it’ll have every chance.

Prediction: 7-6-3-5

One To Watch: Furnaces

R5 Toyota Ladies Day Cup (bm85) 1300m

Rock Forthe Ladies has been competitive in all three starts this year. Ran on well last start against good opposition and drops a kilo here. Danish Twist was one of the best performing horses over the championships a few weeks back and will definitely be around the mark here, despite gaining 4kg. Ryker wasn’t far behind Rock Forthe Ladies last start and also loses a kilo here. Might be better for that run and could threaten here. In that same race, Mohave, while disappointing, has a lot of quality. It looks a great each way bet at $26. Gamblestown is one that could also surprise a few. Has won at higher grades than this in the past, and wasn’t too far off at Wyong last start.

Prediction: 3-7-6-2

One To Watch: Mohave

R6 2016 Godolphin Crown 1300m

We were all over Nancy last start, and to finish fourth was disappointing. However, we know she has the talent and if given a good ride by McEvoy will be one of the best chances. Ammirata pounced last last time to win very well. Has shown a great ability to win and will rate itself here. While finishing 5th last start, Fitou wasn’t too far off them. Has shown great potential and McDonald on board and low weight will suit well. Godolphin crown for Godolphin? Press Report was good last start, finishing 1.5 lengths behind Ammirata. Now has a 2kg weight swing in it’s favour here and looks a great each way bet at $15. Two Blue won at huge odds last start and surprised many with that win. Up 5kg in weight will make it tough but don’t write her off.

Prediction: 9-6-14-11

One To Watch: Press Report

Quaddie Numbers: 1 6 9 11 14

R7 Panthers Hawkesbury Gold Cup 1600m

Strawberry Boy wasn’t too far off last start and gets some nice weight relief here. Has the quality and loves the track. Medcaut was 2.8 lengths off Strawberry Boy last start, and has a half kilo turn around on it too. With a better run and a bit of luck could win. Sons Of John has a good first up record, and while disappointing towards the end of last prep, might be better for the freshen up. Ecuador has been a great competitor to Sons Of John too and can’t be dismissed here. Mighty Lucky actually beat Strawberry Boy home last start but doesn’t drop as much weight. Might find it a bit too tough. Kellyville Flyer loves being second up and with a bit of improvement could run a cheeky race.

Prediction: 5-11-8-7

One To Watch: Medcaut

Quaddie Numbers: 5 7 8 11

R8 Blacktown Workers H’bury Gneas 1400m

Handfast* has been absolutely flying this prep. McDonald retains the ride and this looks as though it’ll be tough to beat. Spill The Beans was okay in a huge race last start. Racing against lesser quality here and could take the win. Serene Majesty is probably the next best hope, turning around 3kg on the favourite here. Will be tough and will need luck, though. Denmagic is not without a chance here. Low in weight and been running well of late. All others might find this too tough.

Prediction: 2-1-10-4

One To Watch: Spill The Beans

Quaddie Numbers: 1 2

R9 Fishboy Seafoods (bm77) 1500m

Careless was only 1.7 lengths off Trafalgar and turns around 2.5kg here. Drawn midfield and if it can get out early it will have every chance. Trafalgar was good last start, holding on for a win. Hasn’t finished out of the placings yet and if it improves slightly here it should win. Santa Rocks was good last start for a close second in a similar grade to the Trafalgar race. Will want to get out to a good start and look for the lead. Mackintosh is a bit of an unknown. Was far back in a huge race last start, but could come out the blocks and smash these, or could disappoint at the back. Man Of Choice has the quality here but up in weights might make it too tough.

Prediction: 6-9-16-14

One To Watch: Star Wars

Quaddie Numbers: 4 6 9 14 16

 

Best Bets of the Card:

R1 – #5 Atom Eve W@ $2.20

R3 – #6 Anghaard EW @ $8.50/2.35

R8 – #2 Handfast W @ $2.35

 

 

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